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Fluminense v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Apr, 22:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes's Fluminense side enjoy home advantage in the Serie A on Sunday night, as Thiago Carpini Barbosa's Vitória arrive at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Serie A clash.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Fluminense and Vitoria will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes or Thiago Carpini Barbosa has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.29 equating to approximately a 76% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
58%
7/10-
Draw
23%
23/10-
Vitoria
19%
19/4
5%
-
Fluminense 1-0
11%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Fluminense 2-0
10%
7/1-
Fluminense 2-1
10%
15/2-
Fluminense 3-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
17/2
5%
-
Fluminense 3-1
6%
12/1-
Vitoria 1-0
6%
14/1-
Vitoria 2-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Fluminense 4-0
3%
25/1-
Fluminense 3-2
3%
25/1-
Vitoria 2-0
3%
28/1
12%
-
Fluminense 4-1
3%
25/1-
Vitoria 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/20-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
41%
21/10-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/5-
BTTS - No
49%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1-
Home/draw
81%
1/7-
Away/draw
42%
11/10-
Home/away
77%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
17/2
5%
-
Home DNB
74%
1/4-
Away DNB
35%
11/4-
Fluminense win to nil
33%
7/4-
Vitoria win to nil
10%
9/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
30%
7/4-
Fluminense / Vitoria
2%
40/1-
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Fluminense
19%
10/3-
Draw / Vitoria
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Vitoria / Fluminense
4%
20/1-
Vitoria / Vitoria
10%
15/2-
Vitoria / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Fluminense have won 3 consecutive home league games
8
Fluminense have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
Fluminense 5TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense1 - 0Santos
Fluminense2 - 1Bragantino
Fluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
Fluminense0 - 0Criciuma
Fluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
Fluminense2 - 2Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
Fluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense0 - 1Botafogo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense0 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense1 - 0Bahia
Fluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 1Internacional
Fluminense0 - 1Vitoria
Fluminense0 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense1 - 2Atletico Go
Fluminense1 - 1Juventude
Fluminense2 - 2A Mineiro
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFluminense1 - 0Santos
HFluminense2 - 1Bragantino
AFluminense0 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
AFluminense1 - 1Athletico PR
HFluminense0 - 0Criciuma
HFluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense0 - 2Internacional
HFluminense2 - 2Gremio
AFluminense1 - 2Vitoria
HFluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
AFluminense2 - 0Flamengo
HFluminense1 - 0Cruzeiro
AFluminense0 - 1Atletico Go
HFluminense0 - 1Botafogo
AFluminense1 - 2Juventude
HFluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
AFluminense2 - 0A Mineiro
HFluminense0 - 0Corinthians
Vitoria 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Juventude2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo2 - 2Vitoria
Botafogo1 - 1Vitoria
Criciuma0 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR1 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Internacional3 - 1Vitoria
Atletico Go0 - 2Vitoria
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Gremio2 - 0Vitoria
Fortaleza3 - 1Vitoria
Corinthians3 - 2Vitoria
Fluminense0 - 1Vitoria
Bragantino2 - 1Vitoria
Juventude1 - 1Vitoria
Cuiaba0 - 0Vitoria
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Vitoria
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
HVitoria1 - 2Flamengo
AVitoria0 - 2Juventude
AVitoria2 - 2Flamengo
HVitoria1 - 1Gremio
HVitoria2 - 0Fortaleza
AVitoria1 - 1Botafogo
AVitoria1 - 0Criciuma
HVitoria1 - 2Corinthians
AVitoria2 - 1Athletico PR
HVitoria2 - 1Fluminense
HVitoria1 - 0Bragantino
AVitoria2 - 2A Mineiro
AVitoria1 - 3Internacional
HVitoria1 - 0Juventude
AVitoria2 - 0Atletico Go
HVitoria0 - 1Vasco d Gama
AVitoria1 - 2Sao Paulo
HVitoria2 - 2Cruzeiro
AVitoria0 - 2Bahia
Goal Statistics

Fluminense's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Vitória have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.8 for L. Venker de Menezes's side suggests that run should continue.

Fluminense 5th Vitoria 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Fluminense have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+24
Vitoria have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294492/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
2%
better
FLU
VIT
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
1
Goals scored3
3
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
16
Avg. XG for1.1
0.7
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
43%
better
FLU
VIT
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded3
6
Avg. goals conceded1
2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against0.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+43%

Fluminense v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
F FábioLimaA CanobbioH Hércules
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK2
-
T Silva DEF2
-
Renê DEF2
-
Guga DEF2
-
J Freytes DEF2
-
Lima MID21
-
H Hércules MID2
1
-
Martinelli MID21
-
J Arias MID2
-
G Cano FWD2
-
A Canobbio FWD21
-
Keno FWD2
-
Everaldo FWD2
-
S Xavier DEF1
-
Ganso MID1
-
F Cruz MID1
-
K Serna FWD1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2101
ClaudinhoW RatoL Halter
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Claudinho DEF2
-
Z Marcos DEF2
-
Jamerson DEF2
-
L Halter DEF2
1
-
R Ryller MID2
1
-
W Oliveira MID2
-
W Rato MID21
-
J Costa FWD2
-
F Fabrício FWD2
-
Gabriel GLK1
-
L Arcanjo GLK1
-
Neris DEF1
1
-
Matheuzinho MID1
-
G Baralhas MID1
-
Ronald MID1
1
-
Osvaldo FWD1
-
G Mosquito  FWD1
-