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Flamengo v Atlético Mineiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 13th Nov, 23:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

We’ve Serie A action to enjoy on Wednesday night, as Filipe Luis Kasmirski and his Flamengo side host Gabriel Alejandro Milito’s Atlético Mineiro at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is published below. Go between 17 markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for it all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Flamengo and A Mineiro have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
52%
3/4
4%
8/11
4%
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
23/10
A Mineiro
23%
15/4
10%
10/3
8%
Flamengo 1-0
13%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Flamengo 2-0
10%
13/2
6%
13/2
6%
Flamengo 2-1
9%
15/27/1
Draw 0-0
8%
15/27/1
A Mineiro 1-0
8%
10/19/1
A Mineiro 2-1
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
Flamengo 3-0
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Flamengo 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
A Mineiro 2-0
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Flamengo 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Flamengo 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Flamengo 4-1
2%
33/125/1
A Mineiro 3-1
2%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
23/20
2%
21/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/6
2%
8/13
3%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2/1
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1/1
3%
1/1
3%
BTTS - No
51%
3/4
3%
7/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/316/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
4/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Home/draw
77%
2/11
2%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
48%
1/1
5%
1/1
5%
Home/away
75%
2/7
1%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/117/20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/59/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/113/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/42/9
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/16/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/121/16
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/112/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/200
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/26/1
Home DNB
70%
2/7
3%
3/10
2%
Away DNB
41%
5/2
8%
9/4
8%
Flamengo win to nil
31%
13/8
13%
-
A Mineiro win to nil
13%
7/1
14%
-
Flamengo / Flamengo
29%
15/8
4%
7/4
5%
Flamengo / A Mineiro
2%
40/140/1
21%
Flamengo / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Flamengo
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
2%
Draw / A Mineiro
9%
17/2
12%
8/1
6%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/119/5
A Mineiro / Flamengo
4%
22/122/1
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
11%
7/1
14%
13/2
7%
A Mineiro / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
Flamengo 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo4 - 2Juventude
Flamengo0 - 2Fluminense
Flamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo2 - 1Bragantino
Flamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
Flamengo2 - 0Atletico Go
Flamengo2 - 1Criciuma
Flamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
Flamengo1 - 1Cuiaba
Flamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Gremio
Flamengo2 - 0Corinthians
Flamengo0 - 2Botafogo
Flamengo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Flamengo2 - 1Cuiaba
Flamengo0 - 3A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0Bragantino
Flamengo1 - 1Fluminense
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFlamengo1 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
HFlamengo4 - 2Juventude
HFlamengo0 - 2Fluminense
AFlamengo2 - 0Bahia
HFlamengo1 - 0Athletico PR
AFlamengo2 - 3Gremio
HFlamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo1 - 2Corinthians
HFlamengo2 - 1Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 4Botafogo
HFlamengo1 - 1Palmeiras
AFlamengo0 - 1Sao Paulo
HFlamengo2 - 0Atletico Go
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo2 - 1Criciuma
HFlamengo1 - 2Fortaleza
HFlamengo1 - 1Cuiaba
AFlamengo4 - 2A Mineiro
HFlamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
A Mineiro 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atletico Go1 - 0A Mineiro
Fortaleza1 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Gremio2 - 3A Mineiro
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Criciuma2 - 1A Mineiro
Juventude1 - 1A Mineiro
Botafogo3 - 0A Mineiro
Internacional1 - 2A Mineiro
Vitoria4 - 2A Mineiro
Bragantino1 - 2A Mineiro
Fluminense2 - 2A Mineiro
Cuiaba0 - 3A Mineiro
Corinthians0 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia4 - 1A Mineiro
Flamengo0 - 3A Mineiro
Corinthians1 - 1A Mineiro
America 1 - 1A Mineiro
Bragantino1 - 2A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Mineiro0 - 1Atletico Go
HA Mineiro1 - 3Internacional
AA Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
HA Mineiro2 - 1Gremio
HA Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
AA Mineiro1 - 2Palmeiras
HA Mineiro3 - 0Bragantino
AA Mineiro0 - 3Bahia
AA Mineiro3 - 2Gremio
HA Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
HA Mineiro1 - 1Cuiaba
AA Mineiro0 - 0Cruzeiro
AA Mineiro1 - 2Criciuma
HA Mineiro2 - 1Corinthians
HA Mineiro2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AA Mineiro1 - 1Juventude
HA Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro0 - 3Botafogo
HA Mineiro2 - 4Flamengo
HA Mineiro1 - 1Atletico Go
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
FLA
4
AMN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
0 - 3A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0
Flamengo1 - 0
0 - 1A Mineiro
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo2 - 1
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
FLA
3
AMN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
2 - 4Flamengo
1 - 2Flamengo
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro4 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
0 - 1Flamengo
Goal Statistics

Flamengo's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday night, not least because Atlético Mineiro have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A games. A PG of 1.6 for F. Kasmirski's side suggests that run should continue.

Flamengo 4th A Mineiro 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of A Mineiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Flamengo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
A Mineiro have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273381/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
A Mineiro
1.6
1
Attack rating
20%
better
FLA
AMN
view stats
Games scored28
24
Failed to score4
7
Scored first19
13
Goals scored51
42
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
15%
better
FLA
AMN
view stats
Games conceded25
25
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first12
16
Goals conceded37
46
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+15%

Flamengo v A Mineiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301177
A RossiPedroGersonL Pereira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK30
-
Gerson MID2937
2
-
Ayrton DEF2822
3
-
L Pereira DEF25
7
-
Wesley DEF252
1
-
F Bruno DEF241
4
-
Allan MID23
6
-
B Henrique FWD235
5
-
L Araújo FWD2335
3
-
L Ortiz  DEF212
2
-
Pedro FWD21115
3
-
D Luiz DEF193
4
-
E Farfán MID19
3
-
Lorran MID1711
-
G Barbosa FWD1631
2
-
G Arrascaeta MID1555
2
-
G Varela DEF14
1
-
Carlinhos FWD132
2
1
N Cruz MID1222
1
-
M Gonçalves FWD111
2
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID101
2
-
Éverton FWD1012
1
-
M Viña DEF9
1
-
C Alcaraz MID821
1
1
G Plata FWD71
1
-
Michael MID62
-
A Sandro DEF4
1
-
M Cunha GLK2
-
Cleiton DEF1
-
D Sales DEF1
-
W Barreto MID1
-
F. Cunha Teresa FWD11
-
A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211048
G ScarpaHulk G ScarpaB Fuchs
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Scarpa MID2744
4
-
R Saravia DEF25
2
-
B Fuchs DEF231
8
-
Paulinho FWD2261
4
1
R Battaglia MID21
5
-
O Otávio MID20
2
-
Everson GLK19
5
1
A Franco MID19
4
-
E Vargas FWD1971
1
-
C Castro FWD1921
-
I Gomes MID1813
5
-
Hulk  FWD18104
4
-
B Palacios FWD1723
3
-
G Arana DEF1511
4
-
M Zaracho MID142
2
-
A Fonseca FWD14
1
-
A Kardec  FWD14
-
Rubens DEF131
2
-
I Rabello  DEF131
3
1
F Vera MID132
1
-
M Mendes GLK12
-
P Monteiro MID11
3
-
Bernard FWD11
1
-
Deyverson FWD1021
3
-
Mariano DEF9
2
-
J Alonso  DEF91
2
-
Lyanco DEF8
3
1
R Junior DEF81
3
-
M Lemos  DEF7
3
-
R. dos Santos Conceição MID3
-
G Delfim GLK1
-
V. da Silva Costa MID1
-