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Novorizontino v Mirassol : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 3rd Jul, 00:00 BST, Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Bias, Novo Horizonte

Mozart Santos Batista Junior will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Serie B on Wednesday morning, as he takes his Mirassol side to the Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Bias to visit Novorizontino and Eduardo Alexandre Baptista. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our expansive database and pulled out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we don't predict a goal-fest here. The statistics suggest Novorizontin and Mirassol both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Novorizontin are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Novorizontin 44%	-	13/10 3%
Draw 31%	-	15/8
Mirassol 25%	-	2/1 3%
Novorizontin 1-0 17%	-	19/4 4%
Draw 0-0 15%	-	5/1
Draw 1-1 13%	-	19/4
Mirassol 1-0 12%	-	6/1 8%
Novorizontin 2-0 9%	-	8/1 5%
Novorizontin 2-1 7%	-	8/1 5%
Mirassol 2-1 5%	-	10/1 10%
Mirassol 2-0 4%	-	11/1
Novorizontin 3-0 4%	-	16/1 11%
Draw 2-2 3%	-	14/1
Novorizontin 3-1 3%	-	16/1 11%
Mirassol 3-1 1%	-	20/1
Mirassol 3-0 1%	-	22/1
Novorizontin 3-2 1%	-	25/1
Novorizontin 4-0 1%	-	33/1
BTTS - Yes 36%	-	23/20
BTTS - No 64%	-	13/20
BTTS - Home Win 13%	-	19/4
BTTS - Draw 16%	-	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 8%	-	6/1
Home/draw 75%	-	7/20 1%
Away/draw 56%	-	11/20 1%
Home/away 69%	-	4/11
Home DNB 66%	-	13/20 1%
Away DNB 47%	-	23/20 5%
Novorizontin / Novorizontin 20%	-	14/5 3%
Novorizontin / Mirassol 3%	-	25/1
Novorizontin / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Novorizontin 15%	-	17/4 5%
Draw / Mirassol 12%	-	11/2
Draw / Draw 20%	-	29/10
Mirassol / Novorizontin 3%	-	22/1 12%
Mirassol / Mirassol 15%	-	4/1 4%
Mirassol / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Mirassol have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Mirassol have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Mirassol have failed to score in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

HOME FORM
Novorizontin	1 - 1	Amazonas
Novorizontin	3 - 1	Santos
Novorizontin	0 - 0	Cortiba
Novorizontin	0 - 3	Ceara
Novorizontin	2 - 1	CRB
Novorizontin	2 - 0	Criciuma
Novorizontin	1 - 2	Vitoria
Novorizontin	2 - 0	Ponte Preta
Novorizontin	0 - 0	Tombense
Novorizontin	2 - 1	ABC
Novorizontin	4 - 1	Ceara
Novorizontin	2 - 0	Ituano
Novorizontin	1 - 2	Chapecoense
Novorizontin	2 - 1	Mirassol
Novorizontin	3 - 1	Vila Nova
Novorizontin	3 - 0	Londrina
Novorizontin	2 - 2	Atletico Go
Novorizontin	0 - 1	Botafogo
Novorizontin	1 - 0	Sampaio
Novorizontin	1 - 0	Guarani

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Novorizontin	2 - 1	S. Recife
H	Novorizontin	1 - 1	Amazonas
A	Novorizontin	0 - 1	Ponte Preta
H	Novorizontin	3 - 1	Santos
A	Novorizontin	0 - 0	Brusque
A	Novorizontin	1 - 0	Botafogo
H	Novorizontin	0 - 0	Cortiba
A	Novorizontin	1 - 2	Vila Nova
H	Novorizontin	0 - 3	Ceara
A	Novorizontin	3 - 1	Ituano
A	Novorizontin	0 - 2	America
H	Novorizontin	2 - 1	CRB
H	Novorizontin	2 - 0	Criciuma
A	Novorizontin	1 - 0	Londrina
H	Novorizontin	1 - 2	Vitoria
A	Novorizontin	2 - 2	Atletico Go
H	Novorizontin	2 - 0	Ponte Preta
A	Novorizontin	0 - 2	Botafogo
H	Novorizontin	0 - 0	Tombense
A	Novorizontin	1 - 1	Sampaio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Vila Nova	1 - 0	Mirassol
S. Recife	1 - 0	Mirassol
Amazonas	1 - 0	Mirassol
America	0 - 0	Mirassol
Botafogo	0 - 0	Mirassol
Brusque	3 - 1	Mirassol
Tombense	0 - 1	Mirassol
Ceara	2 - 0	Mirassol
Ituano	0 - 0	Mirassol
ABC	1 - 2	Mirassol
Ponte Preta	0 - 3	Mirassol
Criciuma	2 - 1	Mirassol
Vitoria	0 - 0	Mirassol
Vila Nova	2 - 0	Mirassol
Novorizontin	2 - 1	Mirassol
Chapecoense	0 - 1	Mirassol
Atletico Go	2 - 2	Mirassol
S. Recife	0 - 0	Mirassol
Guarani	2 - 1	Mirassol
Londrina	1 - 2	Mirassol

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Mirassol	0 - 0	Santos
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Vila Nova
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	S. Recife
H	Mirassol	1 - 0	Goias
H	Mirassol	3 - 0	Guarani
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Amazonas
H	Mirassol	2 - 0	Ituano
A	Mirassol	0 - 0	America
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Paysandu
A	Mirassol	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Mirassol	3 - 2	Ceara
A	Mirassol	1 - 3	Brusque
A	Mirassol	1 - 0	Tombense
H	Mirassol	4 - 1	Atletico Go
A	Mirassol	0 - 2	Ceara
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	S. Recife
A	Mirassol	0 - 0	Ituano
H	Mirassol	0 - 0	Guarani
A	Mirassol	2 - 1	ABC
H	Mirassol	2 - 0	Londrina

Goal Statistics

Mirassol's defensive record is to be admired, Mozart Santos Batista Junior's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Serie B games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Novorizontino makes sense in this context.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Mirassol, with Mozart Santos Batista Junior's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Serie B outings.

	Novorizontin 10th	Mirassol 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Novorizontin will score no more than 1 goal	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Mirassol scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+13 Novorizontin have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted	-26 Mirassol have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2024/2024 season

better

NOV

view stats

Games scored	7		6
Failed to score	5		6
Scored first	4		5
Goals scored	13		12
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	11		10
Conversion rate for	9		10
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+2%

NOV

31%

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		6
Clean sheets	3		6
Conceded first	6		4
Goals conceded	13		9
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		14
Conversion rate against	10%		7%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+31%

Novorizontin v Mirassol Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Novorizontin Serie B squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	3	4
Jordi	Lucca	P Vitor	L Doria

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Jordi GLK	12			-
N Pessoa FWD	12		1	-
P Vitor FWD	12		3	2 -
L Doria DEF	11	1		4 -
Marlon MID	11			-
Lucca FWD	11	3	1	3 -
Reverson DEF	10	1		1 -
Renato DEF	10			3 -
R Soares DEF	9			1 -
D Barcelos DEF	9		1	2 -
Geovane MID	9		1	3 -
Waguininho FWD	9			1 1
F Daniel FWD	9	2		2 -
R Donato DEF	8	1		1 -
W Farias MID	8			3 -
Rodolfo FWD	7	1		-
R Prata DEF	6		1	-
C Martins DEF	6	2		-
L Tocantins MID	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	10	3	14
Lucca	F Daniel	P Vitor	R Soares

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Lucca FWD	3	6	1	5
F Daniel FWD	2	10		5
C Martins DEF	2	3
L Doria DEF	1	3
Reverson DEF	1	4		1
Rodolfo FWD	1	2		1
R Donato DEF	1	2
R Prata DEF		1	1	3
W Farias MID		1		3
D Barcelos DEF			1	6
Waguininho FWD		2		6
Geovane MID		2	1	5
N Pessoa FWD		1	1	5
R Soares DEF		2		14
Renato DEF		2		2
Marlon MID		3		6
P Vitor FWD		6	3	13
L Tocantins MID		1		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
402	19	49
L Doria	Marlon	Renato

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Doria DEF	402	9	35
Renato DEF	384	16	49
Marlon MID	328	19	36
Jordi GLK	303	1	8
R Donato DEF	250	7	46
Geovane MID	245	12	27
Reverson DEF	229	7	23
C Martins DEF	200	6	28
R Soares DEF	189	9	30
W Farias MID	178	7	18
D Barcelos DEF	144	3	14
P Vitor FWD	141	8	47
N Pessoa FWD	139	7	48
F Daniel FWD	130	2	32
R Prata DEF	123		9
Waguininho FWD	103	3	29
Lucca FWD	93	4	33
Rodolfo FWD	37	1	12
L Tocantins MID	32	1	7

Mirassol Serie B squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	2	3
L Otávio	Danielzinho	Dellatorre	N Moura

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Otávio DEF	12			1 -
Danielzinho MID	12	3		1 -
Gabriel FWD	12	1	1	1 -
A Muralha GLK	11			2 -
Warley DEF	11		1	2 -
N Moura MID	11			3 -
Dellatorre FWD	11	3	2	1
Fernandinho FWD	11	3	1	3 -
Negueba FWD	11			3 -
Chico MID	10			-
Isaque MID	7	1		-
L Gazal DEF	6			-
D Gonçalves FWD	5			-
Vanderlei GLK	1			-
Wanderson DEF	1			1 -
M Silva MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	12	2	13
Danielzinho	Dellatorre	Dellatorre	Danielzinho

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Dellatorre FWD	3	12	2	3
Danielzinho MID	3	4		13
Fernandinho FWD	3	4	1	7
Gabriel FWD	1	2	1	11
Isaque MID	1	2		4
L Otávio DEF		3		2
Warley DEF			1	3
N Moura MID				2
Negueba FWD		6		10
Chico MID		2		9
D Gonçalves FWD		1		2
M Silva MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
750	17	81
L Otávio	Fernandinho	Fernandinho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Otávio DEF	750	11	64
Danielzinho MID	613	15	55
Gabriel FWD	465	7	35
Warley DEF	440	16	33
N Moura MID	331	15	27
A Muralha GLK	272		5
Negueba FWD	203	13	25
Fernandinho FWD	189	17	81
Chico MID	168	5	39
L Gazal DEF	144	1	6
Isaque MID	140	5	9
Dellatorre FWD	104	9	32
Vanderlei GLK	25		2
D Gonçalves FWD	24		5
M Silva MID	3