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Santos v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Apr, 01:30 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Alexi Stival takes his Atlético Mineiro troops to the Estádio Urbano Caldeira in the Serie A on Thursday morning, with Fábio Carille's Santos the opponent. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head-to-head records, will change as you click through each of the betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Santos and A Mineiro have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Thursday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Santos are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santos
39%
29/20
11%
-
Draw
28%
11/5
3%
-
A Mineiro
33%
2/1
20%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Santos 1-0
12%
11/2
13%
-
A Mineiro 1-0
11%
13/2
7%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
13/2
6%
-
Santos 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
-
A Mineiro 2-1
7%
10/1
10%
-
Santos 2-0
7%
10/1
15%
-
A Mineiro 2-0
6%
12/1
18%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
12%
-
Santos 3-1
3%
22/1-
Santos 3-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
A Mineiro 3-1
3%
28/1
26%
-
A Mineiro 3-0
2%
33/1
48%
-
Santos 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
27/20
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/7
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/6
17%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10
26%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/1
3%
-
BTTS - No
52%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1
27%
-
Home/draw
67%
4/11
9%
-
Away/draw
61%
8/15
9%
-
Home/away
72%
4/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/9
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
7/4
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/2
4%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/5
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Home DNB
59%
8/11
9%
-
Away DNB
53%
1/1
11%
-
Santos win to nil
23%
11/4
13%
-
A Mineiro win to nil
20%
10/3
8%
-
Santos / Santos
21%
3/1
16%
-
Santos / A Mineiro
2%
33/1
17%
-
Santos / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Santos
15%
9/2
8%
-
Draw / A Mineiro
13%
11/2
18%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
A Mineiro / Santos
3%
28/1
15%
-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
16%
4/1
15%
-
A Mineiro / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Santos have not won in 5 consecutive league games
9
A Mineiro have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
Santos 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos2 - 2Bahia
Santos0 - 2CRB
Santos3 - 0Vila Nova
Santos1 - 0Ceara
Santos3 - 2Mirassol
Santos1 - 0Operario
Santos1 - 1Novorizontin
Santos2 - 1America
Santos2 - 2Ponte Preta
Santos0 - 0Amazonas
Santos0 - 1Avai
Santos1 - 1S. Recife
Santos4 - 0Cortiba
Santos2 - 0Ituano
Santos1 - 0Chapecoense
Santos2 - 0Goias
Santos1 - 2Botafogo
Santos4 - 0Brusque
Santos4 - 1Guarani
Santos2 - 0Paysandu
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASantos0 - 1Fluminense
HSantos2 - 2Bahia
ASantos1 - 2Vasco d Gama
ASantos1 - 2S. Recife
HSantos0 - 2CRB
ASantos2 - 0Cortiba
HSantos3 - 0Vila Nova
ASantos2 - 0Ituano
HSantos1 - 0Ceara
ASantos2 - 3Chapecoense
HSantos3 - 2Mirassol
ASantos1 - 3Goias
HSantos1 - 0Operario
HSantos1 - 1Novorizontin
ASantos1 - 0Botafogo
HSantos2 - 1America
ASantos1 - 0Brusque
HSantos2 - 2Ponte Preta
HSantos0 - 0Amazonas
ASantos1 - 1Guarani
A Mineiro 17TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Athletico PR1 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo0 - 0A Mineiro
Atletico Go1 - 0A Mineiro
Fortaleza1 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 3A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Criciuma2 - 1A Mineiro
Juventude1 - 1A Mineiro
Botafogo3 - 0A Mineiro
Internacional1 - 2A Mineiro
Vitoria4 - 2A Mineiro
Bragantino1 - 2A Mineiro
Fluminense2 - 2A Mineiro
Cuiaba0 - 3A Mineiro
Corinthians0 - 0A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
HA Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro1 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro1 - 0Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HA Mineiro2 - 3Juventude
AA Mineiro2 - 2Sao Paulo
HA Mineiro0 - 0Botafogo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Athletico PR
AA Mineiro0 - 0Flamengo
AA Mineiro0 - 1Atletico Go
HA Mineiro1 - 3Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
HA Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
HA Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
AA Mineiro1 - 2Palmeiras
HA Mineiro3 - 0Bragantino
AA Mineiro0 - 3Bahia
AA Mineiro3 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A Mineiro have not lost to Santos in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Santos since 2018
Santos
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
STS
4
D
1
AMN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2A Mineiro
Santos2 - 0
Santos3 - 1
Santos3 - 1
Santos3 - 2
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Santos
Goals: Scored
13
3
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
D
1
AMN
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
A Mineiro2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Mineiro3 - 1
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro3 - 1
Goal Statistics
Santos 18th A Mineiro 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that A Mineiro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Santos have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-6
A Mineiro’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294485/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Santos
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
21%
better
STS
AMN
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
0
Goals scored3
3
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal8
14
Conversion rate for13
7
Avg. XG for1.1
2.3
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
STS
AMN
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded5
4
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against1
0.8
KickOff rating
+22%

Santos v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
G BrazãoÁlvaro BarrealT SoaresJ. Pedro Chermont Crema
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Brazão GLK1
-
Z Ivaldo DEF1
-
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF1
1
-
G Escobar DEF1
-
Gil DEF1
-
D Pituca MID1
-
Thaciano MID1
-
G. Silva Bontempo MID1
-
J Schmidt MID1
-
Álvaro Barreal MID11
-
D Eugênio FWD1
-
L. Oliveira Meirelles FWD1
-
G Augusto FWD1
-
T Soares FWD11
-
B Rollheiser FWD1
-
G Veron FWD1
-
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
EversonRonyG ScarpaLyanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK2
-
G Arana DEF2
-
Rubens DEF2
-
J Alonso  DEF2
-
Lyanco DEF2
1
1
Natanael DEF2
-
G Scarpa MID21
-
Bernard MID2
-
G Menino MID2
-
A Franco MID2
-
Rony FWD21
-
T Cuello FWD2
-
J Santos FWD2
-
Hulk  FWD2
-
R Saravia DEF1
-
I Gomes MID1
-