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Sao Paulo v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Sunday night at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, and it’s a Serie A clash between Sao Paulo and Bahia. Thiago Carpini Barbosa and Rogério Mücke Ceni going all-out to ensure victory. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

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Sao Paulo's next match is v Athletico PR at 01:30 on Thursday 4th July
Bahia's next match is v Juventude at 23:00 on Thursday 4th July
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Sao Paulo and Bahia was on Sunday 30th June 2024
Brazillian Serie A
June 30th 2024
Sao Paulo 3
1 Bahia
 
J. Calleri 30'49' G. Moraes Junior
A. dos Santos Ferreira 32'
L. da Rocha Neves 65'
 
SAO
BAH
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
6
7
Corners
4
4
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
15
9
Yellow/red cards
5/0
1/0
 
Sao PauloBahia
 
J. Chitolina Carniel
A. Franco
I. de Souza (D. Costa Barbosa 90')
R. Arboleda Escobar
Welington (W. Soares da Silva 83')
L. Dias
A. de Freitas Castro
L. da Rocha Nevesfootball icon (P. Lanza dos Reis 85')
J. Callerifootball icon
L. Rodrigues Moura da Silva (Juan 90')
A. dos Santos Ferreirafootball icon (M. Araújo Villar 83')
M. de Freitas Monteiro
football iconG. Moraes Junior
G. Lhman Xavier
V. Soares dos Santos
(C. de Pena Bonino 69') É. de Barros Ribeiro
(A. da Silva Santos Junior 69') C. Oliveira Souza
T. da Silva
(J. de Rezende Miranda 81') C. Souza e Silva
(G. Teixeira Aragão 61') J. de Souza Oliveira
(O. Estupiñán Vallesilla 69') E. Stum
Luciano
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Sao Paulo and Bahia 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A game according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
45%
19/20
3%
10/11
Draw
26%
5/221/10
6%
Bahia
29%
3/1
11%
27/10
9%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
8%
Sao Paulo 1-0
11%
11/25/1
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Bahia 1-0
9%
9/1
11%
15/2
6%
Sao Paulo 2-0
8%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw 0-0
8%
15/26/1
13%
Bahia 2-1
7%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
Bahia 2-0
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Sao Paulo 3-1
4%
16/112/1
Sao Paulo 3-0
4%
16/112/1
Bahia 3-1
3%
33/122/1
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
Bahia 3-2
2%
40/128/1
12%
Bahia 3-0
2%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
23/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
4/6-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/2019/20
BTTS - No
49%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
19%
7/2
5%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/118/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
15/2
6%
13/2
7%
Home/draw
71%
2/9
5%
2/9
5%
Away/draw
55%
4/54/5
Home/away
74%
2/71/3
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
6%
-
Home DNB
63%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Away DNB
47%
7/4
5%
9/5
8%
Sao Paulo win to nil
25%
2/1
8%
-
Bahia win to nil
16%
11/2
8%
-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
26%
11/5
2%
21/10
3%
Sao Paulo / Bahia
2%
33/128/1
12%
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Sao Paulo
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
Draw / Bahia
10%
7/113/2
7%
Draw / Draw
18%
4/1
5%
17/5
8%
Bahia / Sao Paulo
3%
25/120/1
Bahia / Bahia
12%
11/211/2
13%
Bahia / Draw
5%
14/112/1
bet365
NEW FEATURE
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
see results
HOME FORM
Sao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
Sao Paulo0 - 1Cuiaba
Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Fluminese
Sao Paulo0 - 0Palmeiras
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo0 - 0Cuiaba
Sao Paulo1 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo3 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo2 - 1Cortiba
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Sao Paulo0 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo0 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo4 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 0Fluminese
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HSao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
ASao Paulo1 - 4Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo0 - 1Cuiaba
ASao Paulo2 - 2Corinthians
ASao Paulo0 - 0Internacional
HSao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
HSao Paulo2 - 1Fluminese
ASao Paulo3 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo0 - 0Palmeiras
ASao Paulo3 - 0Atletico Go
ASao Paulo1 - 2Flamengo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
HSao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
ASao Paulo1 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 0Bahia
HSao Paulo0 - 0Cuiaba
ASao Paulo0 - 1Fluminese
ASao Paulo0 - 0Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Bragantino
HSao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
Bahia 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
see results
AWAY FORM
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Criciuma2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Botafogo1 - 2Bahia
Vitoria2 - 2Bahia
Internacional2 - 1Bahia
America 3 - 2Bahia
Corinthians1 - 5Bahia
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Palmeiras1 - 0Bahia
Cruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
Goias4 - 6Bahia
Flamengo1 - 0Bahia
Cortiba2 - 4Bahia
Botafogo3 - 0Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo0 - 0Bahia
Athletico PR2 - 0Bahia
Cuiaba1 - 1Bahia
Fluminese2 - 1Bahia
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HBahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
HBahia4 - 1Cruzeiro
ABahia1 - 2Flamengo
ABahia2 - 2Criciuma
HBahia1 - 0Fortaleza
ABahia1 - 1A Mineiro
HBahia1 - 0Bragantino
ABahia2 - 1Botafogo
HBahia1 - 0Gremio
ABahia2 - 2Vitoria
HBahia2 - 1Fluminese
ABahia1 - 2Internacional
HBahia4 - 1A Mineiro
ABahia2 - 3America
HBahia0 - 1Sao Paulo
ABahia5 - 1Corinthians
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia0 - 3Cuiaba
ABahia0 - 1Gremio
HBahia1 - 0Fluminese
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Sao Paulo have not lost to Bahia in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
3 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
2 / 5
SAO
2
D
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
All league games since 2018
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
6 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
4 / 10
SAO
4
D
5
BAH
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
0 - 1Sao Paulo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bahia1 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
1 - 3Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Sao Paulo 6th Bahia 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Sao Paulo have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+41
Bahia have scored 41% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273182/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
SAO
BAH
25%
better
view stats
Games scored9
12
Failed to score3
0
Scored first6
6
Goals scored17
20
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
17
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
4%
better
SAO
BAH
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded14
13
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%

Sao Paulo v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12525
I Vinícius LucianoI Vinícius Luciano
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Jandrei GLK6
-
I Vinícius  DEF122
3
-
R Arboleda DEF111
-
A Franco DEF91
3
-
Welington  DEF111
-
Alisson MID1211
4
-
L Gustavo MID7
2
-
L Moura MID721
1
-
Luciano MID1151
5
-
Ferreira MID931
2
-
J Calleri FWD1231
2
-
Subs
Young GLK
1
-
D Costa DEF12
2
-
Igão DEF
-
Sabino DEF
-
Patryck DEF3
1
-
G Galoppo  MID8
3
-
R Nestor MID92
2
-
M Araújo MID111
3
-
W Rato MID5
-
A Silva FWD921
-
Juan FWD71
-
Erick FWD51
1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13534
M FelipeEveraldoS SuayKanu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Felipe GLK13
1
-
Gilberto DEF61
-
G Xavier DEF12
2
-
Kanu DEF9
4
-
L Juba DEF131
-
C Alexandre MID132
2
-
S Suay MID133
2
-
Cauly MID1313
-
J Lucas MID1313
2
-
Everaldo FWD1351
1
-
Thaciano FWD123
3
-
Subs
Adriel GLK
-
V Cuesta DEF4
1
-
D Duarte DEF
-
Cicinho  DEF4
-
R Sousa DEF
-
Rezende MID9
1
-
C Pena MID121
3
-
Y Felipe MID2
1
-
Ademir FWD1111
-
Biel  FWD1333
2
-
R Ratão FWD31
-
Óscar Estupiñán FWD731
1
-