Vasco da Gama's team badge Fortaleza's team badge

Vasco da Gama v Fortaleza : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 4th Jul, 00:00 BST, Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, Nova Iguaçu

Thursday morning sees Ramón Ángel Díaz’s Vasco da Gama and Juan Pablo Vojvoda’s Fortaleza go head to head in a Serie A battle at the Estádio Nivaldo Pereira. Analysing both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Vasco d Gama and Fortaleza will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it at 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
41%
2.40
4%
2.38
8%
Draw
26%
3.30
2%
3.00
3%
Fortaleza
33%
2.88
7%
2.75
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
Vasco d Gama 1-0
10%
7.006.50
Vasco d Gama 2-1
9%
10.00
5%
9.00
6%
Fortaleza 1-0
9%
8.007.00
7%
Fortaleza 2-1
8%
11.00
8%
9.50
5%
Vasco d Gama 2-0
7%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
8.007.00
Draw 2-2
6%
17.0013.00
Fortaleza 2-0
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Vasco d Gama 3-1
4%
21.0017.00
13%
Vasco d Gama 3-0
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
Fortaleza 3-1
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
Vasco d Gama 3-2
3%
34.0023.00
Fortaleza 3-2
2%
41.0026.00
Fortaleza 3-0
2%
29.00
15%
21.00
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
2.25-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.62-
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.83
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.25
2%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
8.00-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.951.95
BTTS - No
46%
1.801.75
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5.505.25
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.754.50
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6.50
7%
6.00
Home/draw
67%
1.40
3%
1.40
3%
Away/draw
59%
1.53
3%
1.53
4%
Home/away
74%
1.331.33
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.40-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
4.33-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.22-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
9.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.07-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
19.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.02-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.08-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8.00-
Home DNB
59%
1.73
7%
1.70
5%
Away DNB
51%
2.00
9%
2.00
7%
Vasco d Gama win to nil
22%
3.75-
Fortaleza win to nil
17%
4.50
10%
-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
20%
4.003.90
5%
Vasco d Gama / Fortaleza
3%
34.0026.00
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Vasco d Gama
15%
5.505.50
10%
Draw / Fortaleza
13%
6.506.00
8%
Draw / Draw
18%
4.504.33
2%
Fortaleza / Vasco d Gama
3%
29.0023.00
10%
Fortaleza / Fortaleza
17%
5.004.60
4%
Fortaleza / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
bet365
NEW FEATURE
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Vasco d Gama 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
see results
HOME FORM
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Botafogo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 6Flamengo
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Vitoria
Vasco d Gama0 - 4Criciuma
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Bragantino
Vasco d Gama2 - 4Corinthians
Vasco d Gama2 - 1America
Vasco d Gama1 - 0Botafogo
Vasco d Gama1 - 2Internacional
Vasco d Gama1 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama5 - 1Cortiba
Vasco d Gama4 - 2Fluminese
Vasco d Gama1 - 0A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 0Gremio
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Athletico PR
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
see results
OVERALL FORM
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Botafogo
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Bahia
HVasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Juventude
HVasco d Gama0 - 0Cruzeiro
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama1 - 6Flamengo
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Vitoria
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Athletico PR
HVasco d Gama0 - 4Criciuma
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Fluminese
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
HVasco d Gama2 - 1Bragantino
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Gremio
HVasco d Gama2 - 4Corinthians
AVasco d Gama0 - 0Athletico PR
AVasco d Gama2 - 2Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama2 - 1America
HVasco d Gama1 - 0Botafogo
Fortaleza 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
see results
AWAY FORM
A Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
Cuiaba5 - 0Fortaleza
Bahia1 - 0Fortaleza
Corinthians0 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Santos1 - 2Fortaleza
Bragantino1 - 2Fortaleza
Cuiaba2 - 1Fortaleza
Athletico PR1 - 1Fortaleza
A Mineiro3 - 1Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama1 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Fluminese1 - 0Fortaleza
Internacional0 - 1Fortaleza
Goias1 - 0Fortaleza
Palmeiras3 - 1Fortaleza
Flamengo2 - 0Fortaleza
Cruzeiro0 - 1Fortaleza
Botafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
see results
OVERALL FORM
HFortaleza2 - 1Juventude
HFortaleza3 - 0Palmeiras
AFortaleza1 - 1A Mineiro
HFortaleza1 - 0Gremio
AFortaleza0 - 5Cuiaba
AFortaleza0 - 1Bahia
HFortaleza1 - 0Athletico PR
HFortaleza1 - 1Botafogo
AFortaleza0 - 0Corinthians
HFortaleza1 - 1Bragantino
HFortaleza1 - 1Cruzeiro
AFortaleza2 - 1Sao Paulo
AFortaleza2 - 1Santos
HFortaleza1 - 0Goias
AFortaleza2 - 1Bragantino
HFortaleza2 - 2Palmeiras
HFortaleza2 - 2Botafogo
HFortaleza0 - 1Cruzeiro
AFortaleza1 - 2Cuiaba
AFortaleza1 - 1Athletico PR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Vasco d Gama have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Fortaleza
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2019
Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
2 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
1 / 3
VDG
2
D
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
All league games since 2019
Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
3 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
3 / 6
VDG
2
D
2
FOR
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Fortaleza2 - 0
Fortaleza3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Vasco d Gama 16th Fortaleza 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Fortaleza will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Vasco d Gama’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-24
Fortaleza have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273192/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Fortaleza
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
VDG
FOR
20%
better
view stats
Games scored8
9
Failed to score5
3
Scored first3
9
Goals scored13
13
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
VDG
FOR
47%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
8
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first9
2
Goals conceded25
12
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded12
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
11
Conversion rate against15%
9%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+47%

Vasco d Gama v Fortaleza Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13523
L JardimP VegettiL Piton P Vegetti
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jardim GLK13
-
P Henrique DEF131
1
-
Maicon DEF121
2
-
J Sforza MID12
2
-
P Vegetti FWD125
3
-
L Piton  DEF112
2
-
Adson FWD111
1
-
David  FWD1122
3
-
L Léo DEF10
1
-
P Galdames MID101
3
-
Rossi FWD101
2
-
R Rocha FWD9
-
J Victor DEF8
2
1
Z Gabriel MID8
3
-
J Bebanz DEF6
-
Clayton FWD6
-
V Luis DEF5
2
1
D Payet MID42
-
E Oliveira FWD3
-
R Rojas DEF2
-
G Medel DEF2
-
Praxedes MID2
2
-
Sergio FWD2
1
-
Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12536
J RicardoJ LuceroT PochettinoP Augusto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ricardo GLK12
-
Tinga DEF12
1
-
H Hércules MID121
1
-
Y Pikachu FWD1112
3
-
J Welison MID10
1
-
T Pochettino MID1013
3
-
P Augusto MID101
6
-
J Lucero FWD1051
3
-
E Brítez DEF9
5
1
B Pacheco DEF91
1
-
Titi DEF9
1
-
I Machuca FWD911
-
L Sasha MID7
1
-
M Moisés FWD6
-
Marinho FWD5
1
-
T Cardona DEF4
-
B Kuscevic DEF31
-
M Rossetto MID3
-
P Rocha FWD31
-
Calebe MID2
1
-
Dudu DEF1
-
K Silva MID1
-
K Andrade FWD11
-