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Cruzeiro v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 18th Apr, 01:30 BST, Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin, Belo Horizonte

Cruzeiro and their boss Sergiy Lavrinenko will be hoping for victory against Rogério Mücke Ceni and his Bahia side on Friday morning, as the pair meet at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin in the Serie A. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but there are 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Cruzeiro and Bahia have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cruzeiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cruzeiro
43%
23/20
7%
-
Draw
27%
23/10
3%
-
Bahia
30%
12/5
17%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Cruzeiro 1-0
12%
11/2
7%
-
Bahia 1-0
9%
8/1
13%
-
Cruzeiro 2-1
9%
17/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
11%
-
Cruzeiro 2-0
8%
17/2
14%
-
Bahia 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
-
Bahia 2-0
5%
16/1
31%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Cruzeiro 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
-
Cruzeiro 3-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
Bahia 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Cruzeiro 3-2
2%
33/1-
Bahia 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Bahia 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/5
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
13/20
1%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/4
11%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/20-
BTTS - No
50%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/2
15%
-
Home/draw
70%
3/10
7%
-
Away/draw
57%
4/6
6%
-
Home/away
73%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
11%
-
Home DNB
62%
8/15
8%
-
Away DNB
48%
11/8
13%
-
Cruzeiro win to nil
25%
12/5
9%
-
Bahia win to nil
17%
9/2
22%
-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
23%
13/5
10%
-
Cruzeiro / Bahia
2%
33/1-
Cruzeiro / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Cruzeiro
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Bahia
12%
6/1
8%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4-
Bahia / Cruzeiro
3%
25/1
10%
-
Bahia / Bahia
14%
5/1
20%
-
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Bahia have drawn 3 consecutive league games
Cruzeiro 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro2 - 1Mirassol
Cruzeiro1 - 2Palmeiras
Cruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro2 - 1Criciuma
Cruzeiro0 - 1Flamengo
Cruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
Cruzeiro1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro3 - 1Atletico Go
Cruzeiro0 - 0Internacional
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Cruzeiro1 - 2Fortaleza
Cruzeiro2 - 0Juventude
Cruzeiro2 - 1Bragantino
Cruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
Cruzeiro2 - 0Athletico PR
Cruzeiro2 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro2 - 1Cuiaba
Cruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
Cruzeiro3 - 2Botafogo
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACruzeiro1 - 1Sao Paulo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Internacional
HCruzeiro2 - 1Mirassol
ACruzeiro1 - 0Juventude
HCruzeiro1 - 2Palmeiras
ACruzeiro1 - 1Bragantino
HCruzeiro1 - 1Gremio
ACruzeiro1 - 2Corinthians
HCruzeiro2 - 1Criciuma
HCruzeiro0 - 1Flamengo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Athletico PR
HCruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
ACruzeiro0 - 1Fluminense
HCruzeiro1 - 1Vasco d Gama
ACruzeiro0 - 0Cuiaba
HCruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
HCruzeiro3 - 1Atletico Go
HCruzeiro0 - 0Internacional
ACruzeiro0 - 1Internacional
ACruzeiro2 - 2Vitoria
Bahia 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos2 - 2Bahia
Corinthians3 - 0Bahia
Cuiaba1 - 2Bahia
Juventude2 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
Cruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
Fortaleza4 - 1Bahia
Bragantino2 - 1Bahia
Gremio0 - 2Bahia
Fluminense1 - 0Bahia
Atletico Go1 - 1Bahia
Athletico PR1 - 3Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo3 - 1Bahia
Flamengo2 - 1Bahia
Criciuma2 - 2Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
Botafogo1 - 2Bahia
Vitoria2 - 2Bahia
Internacional2 - 1Bahia
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Cruzeiro
HBahia0 - 2Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Criciuma
ABahia1 - 4Fortaleza
HBahia3 - 0A Mineiro
ABahia1 - 2Bragantino
HBahia0 - 0Botafogo
ABahia2 - 0Gremio
HBahia2 - 0Vitoria
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Cruzeiro have not lost to Bahia in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
CRU
2
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cruzeiro3 - 0
Cruzeiro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
3 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
2 / 5
D
3
BAH
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Bahia2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Cruzeiro 12th Bahia 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Cruzeiro will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Cruzeiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Bahia have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294487/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cruzeiro
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
CRU
BAH
31%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score1
0
Scored first1
2
Goals scored3
4
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
CRU
BAH
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded5
4
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%

Cruzeiro v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2122
C CássioG BarbosaWilliamC Cássio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Cássio GLK2
2
-
M Gamarra DEF2
-
Kaiki DEF2
-
William DEF22
-
F Bruno DEF2
-
M Henrique MID2
1
-
L Romero MID2
1
-
Marquinhos FWD2
-
G Barbosa FWD21
-
Dudu FWD21
-
Marlon DEF1
-
J Alves DEF1
1
Rodriguinho MID1
-
L Silva MID1
-
M Pereira MID1
-
Walace MID1
1
-
C Eduardo  MID1
-
Y Bolasie FWD1
-
L Díaz FWD1
-
K Jorge FWD1
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1112
KanuGilbertoL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Kanu DEF1
-
Iago DEF1
-
Gilberto DEF11
-
L Juba DEF11
-
G Xavier DEF1
1
-
S Mingo DEF1
-
C Alexandre MID1
-
R Nestor MID1
-
S Suay MID1
1
1
J Lucas MID1
1
-
Erick MID1
-
N Acevedo MID1
-
Ademir FWD1
-
L Rodriguez FWD1
-
E Pulga FWD1
-