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Sao Paulo v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Apr, 20:00 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Sunday night sees Luis Francisco Zubeldía’s Sao Paulo and Fábio Carille’s Santos go up against one another in a Serie A clash at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Sao Paulo and Santos an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
50%
19/20
3%
-
Draw
27%
23/10
3%
-
Santos
23%
31/10
9%
-
Sao Paulo 1-0
14%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Sao Paulo 2-0
10%
7/1-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1-
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
8/1-
Santos 1-0
9%
8/1-
Santos 2-1
5%
14/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
5%
16/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Santos 2-0
4%
18/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
33/1-
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
40/1-
Santos 3-1
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
41%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
6%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10-
BTTS - No
55%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/2-
Home/draw
77%
2/9
2%
-
Away/draw
50%
4/5-
Home/away
73%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
7/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1-
Home DNB
69%
2/5
3%
-
Away DNB
42%
7/4
8%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
32%
7/4-
Santos win to nil
14%
5/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
26%
9/4-
Sao Paulo / Santos
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
18%
15/4-
Draw / Santos
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2-
Santos / Sao Paulo
3%
28/1-
Santos / Santos
12%
6/1-
Santos / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win form
3
Santos have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Sao Paulo 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Santos 18TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Santos
Goals: Scored
11
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
SAO
4
D
1
STS
1
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
4 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
2 / 6
D
4
STS
2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Sao Paulo of late. It has been 6 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Santos.

Sao Paulo 15th Santos 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Santos scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Santos’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294495/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Santos
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
SAO
STS
43%
better
view stats
Games scored1
2
Failed to score2
1
Scored first1
1
Goals scored1
3
Avg. goals scored0.3
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal25
8
Conversion rate for4
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
73%
better
SAO
STS
view stats
Games conceded1
3
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded1
5
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded24
6
Conversion rate against4%
18%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+73%

Sao Paulo v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2001
RafaelA Franco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK2
-
N Ferraresi  DEF2
-
A Franco DEF2
1
-
R Arboleda DEF2
-
Wendell DEF2
-
C Soares DEF2
-
E Díaz DEF2
-
Alisson MID2
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID2
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID2
-
M Antônio MID2
-
J Calleri FWD2
1
Luciano FWD2
-
Ferreira FWD2
1
-
A Silva FWD2
1
-
I Vinícius  DEF1
-
Sabino DEF1
-
R Tressoldi DEF1
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD1
-
Santos Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
G BrazãoÁlvaro BarrealT SoaresJ. Pedro Chermont Crema
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Brazão GLK1
-
Z Ivaldo DEF1
-
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF1
1
-
G Escobar DEF1
-
Gil DEF1
-
G. Silva Bontempo MID1
-
J Schmidt MID1
-
Álvaro Barreal MID11
-
D Pituca MID1
-
Thaciano MID1
-
G Veron FWD1
-
D Eugênio FWD1
-
L. Oliveira Meirelles FWD1
-
G Augusto FWD1
-
T Soares FWD11
-
B Rollheiser FWD1
-