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Sao Paulo v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 24th Nov, 00:30 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Luis Francisco Zubeldía and Gabriel Alejandro Milito pit their wits in the Serie A on Sunday morning, as Sao Paulo face Atlético Mineiro at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. In this preview you'll find odds for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are anticipating a relatively tight affair here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Sao Paulo and A Mineiro go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The stats and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
54%
2.00
16%
2.00
20%
Draw
26%
3.00
17%
3.20
6%
A Mineiro
20%
4.33
9%
4.20
3%
Sao Paulo 1-0
15%
5.505.25
Draw 1-1
12%
6.00
14%
6.00
8%
Sao Paulo 2-0
11%
8.00
14%
7.50
15%
Draw 0-0
10%
6.00
25%
6.00
20%
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
9.50
6%
8.50
6%
A Mineiro 1-0
8%
9.00
10%
8.00
11%
Sao Paulo 3-0
6%
17.00
31%
13.00
18%
A Mineiro 2-1
5%
17.0013.00
Sao Paulo 3-1
4%
21.00
24%
15.00
15%
Draw 2-2
3%
21.0017.00
13%
A Mineiro 2-0
3%
21.00
9%
15.00
12%
Sao Paulo 4-0
2%
41.00
41%
29.00
38%
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
26%
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
26%
A Mineiro 3-1
1%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2.60
16%
2.50
16%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1.48
9%
1.48
6%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.62
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3.00
3%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
6.00
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
2.20
5%
2.25
5%
BTTS - No
58%
1.62
3%
1.57
3%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
5.50
22%
5.00
15%
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.00
9%
4.80
9%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11.009.00
5%
Home/draw
80%
1.20
2%
1.22
3%
Away/draw
46%
1.80
12%
1.80
12%
Home/away
74%
1.36
5%
1.35
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1.53
9%
1.50
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
2.50
17%
2.40
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
5.00
15%
4.80
23%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1.17
4%
1.15
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
11.00
22%
10.00
33%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.05
2%
1.04
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
23.00
21%
21.00
40%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.01
1%
1.00
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.11
3%
1.11
5%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6.50
19%
6.00
14%
Home DNB
72%
1.36
5%
1.36
5%
Away DNB
38%
3.00
14%
2.88
15%
Sao Paulo win to nil
35%
2.75
5%
-
A Mineiro win to nil
12%
6.50
7%
-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
25%
3.25
18%
3.10
15%
Sao Paulo / A Mineiro
2%
41.0034.00
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
13%
Draw / Sao Paulo
17%
4.50
4%
4.50
7%
Draw / A Mineiro
10%
8.00
16%
8.00
11%
Draw / Draw
19%
4.33
9%
4.00
17%
A Mineiro / Sao Paulo
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
12%
7.00
18%
6.50
7%
A Mineiro / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
13%
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Win / draw / win form
3
Sao Paulo have won 3 consecutive home league games
5
Sao Paulo have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
6
A Mineiro have not won in 6 consecutive league games
4
A Mineiro have failed to score in 4 consecutive league games
Sao Paulo 6TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 1Criciuma
Sao Paulo0 - 1Cuiaba
Sao Paulo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo0 - 0Palmeiras
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
Sao Paulo0 - 0Cuiaba
Sao Paulo1 - 0Bragantino
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
HSao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 2Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
ASao Paulo1 - 2Palmeiras
HSao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
HSao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Fortaleza
HSao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
ASao Paulo0 - 0Juventude
HSao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 2A Mineiro
HSao Paulo2 - 0Bragantino
A Mineiro 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Athletico PR1 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
Atletico Go1 - 0A Mineiro
Fortaleza1 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 3A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Criciuma2 - 1A Mineiro
Juventude1 - 1A Mineiro
Botafogo3 - 0A Mineiro
Internacional1 - 2A Mineiro
Vitoria4 - 2A Mineiro
Bragantino1 - 2A Mineiro
Fluminense2 - 2A Mineiro
Cuiaba0 - 3A Mineiro
Corinthians0 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia4 - 1A Mineiro
Flamengo0 - 3A Mineiro
Corinthians1 - 1A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 0Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Atletico Go
HA Mineiro1 - 3Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
HA Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
HA Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
AA Mineiro1 - 2Palmeiras
HA Mineiro3 - 0Bragantino
AA Mineiro0 - 3Bahia
AA Mineiro3 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
HA Mineiro1 - 1Cuiaba
AA Mineiro0 - 0Cruzeiro
AA Mineiro1 - 2Criciuma
HA Mineiro2 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AA Mineiro1 - 1Juventude
HA Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A Mineiro have beaten Sao Paulo in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
A Mineiro have not lost to Sao Paulo in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
SAO
2
D
3
AMN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
0 - 2A Mineiro
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sao Paulo3 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
10
3
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
D
2
AMN
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Mineiro1 - 0
A Mineiro3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Mineiro1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Sao Paulo have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Atlético Mineiro on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks like a tall order for Atlético Mineiro, with Gabriel Alejandro Milito's men failing to score in 4 consecutive Serie A games.

Sao Paulo 6th A Mineiro 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of A Mineiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
A Mineiro’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273402/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
16%
better
SAO
AMN
view stats
Games scored27
24
Failed to score7
10
Scored first20
13
Goals scored48
42
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
23%
better
SAO
AMN
view stats
Games conceded22
26
Clean sheets12
8
Conceded first11
17
Goals conceded35
47
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+23%

Sao Paulo v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2510511
I Vinícius LucianoL MouraLuciano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Luciano FWD28102
10
1
J Calleri FWD2754
6
-
R Arboleda DEF262
2
-
I Vinícius  DEF262
5
1
A Silva FWD2662
2
-
L Gustavo MID2511
2
-
L Moura FWD25105
5
-
A Franco DEF231
6
1
R Nestor MID232
3
1
W Rato MID2315
3
-
Ferreira FWD2351
3
-
Rafael GLK22
1
-
Welington  DEF221
4
-
Erick FWD1912
2
-
M Araújo MID181
4
-
Alisson MID1812
5
-
D Bobadilla MID161
3
-
N Ferraresi  DEF1411
2
-
G Galoppo  MID13
3
-
Jandrei GLK12
-
Sabino DEF11
3
-
M Antônio MID10
1
-
Liziero  MID91
-
Patryck DEF8
1
-
Rafinha DEF7
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD72
2
-
J Lewis DEF61
-
R Tressoldi DEF5
-
J Moreira  DEF3
-
Rodrigo MID3
-
P Maia MID3
-
S Longo MID2
-
H. Fabiano do Carmo FWD1
-
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231049
G ScarpaHulk G ScarpaB Fuchs
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Scarpa MID2944
6
1
R Saravia DEF28
2
-
B Fuchs DEF251
8
1
Paulinho FWD2561
4
1
R Battaglia MID23
5
2
O Otávio MID23
2
-
Everson GLK22
5
1
Hulk  FWD21104
4
1
A Franco MID19
4
-
I Gomes MID1913
5
-
C Castro FWD1921
-
E Vargas FWD1971
1
-
B Palacios FWD1823
3
-
Rubens DEF161
3
1
F Vera MID162
1
-
A Kardec  FWD16
-
G Arana DEF1511
4
-
M Zaracho MID152
3
-
A Fonseca FWD15
1
-
I Rabello  DEF141
4
1
Bernard FWD14
1
-
Deyverson FWD1321
4
-
M Mendes GLK12
1
-
P Monteiro MID12
3
-
Lyanco DEF11
5
1
Mariano DEF11
2
-
J Alonso  DEF91
2
-
R Junior DEF81
3
1
M Lemos  DEF7
3
-
R. dos Santos Conceição MID3
-
G Delfim GLK1
-
V. da Silva Costa MID1
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds
Juventude v Cuiaba
Sat 23rd Nov, 22:30
Botafogo v Vitoria
Sat 23rd Nov, 22:30
Atletico Go v Palmeiras
Sat 23rd Nov, 22:30
Sao Paulo v A Mineiro
Sun 24th Nov, 00:30
Bahia v Athletico PR
Sun 24th Nov, 19:00
Internacional v Bragantino
Sun 24th Nov, 19:00
Corinthians v Vasco d Gama
Sun 24th Nov, 19:00
Fluminense v Criciuma
Tue 26th Nov, 22:00
Fortaleza v Flamengo
Tue 26th Nov, 23:00
Palmeiras v Botafogo
Wed 27th Nov, 00:30
A Mineiro v Juventude
Wed 27th Nov, 00:30
Cruzeiro v Gremio
Thu 28th Nov, 00:00
Cuiaba v Bahia
Sat 30th Nov, 22:30
Criciuma v Corinthians
Sat 30th Nov, 22:30
Vasco d Gama v Atletico Go
Sun 1st Dec, 00:30
Gremio v Sao Paulo
Sun 1st Dec, 19:00
Flamengo v Internacional
Sun 1st Dec, 19:00
Vitoria v Fortaleza
Sun 1st Dec, 21:30
Bragantino v Cruzeiro
Sun 1st Dec, 21:30
Athletico PR v Fluminense
Sun 1st Dec, 21:30
Vitoria v Gremio
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Atletico Go v Fortaleza
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Athletico PR v Bragantino
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Internacional v Botafogo
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Fluminense v Cuiaba
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Vasco d Gama v A Mineiro
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Corinthians v Bahia
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Criciuma v Flamengo
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Cruzeiro v Palmeiras
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Sao Paulo v Juventude
Tue 3rd Dec, 23:00
Cuiaba v Vasco d Gama
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Bahia v Atletico Go
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Fortaleza v Internacional
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
A Mineiro v Athletico PR
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Botafogo v Sao Paulo
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Flamengo v Vitoria
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Juventude v Cruzeiro
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Gremio v Corinthians
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Palmeiras v Fluminense
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Bragantino v Criciuma
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00