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Gremio v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Gremio and their manager Renato Portaluppi will be looking to get one over on Fernando Diniz Silva and his Fluminense side on Sunday night, as the pair meet at the Arena do Grêmio in the Serie A. All of the important statistics for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a smart bet.

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Gremio's next match is v Palmeiras at 23:00 on Thursday 4th July
Fluminense's next match is v Internacional at 00:00 on Friday 5th July
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Gremio and Fluminese was on Sunday 30th June 2024
Brazillian Serie A
June 30th 2024
Gremio 1
0 Fluminese
 
G. Nunes Fernandes Gomes 61'
 
GRE
FLU
Shots On
9
3
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
6
1
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
13
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/1
 
GremioFluminese
 
A. Marchesín
P. Geromel
R. Ely
J. Maturano dos Santos
R. da Silva
E. Andrade dos Santos (F. Carballo Ares 70')
D. Moreira Fagundes (J. Alves da Silva 90')
J. Vilardi Pinto (E. Galdino Moreira 70')
F. Cristaldo (E. Santos Queiroz 84')
G. Nunes Fernandes Gomesfootball icon
C. Pavón (N. Ribeiro Fernandes 84')
F. Lopes Maciel
(D. Barbosa Mendanha 33') M. Vieira da Silva Júnior
(K. Elias Nogueira 83') M. Santos da Silva Barbosa
S. Brito
A. Cunha Capocasali Junior
M. Martinelli
(J. Lucumií González 46') M. Terans Pérez
T. dos Santos
(J. Kennedy Batista de Souza 70') G. Appelt Pires
(P. Chagas de Lima 70') G. Cano
M. da Silva França
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Renato Portaluppi and Fernando Diniz Silva to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a flood of goals as Gremio and Fluminese go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.80 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
52%
9/10
20%
17/20
18%
Draw
27%
9/4
2%
21/10
Fluminese
21%
7/2
50%
29/10
39%
Gremio 1-0
15%
11/2
13%
5/1
14%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Gremio 2-0
11%
7/1
27%
13/2
21%
Draw 0-0
11%
7/1
6%
6/1
13%
Gremio 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Fluminese 1-0
9%
10/1
29%
8/1
13%
Gremio 3-0
5%
14/1
35%
12/1
24%
Fluminese 2-1
5%
14/1
36%
11/1
26%
Gremio 3-1
4%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Fluminese 2-0
3%
20/1
40%
16/1
42%
Gremio 4-0
2%
33/1
33%
22/1
21%
Gremio 3-2
2%
33/120/1
Gremio 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
21%
Fluminese 3-1
1%
40/1
58%
25/1
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/5
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
13/20
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/7
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
15/8
25%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
19/20
2%
19/20
7%
BTTS - No
58%
4/5
6%
3/4
5%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
7/2
10%
16/5
13%
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/4
6%
18/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
17/2
46%
7/1
39%
Home/draw
79%
2/11
13%
2/9
10%
Away/draw
48%
10/11
25%
17/20
18%
Home/away
73%
1/3
2%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
2/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
2/1
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
7/1
6%
-
Home DNB
71%
1/3
20%
7/20
19%
Away DNB
40%
9/4
55%
19/10
38%
Gremio win to nil
34%
2/1
20%
-
Fluminese win to nil
13%
6/1
40%
-
Gremio / Gremio
24%
21/10
23%
2/1
19%
Gremio / Fluminese
3%
40/1
21%
28/1
26%
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Gremio
16%
15/4
14%
7/2
18%
Draw / Fluminese
11%
15/2
31%
7/1
23%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/417/5
2%
Fluminese / Gremio
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Fluminese / Fluminese
14%
6/1
40%
11/2
41%
Fluminese / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
Gremio 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
Lost
6
see results
HOME FORM
Gremio0 - 1Internacional
Gremio1 - 2Botafogo
Gremio0 - 2Bragantino
Gremio1 - 0Cuiaba
Gremio2 - 0Athletico PR
Gremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 1Goias
Gremio0 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Gremio3 - 2Flamengo
Gremio1 - 2Athletico PR
Gremio1 - 0Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Cuiaba
Gremio3 - 0Cruzeiro
Gremio2 - 1Fluminese
Gremio1 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio0 - 2Botafogo
Gremio5 - 1Cortiba
Gremio3 - 1America
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
see results
OVERALL FORM
AGremio1 - 1Atletico Go
HGremio0 - 1Internacional
AGremio0 - 1Fortaleza
HGremio1 - 2Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Flamengo
HGremio0 - 2Bragantino
AGremio0 - 1Bahia
HGremio1 - 0Cuiaba
HGremio2 - 0Athletico PR
AGremio1 - 2Vasco d Gama
AGremio3 - 2Fluminese
HGremio1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HGremio2 - 1Goias
AGremio0 - 3A Mineiro
HGremio0 - 1Corinthians
AGremio4 - 3Botafogo
HGremio1 - 0Bahia
AGremio2 - 1Cortiba
AGremio4 - 3America
HGremio3 - 2Flamengo
Fluminese 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
see results
AWAY FORM
Cruzeiro2 - 0Fluminese
Botafogo1 - 0Fluminese
Sao Paulo2 - 1Fluminese
Corinthians3 - 0Fluminese
Bahia2 - 1Fluminese
Palmeiras1 - 0Fluminese
Santos0 - 3Fluminese
Flamengo1 - 1Fluminese
Internacional0 - 0Fluminese
Bahia1 - 0Fluminese
A Mineiro2 - 0Fluminese
Bragantino1 - 0Fluminese
Cuiaba3 - 0Fluminese
Vasco d Gama4 - 2Fluminese
Athletico PR2 - 2Fluminese
Gremio2 - 1Fluminese
Cortiba2 - 0Fluminese
Sao Paulo1 - 0Fluminese
Goias2 - 2Fluminese
Corinthians2 - 0Fluminese
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
see results
OVERALL FORM
HFluminese0 - 1Vitoria
HFluminese0 - 1Flamengo
AFluminese0 - 2Cruzeiro
HFluminese1 - 2Atletico Go
AFluminese0 - 1Botafogo
HFluminese1 - 1Juventude
AFluminese1 - 2Sao Paulo
HFluminese2 - 2A Mineiro
AFluminese0 - 3Corinthians
HFluminese2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFluminese1 - 2Bahia
HFluminese2 - 2Bragantino
HFluminese2 - 3Gremio
AFluminese0 - 1Palmeiras
AFluminese3 - 0Santos
HFluminese2 - 1Cortiba
HFluminese1 - 0Sao Paulo
AFluminese1 - 1Flamengo
AFluminese0 - 0Internacional
AFluminese0 - 1Bahia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Gremio have beaten Fluminese in 6 consecutive league meetings
6
Gremio have not lost to Fluminese in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Fluminese
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
GRE
3
D
1
FLU
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio1 - 0
Gremio1 - 0
4 - 5Fluminese
Draw0 - 0Draw
All league games since 2018
Gremio
Fluminese
Goals: Scored
15
10
Games: Scored
9 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
1 / 10
GRE
7
D
1
FLU
2
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
2 - 3Gremio
Gremio2 - 1
Gremio1 - 0
0 - 1Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
Gremio1 - 0
Fluminese2 - 1
4 - 5Fluminese
0 - 1Gremio
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Gremio of late. It has been 8 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday night against Fluminense.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for Fluminense, with F. Diniz Silva's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Serie A matches.

Gremio 18th Fluminese 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Fluminese scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-40
Fluminese have scored 40% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273178/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminese
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
GRE
FLU
17%
better
view stats
Games scored6
7
Failed to score4
5
Scored first2
7
Goals scored7
10
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal11
11
Conversion rate for9
10
Avg. XG for0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
27%
better
GRE
FLU
view stats
Games conceded8
12
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded12
20
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+27%

Gremio v Fluminese Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8214
J PedroF CristaldoJ PedroG. Nunes Fernandes Gomes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Marchesín GLK7
1
-
J Pedro DEF81
1
-
P Geromel DEF4
2
-
R Ely DEF8
2
-
Reinaldo DEF51
1
-
Dodi MID10
3
-
Pepê MID4
1
Edenilson MID81
2
-
F Cristaldo FWD1121
-
C Pavón FWD81
-
G. Nunes Fernandes Gomes FWD102
4
-
Subs
C Caíque GLK1
-
Mayk DEF2
1
-
R Caio DEF
-
Natã DEF2
-
F Fábio DEF7
1
-
F Carballo MID6
2
-
Nathan MID4
-
D Queiroz MID9
2
-
E Galdino FWD8
4
-
N Fernandes FWD9
2
1
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD
-
Fluminese Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13226
F FábioG CanoGansoGanso
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK13
-
A Carlos DEF6
-
Marlon DEF4
1
-
T Santos DEF5
1
-
S Xavier MID81
2
-
Martinelli MID121
3
-
G Pires MID4
1
-
Marcelo MID1011
-
D Terans MID7
1
-
Keno MID7
-
G Cano FWD122
2
-
Subs
V Eudes GLK
-
F Vieira DEF4
-
D Barbosa DEF9
2
-
Guga DEF2
3
-
Ganso MID1122
6
-
R Augusto MID81
-
A Sanches MID
-
D Costa MID8
-
J Kennedy FWD11
1
-
J. Lucumií González FWD1
1
-
K Nogueira FWD7
-