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Corinthians v Sport Recife : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Apr, 20:00 BST, Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

the Arena Corinthians plays host on Saturday night, as Ramón Ángel Díaz's Corinthians host Pepa's Sport Recife in the Serie A. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Corinthians to win

A Serie A home win for Ramón Ángel Díaz's Corinthians side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Corinthians win is our recommendation, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Corinthians
69%
2/5-
Draw
19%
10/3-
S. Recife
12%
8/1-
Corinthians 2-0
13%
5/1-
Corinthians 1-0
13%
5/1-
Corinthians 2-1
9%
15/2-
Corinthians 3-0
9%
8/1-
Draw 1-1
9%
15/2-
Corinthians 3-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1-
Corinthians 4-0
5%
16/1-
S. Recife 1-0
4%
18/1-
Corinthians 4-1
3%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1-
S. Recife 2-1
3%
25/1-
Corinthians 3-2
2%
28/1-
Corinthians 5-0
2%
33/1-
S. Recife 2-0
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
19/20-
Home 1st Goal
60%
2/7-
Away 1st Goal
35%
10/3-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10-
BTTS - No
55%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
5/2-
BTTS - Draw
13%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
5%
16/1-
Home/draw
88%
1/14-
Away/draw
31%
7/4-
Home/away
81%
1/5-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1-
Home DNB
83%
1/9-
Away DNB
25%
11/2-
Corinthians win to nil
43%
11/10-
S. Recife win to nil
6%
12/1-
Corinthians / Corinthians
39%
11/10-
Corinthians / S. Recife
2%
50/1-
Corinthians / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Corinthians
22%
11/4-
Draw / S. Recife
5%
14/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
S. Recife / Corinthians
4%
20/1-
S. Recife / S. Recife
5%
14/1-
S. Recife / Draw
4%
18/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Corinthians 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Corinthians3 - 0Bahia
Corinthians3 - 1Vasco d Gama
Corinthians2 - 1Cruzeiro
Corinthians2 - 0Palmeiras
Corinthians5 - 2Athletico PR
Corinthians2 - 2Internacional
Corinthians3 - 0Atletico Go
Corinthians2 - 1Flamengo
Corinthians1 - 1Bragantino
Corinthians1 - 1Juventude
Corinthians2 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 1Criciuma
Corinthians3 - 2Vitoria
Corinthians1 - 1Cuiaba
Corinthians2 - 2Sao Paulo
Corinthians0 - 1Botafogo
Corinthians0 - 0Fortaleza
Corinthians3 - 0Fluminense
Corinthians0 - 0A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACorinthians0 - 2Palmeiras
HCorinthians3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ACorinthians1 - 1Bahia
ACorinthians3 - 0Gremio
HCorinthians3 - 0Bahia
ACorinthians4 - 2Criciuma
HCorinthians3 - 1Vasco d Gama
HCorinthians2 - 1Cruzeiro
ACorinthians2 - 1Vitoria
HCorinthians2 - 0Palmeiras
ACorinthians1 - 0Cuiaba
HCorinthians5 - 2Athletico PR
HCorinthians2 - 2Internacional
ACorinthians1 - 3Sao Paulo
HCorinthians3 - 0Atletico Go
ACorinthians1 - 2Botafogo
HCorinthians2 - 1Flamengo
ACorinthians0 - 1Fortaleza
ACorinthians0 - 0Fluminense
HCorinthians1 - 1Bragantino
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Ponte Preta0 - 4S. Recife
Operario2 - 1S. Recife
America 2 - 1S. Recife
Novorizontin1 - 3S. Recife
Mirassol0 - 0S. Recife
Paysandu0 - 1S. Recife
CRB1 - 1S. Recife
Avai0 - 2S. Recife
Brusque1 - 0S. Recife
Vila Nova2 - 0S. Recife
Santos1 - 1S. Recife
Chapecoense1 - 1S. Recife
Guarani0 - 1S. Recife
Botafogo1 - 1S. Recife
Ceara0 - 0S. Recife
Goias3 - 0S. Recife
Ituano1 - 0S. Recife
Cortiba0 - 1S. Recife
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Recife1 - 3Vasco d Gama
HS. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
AS. Recife0 - 0Sao Paulo
HS. Recife2 - 1Santos
AS. Recife4 - 0Ponte Preta
HS. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
AS. Recife1 - 2Operario
AS. Recife1 - 2America
HS. Recife4 - 0Guarani
HS. Recife3 - 1Botafogo
HS. Recife1 - 2Operario
AS. Recife3 - 1Novorizontin
HS. Recife2 - 1Ceara
AS. Recife0 - 0Mirassol
AS. Recife1 - 0Paysandu
HS. Recife1 - 1Goias
HS. Recife2 - 0CRB
AS. Recife1 - 1CRB
AS. Recife2 - 0Avai
HS. Recife3 - 2Ituano
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Corinthians have beaten S. Recife in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
CTH
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Corinthians2 - 1
Corinthians3 - 0
Corinthians2 - 1
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
REC
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
S. Recife1 - 0
S. Recife1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Corinthians in their clash with Sport Recife, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive Serie A matches.

Corinthians 9th S. Recife 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Corinthians will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of S. Recife scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
Corinthians have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
-3
S. Recife’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294494/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Corinthians
PG (predicted goals)
S. Recife
2.1
0.7
Attack rating
35%
better
CTH
REC
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
0
Goals scored4
2
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.7
Avg. shots per game6
5
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for22
13
Avg. XG for0.6
0.5
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
17%
better
CTH
REC
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded3
5
Avg. goals conceded1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against9%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
2.1
KickOff rating
+17%

Corinthians v S. Recife Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
M DonelliY AlbertoB BidonB Bidon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Donelli GLK2
-
A Ramalho DEF2
-
I Coronado MID2
-
Maycon MID2
-
B Bidon MID21
1
-
Y Alberto FWD211
-
H Hernández FWD21
-
Ángel Romero FWD2
-
Hugo DEF1
-
M Bidu DEF1
-
J Rodrigues DEF1
1
-
L Mana DEF1
-
Cacá DEF1
-
F Torres DEF1
-
Matheuzinho DEF1
1
-
A Carrillo MID1
-
Raniele MID1
1
-
J Martínez MID1
1
-
Charles MID1
-
A Santana MID1
-
M Depay FWD111
-
T Magno FWD1
-
S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
C FrançaC BarlettaL LimaM Alexandre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C França GLK2
-
J Silva DEF2
-
I Cariús DEF2
-
M Alexandre DEF2
2
-
Hereda DEF2
-
Chico DEF2
1
-
C Rivera MID2
1
-
S Oliveira MID2
1
-
F Domínguez MID2
-
L Lima MID21
2
-
C Barletta FWD21
-
L Lobato FWD2
-
C Alberto FWD2
-
Pablo FWD2
1
-
L Cunha DEF1
-