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Botafogo v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Apr, 22:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Luis Francisco Zubeldía is aiming for a vital away win in the Serie A on Wednesday night, as he takes his Sao Paulo side to the Estádio Nilton Santos to visit Botafogo and Carlos Eduardo Gomes Santos. For every Serie A preview, KickOff explores the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Botafogo and Sao Paulo no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie A match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Botafogo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
53%
1.80
5%
-
Draw
26%
3.50
3%
-
Sao Paulo
21%
4.50
25%
-
Botafogo 1-0
14%
5.50
21%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
7.00-
Botafogo 2-0
11%
7.50
17%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
7.50
25%
-
Botafogo 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
-
Sao Paulo 1-0
8%
9.50
5%
-
Botafogo 3-0
5%
15.00
12%
-
Sao Paulo 2-1
5%
15.00
15%
-
Botafogo 3-1
5%
17.00
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
21.00
24%
-
Sao Paulo 2-0
3%
21.00
11%
-
Botafogo 4-0
2%
34.00-
Botafogo 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
-
Botafogo 4-1
2%
41.00
21%
-
Sao Paulo 3-1
1%
41.00
41%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
2.40
20%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
1.53
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.53
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
3.10
19%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7.50
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
2.20
15%
-
BTTS - No
56%
1.62
15%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4.75
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.50
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11.00
47%
-
Home/draw
79%
1.18
9%
-
Away/draw
47%
1.95
2%
-
Home/away
74%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1.50
13%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
2.62
23%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
5.00
43%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1.17
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
11.00
69%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.05
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
23.00
53%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.01
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.10
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7.00
30%
-
Home DNB
71%
1.33
8%
-
Away DNB
39%
3.25
24%
-
Botafogo win to nil
33%
2.62
19%
-
Sao Paulo win to nil
13%
6.50-
Botafogo / Botafogo
28%
3.00
3%
-
Botafogo / Sao Paulo
2%
41.00
21%
-
Botafogo / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Botafogo
19%
4.33
9%
-
Draw / Sao Paulo
9%
9.00
13%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
4.50
10%
-
Sao Paulo / Botafogo
3%
26.00
13%
-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
10%
8.00
23%
-
Sao Paulo / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Sao Paulo have drawn 3 consecutive league games
10
Botafogo have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
8
Sao Paulo have not won in 8 consecutive league games
Botafogo 10TH
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo2 - 0Juventude
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Botafogo1 - 1Vitoria
Botafogo0 - 0Cuiaba
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo1 - 1Criciuma
Botafogo0 - 0Gremio
Botafogo2 - 1Corinthians
Botafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
Botafogo4 - 1Flamengo
Botafogo0 - 3Cruzeiro
Botafogo1 - 0Internacional
Botafogo1 - 0Palmeiras
Botafogo3 - 0A Mineiro
Botafogo2 - 1Bragantino
Botafogo1 - 1Athletico PR
Botafogo1 - 0Fluminense
Botafogo1 - 2Bahia
Botafogo5 - 1Juventude
Botafogo1 - 0Atletico Go
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABotafogo0 - 1Bragantino
HBotafogo2 - 0Juventude
ABotafogo0 - 0Palmeiras
HBotafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
ABotafogo1 - 0Internacional
ABotafogo3 - 1Palmeiras
HBotafogo1 - 1Vitoria
ABotafogo0 - 0A Mineiro
HBotafogo0 - 0Cuiaba
HBotafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABotafogo1 - 0Bragantino
HBotafogo1 - 1Criciuma
ABotafogo1 - 0Athletico PR
HBotafogo0 - 0Gremio
ABotafogo1 - 0Fluminense
HBotafogo2 - 1Corinthians
HBotafogo2 - 0Fortaleza
ABotafogo0 - 0Bahia
HBotafogo4 - 1Flamengo
ABotafogo2 - 3Juventude
Sao Paulo 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino1 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Criciuma1 - 1Sao Paulo
Cuiaba2 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro0 - 1Sao Paulo
Fluminense2 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Fortaleza1 - 0Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 0Sao Paulo
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
Athletico PR1 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
Corinthians2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional0 - 0Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 3Sao Paulo
Atletico Go0 - 3Sao Paulo
Flamengo2 - 1Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
ASao Paulo1 - 2Botafogo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
ASao Paulo1 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
ASao Paulo3 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo1 - 1Criciuma
HSao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cuiaba
HSao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
HSao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cruzeiro
ASao Paulo0 - 2Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
ASao Paulo1 - 2Palmeiras
HSao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Botafogo have beaten Sao Paulo in 4 consecutive home league meetings
7
Botafogo have not lost to Sao Paulo in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
BOT
4
D
1
SAO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo2 - 1
Botafogo2 - 1
Botafogo1 - 0
Botafogo1 - 0
1 - 2Sao Paulo
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
BOT
1
D
2
SAO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Botafogo
Sao Paulo4 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 2
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Sao Paulo fans, as should a 6 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Botafogo 10th Sao Paulo 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Sao Paulo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Botafogo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+4
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294483/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
20%
better
BOT
SAO
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score2
2
Scored first1
1
Goals scored2
1
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.3
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal17
25
Conversion rate for6
4
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
BOT
SAO
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded1
1
Avg. goals conceded0.3
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded25
24
Conversion rate against4%
4%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+14%

Botafogo v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
JohnI JesusCuiabanoA Barboza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
John GLK2
-
A Telles  DEF2
-
A Barboza DEF2
2
-
J Paula DEF2
-
Cuiabano DEF21
-
S Rodríguez MID2
-
P Paula MID2
-
M Freitas MID2
-
Gregore MID2
1
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID2
-
J Savarino FWD2
-
Artur FWD21
1
-
I Jesus FWD21
-
Vitinho  FWD2
-
M Ponte DEF11
-
M Martins FWD1
1
-
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2001
RafaelA Franco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK2
-
N Ferraresi  DEF2
-
A Franco DEF2
1
-
R Arboleda DEF2
-
Wendell DEF2
-
C Soares DEF2
-
E Díaz DEF2
-
Alisson MID2
-
M. Alves Nascimento MID2
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID2
-
M Antônio MID2
-
J Calleri FWD2
1
Luciano FWD2
-
Ferreira FWD2
1
-
A Silva FWD2
1
-
I Vinícius  DEF1
-
Sabino DEF1
-
R Tressoldi DEF1
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD1
-