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Palmeiras v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 2nd Jul, 00:00 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Tuesday morning at the Allianz Parque, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Palmeiras and Corinthians. Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira and António José Cardoso de Oliveira will be doing all they can to ensure victory. Stats for our tip of under 2.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Palmeiras and Corinthians during the traditional 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.45.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
58%
1.48
3%
1.44
3%
Draw
25%
4.33
8%
4.00
7%
Corinthians
17%
7.00
13%
6.00
14%
Palmeiras 1-0
16%
6.50
30%
5.75
20%
Palmeiras 2-0
13%
6.50
18%
6.00
9%
Draw 1-1
11%
8.007.50
Draw 0-0
10%
11.00
47%
9.50
27%
Palmeiras 2-1
9%
8.50
6%
7.50
6%
Corinthians 1-0
7%
15.0012.00
8%
Palmeiras 3-0
7%
9.50
6%
9.00
13%
Palmeiras 3-1
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Corinthians 2-1
4%
21.00
19%
15.00
21%
Draw 2-2
3%
21.00
19%
15.00
21%
Corinthians 2-0
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
12%
Palmeiras 4-0
3%
19.0015.00
Palmeiras 4-1
2%
23.00
21%
17.00
19%
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
29.00
29%
21.00
19%
Corinthians 3-1
1%
51.00
24%
34.00
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
1.85
16%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1.95
18%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.33
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
3.75
17%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
11.00
47%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
2.05
18%
2.05
16%
BTTS - No
60%
1.70
13%
1.70
13%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
3.50
19%
3.40
15%
BTTS - Draw
15%
6.00
8%
5.75
4%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
13.00
32%
11.00
27%
Home/draw
83%
1.10
2%
1.11
4%
Away/draw
42%
2.622.60
4%
Home/away
75%
1.20
2%
1.20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1.29
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
3.75
25%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3.20
26%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1.36
11%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
6.00
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.12
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
13.00
32%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.04
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.05
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11.00
47%
-
Home DNB
76%
1.14
2%
1.15
4%
Away DNB
35%
5.50
8%
4.80
17%
Palmeiras win to nil
39%
2.25
13%
-
Corinthians win to nil
11%
11.00-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
36%
2.252.20
2%
Palmeiras / Corinthians
2%
41.00
20%
34.00
26%
Palmeiras / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
12%
Draw / Palmeiras
20%
4.00
7%
3.90
3%
Draw / Corinthians
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
8%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
9%
5.75
15%
Corinthians / Palmeiras
4%
21.00
19%
19.00
10%
Corinthians / Corinthians
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
17%
Corinthians / Draw
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
3
Palmeiras have won 3 consecutive home league games
8
Corinthians have not won in 8 consecutive league games
Palmeiras 4TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
see results
HOME FORM
Palmeiras3 - 1Juventude
Palmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
Palmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras0 - 2Athletico PR
Palmeiras0 - 0Flamengo
Palmeiras0 - 1Internacional
Palmeiras1 - 0Fluminese
Palmeiras4 - 0America
Palmeiras3 - 0Internacional
Palmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
Palmeiras1 - 0Bahia
Palmeiras5 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 2A Mineiro
Palmeiras1 - 2Santos
Palmeiras1 - 0Goias
Palmeiras1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras1 - 0Cruzeiro
Palmeiras3 - 1Fortaleza
Palmeiras1 - 1Flamengo
Palmeiras0 - 1Botafogo
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
see results
OVERALL FORM
APalmeiras0 - 3Fortaleza
HPalmeiras3 - 1Juventude
HPalmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
APalmeiras4 - 0A Mineiro
HPalmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
APalmeiras2 - 1Criciuma
HPalmeiras0 - 2Athletico PR
APalmeiras2 - 0Cuiaba
APalmeiras0 - 0Sao Paulo
HPalmeiras0 - 0Flamengo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Internacional
APalmeiras1 - 0Vitoria
APalmeiras1 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 0Fluminese
HPalmeiras4 - 0America
APalmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
HPalmeiras3 - 0Internacional
APalmeiras0 - 3Flamengo
HPalmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
APalmeiras4 - 3Botafogo
Corinthians 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
see results
AWAY FORM
Athletico PR1 - 1Corinthians
Internacional1 - 0Corinthians
Atletico Go2 - 2Corinthians
Flamengo2 - 0Corinthians
Bragantino1 - 0Corinthians
Juventude2 - 0Corinthians
Cortiba0 - 2Corinthians
Vasco d Gama2 - 4Corinthians
Gremio0 - 1Corinthians
Bragantino1 - 0Corinthians
Cuiaba0 - 1Corinthians
Fluminese3 - 3Corinthians
Sao Paulo2 - 1Corinthians
Fortaleza2 - 1Corinthians
Cruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
Internacional2 - 2Corinthians
Bahia0 - 0Corinthians
A Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
Athletico PR1 - 0Corinthians
Santos0 - 2Corinthians
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
see results
OVERALL FORM
HCorinthians1 - 1Cuiaba
ACorinthians1 - 1Athletico PR
ACorinthians0 - 1Internacional
HCorinthians2 - 2Sao Paulo
ACorinthians2 - 2Atletico Go
HCorinthians0 - 1Botafogo
ACorinthians0 - 2Flamengo
HCorinthians0 - 0Fortaleza
HCorinthians3 - 0Fluminese
ACorinthians0 - 1Bragantino
ACorinthians0 - 2Juventude
HCorinthians0 - 0A Mineiro
ACorinthians2 - 0Cortiba
HCorinthians1 - 2Internacional
ACorinthians4 - 2Vasco d Gama
HCorinthians1 - 5Bahia
ACorinthians1 - 0Gremio
HCorinthians1 - 1A Mineiro
ACorinthians0 - 1Bragantino
HCorinthians1 - 0Athletico PR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Palmeiras have not lost to Corinthians in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
12
3
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
PAL
4
D
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras2 - 1
Palmeiras3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras1 - 0
All league games since 2018
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
17
7
Games: Scored
10 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
2 / 12
PAL
6
D
4
CTH
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw0 - 0Draw
Palmeiras2 - 1
0 - 1Palmeiras
Palmeiras3 - 0
Corinthians2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras4 - 0
0 - 2Palmeiras
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras1 - 0
Corinthians1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday morning, not least because Corinthians have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A games. A PG of 1.5 for Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's side suggests that run should continue.

Palmeiras 4th Corinthians 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of Corinthians scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Palmeiras have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
+19
Corinthians have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273181/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.6
0.7
Attack rating
35%
better
PAL
CTH
view stats
Games scored7
5
Failed to score5
7
Scored first7
2
Goals scored16
9
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.8
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal11
15
Conversion rate for9
7
Avg. XG for1.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
33%
better
PAL
CTH
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first3
8
Goals conceded9
13
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
8
Conversion rate against9%
12%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+33%

Palmeiras v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12323
WevertonE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesRony
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK121
1
-
Rony FWD1221
3
-
J Piquerez DEF112
2
-
Murilo DEF11
2
-
R Veiga MID1111
-
G Menino MID11
2
-
M Rocha DEF10
-
Mayke DEF101
3
-
A Moreno  MID101
3
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1032
-
L Lázaro FWD92
-
J López FWD921
3
-
Z Rafael MID81
1
-
R Ríos MID71
1
-
K Naves DEF6
-
G Portillo DEF611
2
-
Fabinho MID6
-
Endrick FWD6
3
-
Vanderlan DEF51
-
L Santos FWD51
-
Romulo MID4
-
Luan DEF3
-
C Paulista DEF3
1
-
Dudu FWD3
-
G García DEF1
-
J Jhon MID1
-
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12223
HugoWesleyHugoR Garro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Hugo DEF122
1
-
Wesley FWD122
1
-
Raniele MID11
2
-
R Garro MID112
3
-
Matheuzinho DEF10
2
-
B Bidon MID10
2
-
I Coronado MID101
-
Cacá DEF921
1
-
G Mosquito  FWD911
1
-
Y Alberto FWD921
3
-
P Raul FWD8
1
-
F Torres DEF7
1
-
Ángel Romero FWD7
2
-
C Miguel GLK6
2
-
F Vera MID6
-
Paulinho MID6
-
G Henrique DEF5
1
-
Fagner DEF5
1
-
Caetano DEF4
1
-
M Donelli GLK3
-
C Cássio GLK3
-
L Mana DEF3
1
-
M Bidu DEF31
-
G Salles MID2
-
Maycon MID2
1
-
Biro MID2
-
M Araújo MID2
-
Giovane FWD2
-
K Guimarães FWD2
-
P Henrique FWD2
1
-
R Gustavo DEF1
1
-
J Rodrigues DEF1
-
A Sousa FWD1
-