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Corinthians v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Apr, 23:30 BST, Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

Corinthians and their boss Ramón Ángel Díaz will be aiming to beat Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes and his Fluminense side on Wednesday night, as the pair meet at the Arena Corinthians in the Serie A. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Corinthians and Fluminense go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the sides in terms of who might win. The stats do not give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.53 with the bookies, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Corinthians 49%	2.00 14%	-
Draw 28%	3.10 14%	-
Fluminense 23%	4.33 4%	-
Corinthians 1-0 15%	5.00 17%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00 14%	-
Draw 0-0 11%	6.00 29%	-
Corinthians 2-0 10%	8.00 7%	-
Fluminense 1-0 9%	8.50 23%	-
Corinthians 2-1 9%	9.50 12%	-
Fluminense 2-1 5%	17.00 13%	-
Corinthians 3-0 5%	17.00 31%	-
Corinthians 3-1 4%	21.00 40%	-
Fluminense 2-0 4%	21.00 9%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	21.00 11%	-
Corinthians 4-0 2%	41.00 41%	-
Corinthians 3-2 2%	41.00 41%	-
Fluminense 3-1 1%	41.00	-
Corinthians 4-1 1%	41.00 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	2.70 29%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	1.44 15%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.62 8%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	3.00	-
No 1st Goal 8%	6.00 29%	-
BTTS - Yes 41%	2.25 13%	-
BTTS - No 59%	1.57 10%	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	5.50 27%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	5.00	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	11.00 16%	-
Home/draw 77%	1.20 2%	-
Away/draw 51%	1.80 10%	-
Home/away 72%	1.36 5%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	1.57 15%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	2.38 26%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	5.50 38%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1.14 9%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	13.00 63%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1.04 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	26.00 53%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1.01 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1.12 5%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	6.00 29%	-
Home DNB 69%	1.36 5%	-
Away DNB 42%	3.00 12%	-
Corinthians win to nil 33%	2.75 5%	-
Fluminense win to nil 14%	6.00 14%	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 25%	3.25 13%	-
Corinthians / Fluminense 2%	41.00	-
Corinthians / Draw 5%	15.00	-
Draw / Corinthians 18%	4.50	-
Draw / Fluminense 10%	8.00 16%	-
Draw / Draw 20%	4.00 20%	-
Fluminense / Corinthians 3%	29.00 26%	-
Fluminense / Fluminense 11%	7.50 6%	-
Fluminense / Draw 5%	17.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Corinthians have won 6 consecutive home league games

Corinthians have not lost in 16 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	2 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	5 - 2	Athletico PR
Corinthians	2 - 2	Internacional
Corinthians	3 - 0	Atletico Go
Corinthians	2 - 1	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 1	Bragantino
Corinthians	1 - 1	Juventude
Corinthians	2 - 2	Gremio
Corinthians	2 - 1	Criciuma
Corinthians	3 - 2	Vitoria
Corinthians	1 - 1	Cuiaba
Corinthians	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
Corinthians	0 - 1	Botafogo
Corinthians	0 - 0	Fortaleza
Corinthians	3 - 0	Fluminense
Corinthians	0 - 0	A Mineiro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Corinthians	0 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Bahia
A	Corinthians	3 - 0	Gremio
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
A	Corinthians	4 - 2	Criciuma
H	Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
H	Corinthians	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Corinthians	2 - 1	Vitoria
H	Corinthians	2 - 0	Palmeiras
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Cuiaba
H	Corinthians	5 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Corinthians	2 - 2	Internacional
A	Corinthians	1 - 3	Sao Paulo
H	Corinthians	3 - 0	Atletico Go
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Botafogo
H	Corinthians	2 - 1	Flamengo
A	Corinthians	0 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Corinthians	0 - 0	Fluminense
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Bragantino

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Fluminense
Internacional	2 - 0	Fluminense
Vitoria	2 - 1	Fluminense
Flamengo	0 - 2	Fluminense
Atletico Go	1 - 0	Fluminense
Juventude	2 - 1	Fluminense
A Mineiro	0 - 2	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
Bragantino	0 - 1	Fluminense
Cuiaba	0 - 1	Fluminense
Criciuma	1 - 1	Fluminense
Fortaleza	1 - 0	Fluminense
Gremio	1 - 0	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Fluminense
Botafogo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Fluminense
Corinthians	3 - 0	Fluminense
Bahia	2 - 1	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Santos
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Cuiaba
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Athletico PR
H	Fluminense	0 - 0	Criciuma
H	Fluminense	2 - 2	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Fluminense	2 - 2	Gremio
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Fluminense	2 - 0	Flamengo
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Atletico Go
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Juventude
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Fluminense	2 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Fluminense	0 - 0	Corinthians

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Corinthians

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

1 / 7

CTH

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Corinthians	3 - 0
Corinthians	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	1 - 0
Corinthians	5 - 0
	1 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	2 - 1

Fluminense

Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

1 / 7

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Fluminense	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fluminense	2 - 1
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Corinthians 9th	Fluminense 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of Fluminense scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+34 Corinthians have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted	-30 Fluminense have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

better

CTH

FLU

view stats

Games scored	2		2
Failed to score	1		1
Scored first	1		2
Goals scored	4		3
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1
Avg. shots per game	6		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	22		10
Avg. XG for	0.6		1.1
KickOff rating		+6%

CTH

FLU

better

view stats

Games conceded	2		2
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	2		1
Goals conceded	3		3
Avg. goals conceded	1		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		7
Conversion rate against	9%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.2		0.5
KickOff rating		+1%

Corinthians v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
M Donelli	Y Alberto	B Bidon	B Bidon

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Donelli GLK	2			-
A Ramalho DEF	2			-
B Bidon MID	2		1	1 -
I Coronado MID	2			-
Maycon MID	2			-
Y Alberto FWD	2	1	1	-
H Hernández FWD	2	1		-
Ángel Romero FWD	2			-
Matheuzinho DEF	1			1 -
Hugo DEF	1			-
M Bidu DEF	1			-
J Rodrigues DEF	1			1 -
L Mana DEF	1			-
Cacá DEF	1			-
F Torres DEF	1			-
A Carrillo MID	1			-
Raniele MID	1			1 -
J Martínez MID	1			1 -
Charles MID	1			-
A Santana MID	1			-
M Depay FWD	1	1	1	-
T Magno FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	1
Y Alberto	Y Alberto	B Bidon	B Bidon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Depay FWD	1	2	1	1
Y Alberto FWD	1	3	1	1
H Hernández FWD	1	1
M Bidu DEF		1
Ángel Romero FWD				1
B Bidon MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
139	4	16
A Ramalho	B Bidon	B Bidon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Ramalho DEF	139	2	4
B Bidon MID	129	4	16
I Coronado MID	90	4	6
Maycon MID	89	3	3
F Torres DEF	51	1	1
Matheuzinho DEF	46	1	3
Ángel Romero FWD	46		3
M Donelli GLK	40		2
Cacá DEF	38	1	3
A Carrillo MID	38
M Bidu DEF	37	2	2
A Santana MID	36		3
Charles MID	31		1
Hugo DEF	31	1	4
J Rodrigues DEF	30	2	2
L Mana DEF	29		1
T Magno FWD	28	1	10
Raniele MID	27	1	3
Y Alberto FWD	25	1	5
M Depay FWD	24		3
J Martínez MID	19		2
H Hernández FWD	5	1	2

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
F Fábio	Lima	A Canobbio	H Hércules

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	2			-
T Silva DEF	2			-
Renê DEF	2			-
Guga DEF	2			-
J Freytes DEF	2			-
Lima MID	2	1		-
H Hércules MID	2			1 -
Martinelli MID	2	1		-
J Arias MID	2			-
Everaldo FWD	2			-
G Cano FWD	2			-
A Canobbio FWD	2		1	-
Keno FWD	2			-
S Xavier DEF	1			-
Ganso MID	1			-
F Cruz MID	1			-
K Serna FWD	1			-
J Lavega FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	1
Lima	Martinelli	A Canobbio	Guga

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Lima MID	1	1
Martinelli MID	1	2
A Canobbio FWD			1	1
G Cano FWD		1		1
T Silva DEF		1
J Arias MID				1
H Hércules MID		1
J Freytes DEF		1
Guga DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
149	7	13
J Freytes	Guga	J Arias

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	149	1	6
T Silva DEF	140	1	5
Martinelli MID	136	5	12
Guga DEF	123	7	12
Renê DEF	93	2	7
J Arias MID	88	2	13
H Hércules MID	87	4	10
Lima MID	74	1	6
F Fábio GLK	38
Keno FWD	27	2	11
G Cano FWD	26		1
A Canobbio FWD	25	1	3
S Xavier DEF	17	2	2
Ganso MID	7		1
Everaldo FWD	6		1
F Cruz MID	6		1
J Lavega FWD	5		2
K Serna FWD	2

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Tue 22nd Apr, 00:00

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Sun 27th Apr, 00:00

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Corinthians v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Corinthians v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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