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Ajax v AZ : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 15:45 BST, Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam

We’ve Eredivisie action to look forward to on Sunday afternoon, as Francesco Farioli and his Ajax side host Maarten Martens’s AZ at the Amsterdam ArenA. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% probability of Ajax and AZ Alkmaar scoring a minimum of a couple of goals in this Eredivisie tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it would appear that the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
53%
1.80
11%
1.80
4%
Draw
23%
3.80
5%
3.75
4%
AZ Alkmaar
24%
4.20
9%
4.40
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00
13%
6.50
7%
Ajax 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Ajax 1-0
10%
7.50
6%
6.50
7%
Ajax 2-0
9%
8.508.00
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
6%
12.00
20%
11.00
8%
Ajax 3-1
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
11.00
15%
9.50
5%
Ajax 3-0
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
3%
21.00
19%
17.00
11%
Ajax 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Ajax 4-1
3%
29.00
26%
21.00
11%
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
2%
34.0026.00
Ajax 4-0
2%
29.00
26%
21.00
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.90
12%
1.83
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1.90
10%
1.91
5%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.50
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.75
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11.00
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.80
3%
1.80
3%
BTTS - No
44%
1.95
3%
1.91
5%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.75
15%
3.50
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.004.80
BTTS - Away Win
13%
8.007.50
Home/draw
76%
1.22
3%
1.20
2%
Away/draw
47%
1.95
13%
2.00
5%
Home/away
77%
1.25
2%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.29
8%
1.29
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3.50
19%
3.50
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3.25
24%
3.00
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.33
8%
1.35
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
6.50
30%
5.50
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.11
5%
1.12
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
15.00
36%
11.00
16%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.03
2%
1.03
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.05
1%
1.04
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11.00
15%
9.50
5%
Home DNB
69%
1.33
3%
1.30
1%
Away DNB
40%
3.25
7%
3.10
6%
Ajax win to nil
27%
3.00-
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
11%
7.00
22%
-
Ajax / Ajax
28%
2.88
11%
2.75
6%
Ajax / AZ Alkmaar
3%
34.0029.00
Ajax / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Ajax
18%
4.75
6%
4.40
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
9%
9.00
10%
8.50
6%
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
8%
5.25
5%
AZ Alkmaar / Ajax
4%
21.0019.00
12%
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
12%
7.00
13%
6.50
7%
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Eredivisie league table. Ajax are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 40 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 12 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 30 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

AZ Alkmaar are in 6th position in the Eredivisie on 43 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 2. AZ Alkmaar have conceded 10 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Ajax Home2520323563 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 16
2
PSV2517444555 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
3
Utrecht251474849 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
4
Twente2513751946 
May 18
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
May 14
5
Feyenoord2412842144 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 5
l
 
3-2F
6
AZ Alkmaar Away2413471643 
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
-
-
7
GA Eagles251258641 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
May 4
8
Fortuna259511-1032 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Heerenveen258611-1430 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
9-1F
l
 
3-1A
10
Groningen247710-1028 
w
 
3-1F
May 14
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
11
NAC258413-1628 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
Apr 24
w
 
1-2A
12
Heracles256910-1427 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
13
NEC257513-126 
May 11
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 29
14
PEC Zwolle256712-1125 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
S.Rotterdam255911-1024 
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
16
Willem II256613-1324 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
Waalwijk244515-1717 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 1
w
 
0-3F
18
Almere City253517-3414 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 18
w
 
0-1F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Ajax have won 5 consecutive home league games
26
Ajax have not lost in 26 consecutive home league games
Ajax 1ST
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax2 - 0GA Eagles
Ajax4 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 1Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 1Waalwijk
Ajax3 - 0Almere City
Ajax2 - 2Utrecht
Ajax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
Ajax3 - 2PSV
Ajax1 - 0Willem II
Ajax3 - 1Groningen
Ajax5 - 0Fortuna
Ajax1 - 0Heerenveen
Ajax3 - 0Almere City
Ajax2 - 2Excelsior
Ajax2 - 1Twente
Ajax1 - 1GA Eagles
Ajax2 - 2Fortuna
Ajax2 - 0Utrecht
Ajax2 - 2NEC
Ajax1 - 1PSV
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax1 - 0PEC Zwolle
AAjax1 - 0Almere City
HAjax2 - 0GA Eagles
HAjax4 - 0Heracles
AAjax2 - 0Fortuna
HAjax2 - 1Feyenoord
AAjax2 - 0Heerenveen
HAjax2 - 1Waalwijk
AAjax2 - 0S.Rotterdam
HAjax3 - 0Almere City
AAjax1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
HAjax2 - 2Utrecht
AAjax2 - 1NEC
HAjax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
AAjax2 - 2Twente
HAjax3 - 2PSV
AAjax2 - 0Feyenoord
HAjax1 - 0Willem II
AAjax4 - 3Heracles
HAjax3 - 1Groningen
AZ Alkmaar 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heerenveen3 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Willem II0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht0 - 0AZ Alkmaar
PSV2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
NAC1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
S.Rotterdam1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord3 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna1 - 0AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Waalwijk0 - 3AZ Alkmaar
Groningen0 - 0AZ Alkmaar
Almere City0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
GA Eagles0 - 3AZ Alkmaar
NEC0 - 3AZ Alkmaar
PSV5 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Heracles5 - 0AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam0 - 4AZ Alkmaar
S.Rotterdam1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Almere City0 - 0AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3Heerenveen
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Fortuna
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 0PEC Zwolle
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 0Willem II
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 2S.Rotterdam
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 0Utrecht
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 2PSV
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Twente
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1NAC
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Ajax
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Heracles
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1S.Rotterdam
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 2Willem II
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 3Feyenoord
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 2PSV
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 1Fortuna
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 2Utrecht
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar9 - 1Heerenveen
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
AZ Alkmaar have beaten Ajax in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
AZ Alkmaar have not lost to Ajax in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
20
8
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
AJA
5
D
1
AZ
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 0
0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax3 - 0
Ajax4 - 1
Ajax4 - 1
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
AJA
3
D
2
AZ
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Ajax
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0
1 - 2Ajax
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Ajax
Goal Statistics

Ajax have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 28 consecutive Eredivisie outings. Their PG of 1.8 against AZ on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Ajax's defensive record is very strong, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Eredivisie games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for AZ makes sense in this context.

Ajax 1st AZ Alkmaar 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Ajax’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278864/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
AZ Alkmaar
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
28%
better
AJA
AZ
view stats
Games scored25
21
Failed to score0
3
Scored first17
16
Goals scored53
40
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for2
1.6
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
16%
better
AJA
AZ
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets14
10
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded18
24
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%

Ajax v AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21875
J HatoK TaylorJ HatoJ Hato
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Taylor MID2485
1
-
B Traoré FWD2353
-
B Brobbey FWD2343
4
-
J Hato DEF2227
5
-
D Klaassen MID2272
-
K Fitz-Jim MID222
2
-
R Pasveer GLK211
-
Y Baas  DEF211
2
-
J Henderson MID214
4
-
J Sutalo DEF202
3
-
M Godts FWD2042
2
-
A Gaaei DEF1914
3
-
W Weghorst FWD1772
2
-
S Berghuis  FWD1713
1
-
B Boomen MID12
-
D Rugani DEF11
-
C Rasmussen  FWD91
1
-
O Wijndal DEF5
2
-
A Kaplan DEF5
2
-
J. Mokio MID5
-
O Edvardsen FWD52
1
-
Matheus GLK3
-
D. Janse DEF3
-
L Rosa DEF1
-
Y Regeer MID1
1
-
AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231256
P KoopmeinersT ParrottD WolfeW Goes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Koopmeiners MID2414
2
-
T Parrott FWD24121
-
A Penetra DEF23
2
-
D Wolfe DEF2215
4
1
S Mijnans MID2243
4
-
J Clasie MID222
2
-
S Maikuma DEF21
2
-
D Kasius DEF2022
1
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK19
-
W Goes DEF192
6
-
Z Buurmeester MID1731
-
M Meerdink FWD176
2
-
M. Lahdo FWD1732
-
R Bommel FWD1522
3
-
E Poku FWD142
2
-
J. Addai FWD12
1
-
K Belic MID111
2
-
M Wit DEF911
2
-
K. Smit MID9
1
-
I Sadiq FWD943
-
M Dekker DEF6
1
1
B Indi  DEF6
-
J Zoet GLK5
-
L Schouten DEF1
-
R. Daal FWD1
-