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Bahia v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 20th Nov, 23:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira pays counterpart Rogério Mücke Ceni a visit on Wednesday night in the Serie A, as their Palmeiras and Bahia sides face each other at the Arena Fonte Nova. We've got bespoke statistics for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Bahia and Palmeiras go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver precisely that. The stats and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
34%
2/1-
Draw
29%
23/10-
Palmeiras
37%
13/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Palmeiras 1-0
12%
6/1-
Bahia 1-0
12%
7/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
7/1-
Palmeiras 2-1
8%
17/2-
Bahia 2-1
7%
10/1-
Palmeiras 2-0
7%
9/1-
Bahia 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Palmeiras 3-1
3%
20/1-
Palmeiras 3-0
3%
20/1-
Bahia 3-1
3%
28/1-
Bahia 3-0
2%
33/1-
Palmeiras 3-2
2%
33/1-
Bahia 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
5/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13-
Home 1st Goal
46%
13/10-
Away 1st Goal
47%
4/5-
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
45%
19/20-
BTTS - No
55%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
9/2-
Home/draw
63%
4/7-
Away/draw
66%
4/11-
Home/away
71%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
2/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Home DNB
54%
11/10-
Away DNB
57%
4/6-
Bahia win to nil
21%
7/2-
Palmeiras win to nil
23%
11/4-
Bahia / Bahia
17%
4/1-
Bahia / Palmeiras
3%
28/1-
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Bahia
13%
11/2-
Draw / Palmeiras
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2-
Palmeiras / Bahia
2%
33/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
21%
3/1-
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
14/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Palmeiras 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Bahia have not lost to Palmeiras in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
BAH
1
D
4
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Bahia
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
D
1
PAL
5
Goal Statistics
Bahia 7th Palmeiras 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Bahia have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+9
Palmeiras’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273390/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.1
1.1
Attack rating
BAH
PAL
3%
better
view stats
Games scored26
22
Failed to score6
10
Scored first13
19
Goals scored42
53
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
BAH
PAL
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
18
Clean sheets9
14
Conceded first18
10
Goals conceded40
27
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
11
Conversion rate against13%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+29%

Bahia v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32859
M FelipeEveraldoCaulyKanu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Felipe GLK32
2
-
Cauly MID3235
1
-
S Suay MID3125
4
-
J Lucas MID3135
6
-
Everaldo FWD3182
4
-
G Xavier DEF30
6
-
C Alexandre MID302
6
-
Thaciano MID3062
5
-
L Juba FWD3031
2
-
C Pena MID273
5
-
Kanu DEF25
9
-
Ademir FWD2423
1
-
Biel  FWD2144
3
-
S Arias DEF201
2
1
R Ratão FWD1813
-
Rezende MID15
3
-
Gilberto DEF141
1
-
L Rodriguez FWD133
-
Iago DEF12
-
Y Felipe MID8
2
-
V Cuesta DEF7
3
-
Cicinho  DEF6
1
-
N Acevedo MID2
-
D Duarte DEF11
-
V Hugo DEF1
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD1
-
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311188
WevertonE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesG Menino
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK311
2
-
Rony FWD3042
4
-
A Moreno  MID2811
7
-
R Veiga MID28102
2
1
J López FWD2893
6
-
M Rocha DEF252
4
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD23118
1
-
Vanderlan DEF222
-
G Portillo DEF2212
7
-
G Menino MID221
7
1
Murilo DEF211
4
-
Mayke DEF201
5
-
R Ríos MID1923
5
-
C Paulista DEF18
1
1
Fabinho MID18
2
-
L Lázaro FWD172
-
J Piquerez DEF162
2
-
Z Rafael MID162
5
1
M Maurício MID152
1
-
Dudu FWD15
-
F Anderson FWD1522
-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF131
2
-
K Naves DEF11
1
-
A Giay DEF8
1
-
Romulo MID7
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD21
-
M Lomba GLK1
-