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Ajax v Heracles Almelo : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Feb, 15:45 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Ajax are in Eredivisie action on Sunday afternoon, as Francesco Farioli looks to get one over on Erwin van de Looi and his Heracles Almelo side at the Johan Cruijff Arena. For every Eredivisie match preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Ajax to win

We are predicting Ajax will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Johan Cruijff Arena.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 75% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.14.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
75%
1/7-
Draw
15%
13/2-
Heracles
9%
17/2-
Ajax 2-0
12%
13/2-
Ajax 3-0
10%
13/2-
Ajax 1-0
10%
10/1-
Ajax 2-1
9%
10/1-
Ajax 3-1
8%
9/1-
Draw 1-1
7%
14/1-
Ajax 4-0
6%
9/1-
Ajax 4-1
5%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
25/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1-
Ajax 5-0
3%
16/1-
Heracles 1-0
3%
33/1-
Ajax 3-2
3%
25/1-
Heracles 2-1
3%
28/1-
Ajax 5-1
2%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1/3-
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
12/5-
Home 1st Goal
62%
1/6-
Away 1st Goal
36%
15/4-
No 1st Goal
2%
25/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/20-
BTTS - No
51%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
6/4-
BTTS - Draw
12%
17/2-
BTTS - Away Win
5%
14/1-
Home/draw
91%
1/16-
Away/draw
25%
4/1-
Home/away
85%
1/12-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
6/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
5/6-
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
5/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
7/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
4/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/6-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/100-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
25/1-
Home DNB
86%
1/14-
Away DNB
20%
8/1-
Ajax win to nil
43%
1/1-
Heracles win to nil
4%
20/1-
Ajax / Ajax
52%
4/7-
Ajax / Heracles
2%
40/1-
Ajax / Draw
4%
22/1-
Draw / Ajax
21%
3/1-
Draw / Heracles
4%
22/1-
Draw / Draw
7%
11/1-
Heracles / Ajax
5%
16/1-
Heracles / Heracles
3%
25/1-
Heracles / Draw
3%
25/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Eredivisie league table. Ajax are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 10 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Heracles are in 14th position in the Eredivisie on 21 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Heracles have conceded 33 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
Heracles
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2116234550 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
l
 
1-3F
May 14
2
Ajax Home2015322548 
-
-
l
 
3-4F
Feb 16
3
Utrecht211263742 
d
 
2-2A
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
AZ Alkmaar2111461537 
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
Apr 13
l
 
1-0A
5
Feyenoord2010641736 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
May 3
l
 
5-2A
6
Twente2010551435 
May 18
d
 
2-2A
Mar 30
l
 
5-0A
7
GA Eagles20956732 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
Feb 8
l
 
4-1F
8
Fortuna21759-926 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 9
d
 
2-2F
Mar 8
9
NAC218211-1026 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
10
Heerenveen217410-1525 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
11
NEC207310324 
May 11
w
 
1-2A
May 18
w
 
1-2F
12
PEC Zwolle21669-624 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
Mar 2
l
 
3-0A
13
Willem II216510-623 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
d
 
1-1F
May 9
14
Heracles Away21498-1321 
Feb 16
w
 
3-4A
-
-
15
Groningen215610-1321 
w
 
3-1F
May 14
d
 
1-1F
Apr 23
16
S.Rotterdam21489-1020 
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Waalwijk213513-1914 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 6
18
Almere City202414-3210 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax2 - 1Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 1Waalwijk
Ajax3 - 0Almere City
Ajax2 - 2Utrecht
Ajax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
Ajax3 - 2PSV
Ajax1 - 0Willem II
Ajax3 - 1Groningen
Ajax5 - 0Fortuna
Ajax1 - 0Heerenveen
Ajax3 - 0Almere City
Ajax2 - 2Excelsior
Ajax2 - 1Twente
Ajax1 - 1GA Eagles
Ajax2 - 2Fortuna
Ajax2 - 0Utrecht
Ajax2 - 2NEC
Ajax1 - 1PSV
Ajax4 - 1Waalwijk
Ajax2 - 2PEC Zwolle
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAjax2 - 1Feyenoord
AAjax2 - 0Heerenveen
HAjax2 - 1Waalwijk
AAjax2 - 0S.Rotterdam
HAjax3 - 0Almere City
AAjax1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
HAjax2 - 2Utrecht
AAjax2 - 1NEC
HAjax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
AAjax2 - 2Twente
HAjax3 - 2PSV
AAjax2 - 0Feyenoord
HAjax1 - 0Willem II
AAjax4 - 3Heracles
HAjax3 - 1Groningen
AAjax2 - 0Waalwijk
AAjax1 - 1GA Eagles
HAjax5 - 0Fortuna
AAjax1 - 2NAC
HAjax1 - 0Heerenveen
Heracles 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NAC1 - 1Heracles
Almere City0 - 2Heracles
Feyenoord5 - 2Heracles
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Heracles
Utrecht1 - 0Heracles
Twente5 - 0Heracles
GA Eagles4 - 1Heracles
NEC1 - 2Heracles
PEC Zwolle3 - 0Heracles
S.Rotterdam0 - 0Heracles
Excelsior4 - 0Heracles
PEC Zwolle3 - 1Heracles
S.Rotterdam1 - 2Heracles
Twente1 - 0Heracles
Feyenoord3 - 0Heracles
Utrecht1 - 0Heracles
PSV2 - 0Heracles
NEC3 - 1Heracles
Waalwijk1 - 2Heracles
Vitesse2 - 0Heracles
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHeracles1 - 1NAC
HHeracles1 - 1Groningen
HHeracles1 - 1Utrecht
AHeracles2 - 0Almere City
HHeracles1 - 1S.Rotterdam
AHeracles2 - 5Feyenoord
HHeracles2 - 2Fortuna
AHeracles0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
HHeracles2 - 2Waalwijk
AHeracles0 - 1Utrecht
HHeracles2 - 0NAC
AHeracles0 - 5Twente
HHeracles3 - 4Ajax
AHeracles1 - 4GA Eagles
HHeracles2 - 1Heerenveen
AHeracles2 - 1NEC
HHeracles0 - 0Almere City
AHeracles0 - 3PEC Zwolle
HHeracles1 - 1Willem II
HHeracles1 - 3PSV
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Ajax have beaten Heracles in 4 consecutive league meetings
8
Ajax have not lost to Heracles in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
Heracles
Goals: Scored
22
4
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
AJA
6
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Ajax4 - 1
Ajax3 - 0
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Ajax1 - 0
Ajax4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Heracles since 2015
Heracles
Ajax
Goals: Scored
9
15
Games: Scored
5 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
4 / 9
AJA
5
D
1
HER
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Heracles
3 - 4Ajax
2 - 4Ajax
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Ajax
Heracles1 - 0
Heracles1 - 0
Heracles2 - 1
0 - 2Ajax
0 - 2Ajax
Goal Statistics

Ajax's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Eredivisie outings. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Ajax 2nd Heracles 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Heracles scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Ajax’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-35
Heracles have scored 35% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278835/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Heracles
2.5
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
AJA
HER
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
AJA
HER
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Ajax v Heracles Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19655
R PasveerK TaylorK TaylorJ Hato
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Taylor MID2065
1
-
R Pasveer GLK191
-
B Traoré FWD1952
-
J Hato DEF1825
5
-
J Henderson MID184
3
-
D Klaassen MID1862
-
B Brobbey FWD1823
4
-
Y Baas  DEF171
2
-
J Sutalo DEF172
3
-
K Fitz-Jim MID172
1
-
W Weghorst FWD1661
2
-
M Godts FWD1631
1
-
A Gaaei DEF1413
3
-
S Berghuis  FWD1211
1
-
B Boomen MID11
-
D Rugani DEF8
-
C Rasmussen  FWD7
1
-
O Wijndal DEF5
2
-
A Kaplan DEF4
1
-
D. Janse DEF2
-
B Tahirovic MID1
-
Y Regeer MID1
1
-
Heracles Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21735
F KeijzerL. KulenovićM EngelsS Scheperman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Keijzer GLK211
1
-
I Mesík DEF21
3
-
D Mirani DEF211
2
-
M Engels FWD2133
2
-
S Podgoreanu FWD191
2
-
M Benita DEF181
2
-
D Kaam MID182
2
-
B Keersmaecker MID1832
2
1
J. Talvitie FWD182
1
-
S. ’t Zand MID171
1
-
J Hornkamp FWD1621
4
-
L. Kulenović FWD147
-
S Scheperman MID12
5
-
J Žambůrek MID111
1
-
T Bruns MID1111
1
-
B Limbombe FWD9
-
J Wieckhoff DEF81
1
-
J Bruijn MID8
-
L Milani DEF7
2
-
J Hoogma DEF72
-
M Rots DEF31
-
G. Sambo FWD2
-