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Mirassol v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Apr, 23:00 BST, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

It's a long trek for Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato's Gremio side on Wednesday night, as they visit the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia for a Serie A tie with Ivan Lucas Baitello's Mirassol. Serie A statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we're not predicting a thriller here. The statistics suggest Mirassol and Gremio both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mirassol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mirassol
40%
29/20
21%
-
Draw
28%
19/10
3%
-
Gremio
31%
23/10
35%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
9/2
8%
-
Mirassol 1-0
13%
11/2
28%
-
Gremio 1-0
11%
7/1
7%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
11/2
19%
-
Mirassol 2-1
8%
9/1
17%
-
Mirassol 2-0
8%
9/1
33%
-
Gremio 2-1
7%
12/1
30%
-
Gremio 2-0
6%
14/1
36%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
-
Mirassol 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Mirassol 3-0
3%
22/1
32%
-
Gremio 3-1
2%
28/1
38%
-
Gremio 3-0
2%
33/1
48%
-
Mirassol 3-2
2%
40/1-
Gremio 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4
16%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6
20%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/5
33%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
11/2
19%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20
7%
-
BTTS - No
54%
7/10
11%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/1
45%
-
Home/draw
69%
1/3
13%
-
Away/draw
60%
8/15
13%
-
Home/away
72%
2/5
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/2
10%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/8
18%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/1
25%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/6
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1
38%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1
35%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/9
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11/2
19%
-
Home DNB
60%
8/13
23%
-
Away DNB
51%
6/5
32%
-
Mirassol win to nil
25%
11/4
25%
-
Gremio win to nil
19%
4/1
25%
-
Mirassol / Mirassol
21%
3/1
20%
-
Mirassol / Gremio
2%
33/1
17%
-
Mirassol / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Mirassol
15%
9/2
15%
-
Draw / Gremio
13%
11/2
18%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
9%
-
Gremio / Mirassol
3%
28/1-
Gremio / Gremio
15%
9/2
38%
-
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
9
Mirassol have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
9
Gremio have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
Mirassol 16TH
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
Mirassol1 - 0Chapecoense
Mirassol4 - 1Cortiba
Mirassol3 - 0Ponte Preta
Mirassol1 - 0Novorizontin
Mirassol1 - 0Vila Nova
Mirassol0 - 0S. Recife
Mirassol0 - 0Amazonas
Mirassol1 - 0America
Mirassol1 - 2Botafogo
Mirassol2 - 0Brusque
Mirassol1 - 0Operario
Mirassol0 - 0Avai
Mirassol1 - 0CRB
Mirassol0 - 0Santos
Mirassol1 - 0Goias
Mirassol3 - 0Guarani
Mirassol2 - 0Ituano
Mirassol2 - 1Paysandu
Mirassol3 - 2Ceara
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMirassol1 - 1Bahia
HMirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
AMirassol1 - 2Cruzeiro
HMirassol1 - 0Chapecoense
AMirassol1 - 1Operario
AMirassol0 - 0Avai
HMirassol4 - 1Cortiba
HMirassol3 - 0Ponte Preta
AMirassol1 - 0CRB
HMirassol1 - 0Novorizontin
AMirassol2 - 3Santos
HMirassol1 - 0Vila Nova
HMirassol0 - 0S. Recife
AMirassol1 - 0Goias
AMirassol0 - 1Guarani
HMirassol0 - 0Amazonas
AMirassol2 - 3Ituano
HMirassol1 - 0America
AMirassol0 - 0Paysandu
HMirassol1 - 2Botafogo
Gremio 13TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara2 - 0Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Fluminense2 - 2Gremio
Internacional1 - 0Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
Botafogo0 - 0Gremio
Bragantino2 - 2Gremio
Criciuma0 - 1Gremio
Cuiaba1 - 3Gremio
Athletico PR0 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 2Gremio
Sao Paulo1 - 0Gremio
Juventude3 - 0Gremio
Atletico Go1 - 1Gremio
Fortaleza1 - 0Gremio
Flamengo2 - 1Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Gremio
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Gremio
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio0 - 2Flamengo
AGremio0 - 2Ceara
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 3Corinthians
AGremio1 - 1Vitoria
HGremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
AGremio1 - 1Cruzeiro
HGremio2 - 2Juventude
AGremio0 - 1Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 1Atletico Go
AGremio0 - 1Internacional
AGremio1 - 2A Mineiro
HGremio3 - 1Fortaleza
AGremio0 - 0Botafogo
HGremio1 - 2Criciuma
HGremio3 - 2Flamengo
AGremio2 - 2Bragantino
HGremio2 - 3A Mineiro
AGremio1 - 0Criciuma
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Mirassol of late. It has been 6 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Wednesday night against Gremio.

Mirassol 16th Gremio 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Mirassol will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Mirassol’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294486/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mirassol
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.2
1
Attack rating
35%
better
GRE
view stats
Games scored3
1
Failed to score0
2
Scored first1
1
Goals scored3
2
Avg. goals scored1
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal10
12
Conversion rate for10
9
Avg. XG for1.5
0.7
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
3%
better
GRE
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded4
5
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+3%

Mirassol v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
A MuralhaL RamonClaysonReinaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Muralha GLK2
-
L Ramon DEF21
-
Reinaldo DEF2
1
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF2
1
-
J Victor DEF2
-
N Moura  MID2
-
Danielzinho MID2
-
J Aldo MID2
-
Clayson MID21
1
-
I Castilho FWD2
-
M Davó FWD21
-
D Borges DEF1
-
Gabriel MID1
-
Chico MID1
-
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2101
T VolpiEdenilsonWagner
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK2
-
L Esteves DEF2
-
Wagner DEF2
1
-
Jemerson DEF2
1
-
F Amuzu MID2
1
-
M Villasanti MID2
-
I. Schlemper MID2
1
-
Camilo MID2
-
Edenilson MID21
-
C Pavón FWD2
1
-
André FWD2
-
D Martínez FWD21
1
-
J Pedro DEF1
-
V Lopes DEF1
-
J Lucas DEF1
-
R Ely DEF1
-
M Monsalve MID1
-
F Cristaldo MID1
-
C Olivera FWD1
1
-
A Guzmán FWD1
-