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Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Sao Paulo side will have home backing in the Serie A on Sunday night, as Sergiy Lavrinenko's Cruzeiro travel to the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds are all shown below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping under 2.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Sao Paulo's next match is v Botafogo at 22:30 on Wednesday 16th April
Cruzeiro's next match is v Bahia at 01:30 on Friday 18th April
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Sao Paulo and Cruzeiro was on Sunday 13th April 2025
Brazillian Serie A
April 13th 2025
Sao Paulo 1
1 Cruzeiro
 
A. dos Santos Ferreira 52'65' K. Pinto Ramos
 
SAO
CRU
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
4
6
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
14
21
Yellow/red cards
5/0
6/0
 
Sao PauloCruzeiro
 
R. Monteiro
E. Díaz (W. Nascimento Borges 77')
R. Tressoldi Netto
C. Alves Soares
A. Franco
L. dos Santos Ferreira
A. de Freitas Castro (D. Bobadilla 46')
M. Silva Santos
A. dos Santos Ferreirafootball icon (R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva 77')
A. Oliveira Silva
L. da Rocha Neves (M. Alves Nascimento 46')
C. Ramos
L. Villalba
F. Conserva Lemos
F. Soares de Faria
K. da Silva
(C. de Oliveira Alves 86') M. Costa Pereira
(W. Souza Silva 78') L. Silva Borges
(E. Pereira Rodrigues 66') C. Alves Cardoso
L. Romero
(L. Díaz 77') football iconK. Pinto Ramos
(M. Oliveira Alencar 85') W. Maciel Sousa Campos

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we don't predict a thriller here. The stats suggest Sao Paulo and Cruzeiro both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
52%
17/20
8%
-
Draw
27%
2/1
6%
-
Cruzeiro
21%
17/4
31%
-
Sao Paulo 1-0
16%
4/1
29%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
5/1
29%
-
Sao Paulo 2-0
11%
6/1
22%
-
Cruzeiro 1-0
9%
17/2
14%
-
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
-
Sao Paulo 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Cruzeiro 2-1
5%
18/1
46%
-
Sao Paulo 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
-
Cruzeiro 2-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
40%
-
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
40/1
41%
-
Sao Paulo 4-1
1%
40/1-
Cruzeiro 3-1
1%
50/1
50%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
8/5
24%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
19/40
13%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
11/5
22%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
5/1
29%
-
BTTS - Yes
41%
11/8
25%
-
BTTS - No
59%
8/15
20%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
22%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
63%
-
Home/draw
79%
1/6
4%
-
Away/draw
48%
10/11
6%
-
Home/away
73%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
8/15
13%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
6/4
22%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
4/1
25%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/6
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1
38%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1
53%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/100
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/9
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
11/2
24%
-
Home DNB
71%
2/7
8%
-
Away DNB
40%
5/2
27%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
35%
13/8
19%
-
Cruzeiro win to nil
13%
6/1
8%
-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
27%
21/10
5%
-
Sao Paulo / Cruzeiro
2%
40/1
21%
-
Sao Paulo / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
19%
10/3
13%
-
Draw / Cruzeiro
9%
8/1
13%
-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1
20%
-
Cruzeiro / Sao Paulo
3%
28/1
12%
-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
10%
15/2
31%
-
Cruzeiro / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
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Win / draw / win form
7
Sao Paulo have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Sao Paulo 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Sao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
Sao Paulo0 - 1Cuiaba
Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo0 - 0Palmeiras
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
HSao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 2Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
ASao Paulo1 - 2Palmeiras
HSao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
HSao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Cruzeiro 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional3 - 0Cruzeiro
Juventude0 - 1Cruzeiro
Bragantino1 - 1Cruzeiro
Corinthians2 - 1Cruzeiro
Athletico PR3 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
Cuiaba0 - 0Cruzeiro
Internacional1 - 0Cruzeiro
Vitoria2 - 2Cruzeiro
Botafogo0 - 3Cruzeiro
Palmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
Gremio0 - 2Cruzeiro
Criciuma1 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
Bahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Atletico Go0 - 1Cruzeiro
A Mineiro3 - 0Cruzeiro
Fortaleza1 - 1Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACruzeiro0 - 3Internacional
HCruzeiro2 - 1Mirassol
ACruzeiro1 - 0Juventude
HCruzeiro1 - 2Palmeiras
ACruzeiro1 - 1Bragantino
HCruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
ACruzeiro1 - 2Corinthians
HCruzeiro2 - 1Criciuma
HCruzeiro0 - 1Flamengo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Athletico PR
HCruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
ACruzeiro0 - 1Fluminense
HCruzeiro1 - 1Vasco d Gama
ACruzeiro0 - 0Cuiaba
HCruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
HCruzeiro3 - 1Atletico Go
HCruzeiro0 - 0Internacional
ACruzeiro0 - 1Internacional
ACruzeiro2 - 2Vitoria
HCruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sao Paulo have beaten Cruzeiro in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
Sao Paulo have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Cruzeiro
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
5
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
SAO
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
SAO
2
CRU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro1 - 0
Cruzeiro1 - 0
0 - 2Sao Paulo
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Sao Paulo of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday night against Cruzeiro.

Sao Paulo 15th Cruzeiro 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Cruzeiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Cruzeiro have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294475/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Cruzeiro
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
SAO
CRU
44%
better
view stats
Games scored0
1
Failed to score2
1
Scored first0
1
Goals scored0
2
Avg. goals scored0
1
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal0
6
Conversion rate for0
17
Avg. XG for1.3
0.6
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
63%
better
SAO
CRU
view stats
Games conceded0
2
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded0
4
Avg. goals conceded0
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
15
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
7
Conversion rate against0%
14%
Avg. XG against1
2.1
KickOff rating
+63%

Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2001
RafaelA Franco
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK2
-
C Soares DEF2
-
R Tressoldi DEF1
-
A Franco DEF2
1
-
E Díaz DEF2
-
Alisson MID2
-
M Antônio MID2
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID2
-
Luciano MID2
-
Ferreira MID2
1
-
A Silva FWD2
1
-
Subs
Jandrei GLK
-
I Vinícius  DEF1
-
Wendell DEF2
-
N Ferraresi  DEF2
-
Sabino DEF1
-
Patryck DEF
-
Rodrigo MID
-
D Bobadilla MID
-
F Negrucci MID
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID2
-
H. Fabiano do Carmo FWD
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD1
-
Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2122
C CássioDuduWilliamC Cássio
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Cássio GLK2
2
-
Fagner DEF
-
F Bruno DEF2
-
L Villalba DEF
-
Kaiki DEF2
-
L Silva MID1
-
L Romero MID2
1
-
Christian MID
-
M Pereira MID1
-
Wanderson MID2
-
K Jorge FWD1
-
Subs
L Carvalho GLK
-
William DEF22
-
M Gamarra DEF2
-
J. da Silva Marques MID
-
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID
-
Rodriguinho MID1
-
Walace MID1
1
-
C Eduardo  MID1
-
Dudu FWD21
-
G Barbosa FWD21
-
Marquinhos FWD2
-
L Díaz FWD1
-