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Gremio v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 4th Jul, 23:00 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira leads his Palmeiras charges to the Arena do Grêmio in the Serie A on Thursday night, with Renato Portaluppi's Gremio waiting for them. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Go between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Renato Portaluppi and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira to batten down the hatches here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Gremio and Palmeiras go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.67 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Palmeiras coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
27%
11/5
11%
2/1
9%
Draw
29%
12/5
5%
21/10
Palmeiras
44%
5/4
7%
23/20
5%
Palmeiras 1-0
15%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
Draw 0-0
12%
15/2
6%
13/2
Gremio 1-0
11%
8/1
5%
7/1
Palmeiras 2-0
9%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Palmeiras 2-1
8%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Gremio 2-1
6%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Gremio 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Palmeiras 3-0
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Palmeiras 3-1
3%
18/114/1
Gremio 3-1
2%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Palmeiras 3-2
1%
28/1
15%
20/1
Gremio 3-0
1%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Palmeiras 4-0
1%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
23/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
4/6-
Home 1st Goal
41%
11/8
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
10/11
2%
17/20
3%
BTTS - No
58%
10/11
6%
5/6
2%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
11/2
13%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4/1
5%
18/5
2%
Home/draw
56%
8/13
5%
8/13
5%
Away/draw
73%
4/11
5%
1/3
3%
Home/away
71%
3/10
2%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
4/11
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
11/5
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
8/1
13%
-
Home DNB
47%
6/5
12%
5/4
8%
Away DNB
65%
8/13
8%
4/7
5%
Gremio win to nil
17%
4/1
9%
-
Palmeiras win to nil
29%
11/4
10%
-
Gremio / Gremio
15%
9/2
8%
4/1
9%
Gremio / Palmeiras
3%
25/120/1
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Gremio
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Draw / Palmeiras
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
Palmeiras / Gremio
3%
33/125/1
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
22%
11/4
7%
5/2
6%
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
Gremio 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
Lost
6
see results
HOME FORM
Gremio1 - 0Fluminese
Gremio0 - 1Internacional
Gremio1 - 2Botafogo
Gremio0 - 2Bragantino
Gremio1 - 0Cuiaba
Gremio2 - 0Athletico PR
Gremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 1Goias
Gremio0 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Gremio3 - 2Flamengo
Gremio1 - 2Athletico PR
Gremio1 - 0Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Cuiaba
Gremio3 - 0Cruzeiro
Gremio2 - 1Fluminese
Gremio1 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio0 - 2Botafogo
Gremio5 - 1Cortiba
Gremio3 - 1America
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
see results
OVERALL FORM
HGremio1 - 0Fluminese
AGremio1 - 1Atletico Go
HGremio0 - 1Internacional
AGremio0 - 1Fortaleza
HGremio1 - 2Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Flamengo
HGremio0 - 2Bragantino
AGremio0 - 1Bahia
HGremio1 - 0Cuiaba
HGremio2 - 0Athletico PR
AGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
AGremio3 - 2Fluminese
HGremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HGremio2 - 1Goias
AGremio0 - 3A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 1Corinthians
AGremio4 - 3Botafogo
HGremio1 - 0Bahia
AGremio2 - 1Cortiba
AGremio4 - 3America
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
see results
AWAY FORM
Fortaleza3 - 0Palmeiras
A Mineiro0 - 4Palmeiras
Criciuma1 - 2Palmeiras
Cuiaba0 - 2Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 0Palmeiras
Vitoria0 - 1Palmeiras
Cruzeiro1 - 1Palmeiras
Fortaleza2 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo3 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo3 - 4Palmeiras
Cortiba0 - 2Palmeiras
Bragantino2 - 1Palmeiras
Gremio1 - 0Palmeiras
Corinthians0 - 0Palmeiras
Cuiaba0 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminese2 - 1Palmeiras
America 1 - 4Palmeiras
Internacional0 - 0Palmeiras
Athletico PR2 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
see results
OVERALL FORM
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras0 - 3Fortaleza
HPalmeiras3 - 1Juventude
HPalmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
APalmeiras4 - 0A Mineiro
HPalmeiras2 - 0Vasco d Gama
APalmeiras2 - 1Criciuma
HPalmeiras0 - 2Athletico PR
APalmeiras2 - 0Cuiaba
APalmeiras0 - 0Sao Paulo
HPalmeiras0 - 0Flamengo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Internacional
APalmeiras1 - 0Vitoria
APalmeiras1 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 0Fluminese
HPalmeiras4 - 0America
APalmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
HPalmeiras3 - 0Internacional
APalmeiras0 - 3Flamengo
HPalmeiras1 - 0Athletico PR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
GRE
1
D
2
PAL
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio1 - 0
1 - 3Palmeiras
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Palmeiras
All league games since 2018
Gremio
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
8
17
Games: Scored
7 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
3 / 10
GRE
2
D
3
PAL
5
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Gremio1 - 0
Palmeiras4 - 1
1 - 3Palmeiras
Palmeiras2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Gremio
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras2 - 0
0 - 2Palmeiras
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Gremio fans, as should a 9 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Gremio 18th Palmeiras 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
Palmeiras’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273188/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
0.9
1.2
Attack rating
GRE
PAL
25%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score4
5
Scored first3
8
Goals scored8
18
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal11
10
Conversion rate for9
10
Avg. XG for0.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
GRE
PAL
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first8
3
Goals conceded12
9
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
13
Conversion rate against11%
8%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+34%

Gremio v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8214
F CristaldoF CristaldoF CristaldoG. Nunes Fernandes Gomes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Cristaldo MID1121
-
Dodi MID10
3
-
G. Nunes Fernandes Gomes MID102
4
-
J Pedro  FWD10
-
D Queiroz MID9
2
-
N Fernandes FWD9
2
1
G Martins DEF81
-
R Ely DEF8
2
-
J Pedro DEF81
1
-
E Galdino FWD8
4
-
C Pavón FWD81
-
A Marchesín GLK7
1
-
F Fábio DEF7
1
-
F Carballo MID6
2
-
Reinaldo DEF51
1
-
Y Soteldo MID511
-
M Villasanti MID51
1
-
P Geromel DEF4
2
-
W Kannemann DEF41
4
-
Nathan MID4
-
Pepê MID4
1
J Costa DEF3
-
Natã DEF2
-
Cuiabano DEF21
-
Mayk DEF2
1
-
D Costa FWD2
1
C Caíque GLK1
-
Ronald MID1
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13323
WevertonE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesR VeigaG Menino
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK131
1
-
J Piquerez DEF122
2
-
R Veiga MID1222
1
G Menino MID12
3
-
Rony FWD1221
3
-
M Rocha DEF11
-
Mayke DEF111
3
-
Murilo DEF11
2
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1132
-
A Moreno  MID101
3
-
J López FWD1021
3
-
Z Rafael MID91
2
-
L Lázaro FWD92
-
K Naves DEF7
-
Fabinho MID7
1
-
R Ríos MID71
1
-
G Portillo DEF611
2
-
Vanderlan DEF61
-
Endrick FWD6
3
-
L Santos FWD51
-
Romulo MID4
-
Luan DEF3
-
C Paulista DEF3
1
-
Dudu FWD3
-
G García DEF2
-
J Jhon MID2
-