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Fortaleza v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Apr, 22:30 BST, Estádio Governador Plácido Adera, Fortaleza

It's a long trek for Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's Palmeiras side on Sunday night, as they visit the Estádio Governador Plácido Adera for a Serie A tie with Juan Pablo Vojvoda's Fortaleza. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could ever need to make a smart selection is published below. Switch between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for each one.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this fixture will deliver 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Fortaleza and Palmeiras haven't typically served up a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 36% chance of Palmeiras coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fortaleza
35%
7/4-
Draw
28%
21/10-
Palmeiras
36%
13/8-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Palmeiras 1-0
12%
11/2-
Fortaleza 1-0
12%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
10%
11/2-
Palmeiras 2-1
8%
10/1-
Fortaleza 2-1
8%
10/1-
Palmeiras 2-0
7%
11/1-
Fortaleza 2-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Palmeiras 3-1
3%
25/1-
Fortaleza 3-1
3%
25/1-
Palmeiras 3-0
3%
28/1-
Fortaleza 3-0
2%
28/1-
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
40/1-
Fortaleza 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
46%
6/5-
Away 1st Goal
47%
20/21-
No 1st Goal
7%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
46%
11/10-
BTTS - No
54%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2-
Home/draw
64%
4/9-
Away/draw
65%
2/5-
Home/away
72%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11/2-
Home DNB
55%
5/6-
Away DNB
56%
5/6-
Fortaleza win to nil
21%
3/1-
Palmeiras win to nil
22%
3/1-
Fortaleza / Fortaleza
17%
15/4-
Fortaleza / Palmeiras
2%
33/1-
Fortaleza / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Fortaleza
14%
5/1-
Draw / Palmeiras
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1-
Palmeiras / Fortaleza
2%
33/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
18%
7/2-
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
24
Fortaleza have not lost in 24 consecutive home league games
5
Fortaleza have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive home league games
Fortaleza 7TH
20 league games
Home
24
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Fortaleza have not lost to Palmeiras in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Fortaleza since 2019
Fortaleza
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
4 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
2 / 6
FOR
3
D
2
PAL
1
League games at Palmeiras since 2019
Palmeiras
Fortaleza
Goals: Scored
18
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
FOR
1
D
1
PAL
4
Goal Statistics

Palmeiras's defensive record is very strong, Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Fortaleza makes sense in this context.

Fortaleza 7th Palmeiras 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Fortaleza will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Fortaleza’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Palmeiras’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294499/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fortaleza
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
FOR
PAL
3%
better
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored3
4
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
6%
better
FOR
PAL
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded1
1
Avg. goals conceded0.3
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded30
20
Conversion rate against3%
5%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.7
KickOff rating
+6%

Fortaleza v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
J RicardoE Martínez P FernándezP Fernández
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ricardo GLK2
-
Titi DEF2
-
D Luiz DEF2
-
B Kuscevic DEF2
-
P Fernández MID21
2
-
E Martínez  MID21
1
-
J Welison MID2
-
L Sasha MID2
-
M Moisés FWD21
1
-
Y Pikachu FWD2
-
J Lucero FWD21
-
D Barbosa DEF1
-
Tinga DEF11
-
E Mancuso DEF1
1
-
B Pacheco DEF1
-
T Pochettino MID1
-
Marinho FWD11
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2102
WevertonJ PiquerezMurilo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK2
-
Micael DEF2
-
J Piquerez DEF21
-
Murilo DEF2
2
-
A Giay DEF2
-
B Fuchs DEF2
1
-
E Martínez MID2
-
R Veiga MID2
-
F Anderson FWD2
-
J López FWD21
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD2
1
-
F Torres FWD2
1
-
Mayke DEF1
1
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
A Moreno  MID1
-
R Ríos MID1
-