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Atlético Mineiro v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 4th Jul, 01:30 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Serie A, and Gabriel Alejandro Milito’s Atlético Mineiro will have the blessing of it on Thursday morning. Adenor Leonardo Bacchi’s Flamengo are their visitors to the Arena MRV. We have odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for these two clubs. All can be selected using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. A Mineiro and Flamengo have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Thursday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There is a 51% chance of both teams scoring within the 90 minutes of this match, as calculated by KickOff’s predictive algorithm. That makes ‘BTTS – yes’ the most probable outcome in this market, and it’s available at a best price of 2.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
29%
2.70
4%
2.60
6%
Draw
26%
3.25
5%
3.00
Flamengo
45%
2.752.50
5%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.005.75
4%
Flamengo 1-0
12%
7.50
6%
7.00
7%
Flamengo 2-1
9%
11.009.00
10%
A Mineiro 1-0
9%
7.507.00
7%
Flamengo 2-0
8%
12.00
8%
11.00
8%
Draw 0-0
8%
8.007.00
7%
A Mineiro 2-1
7%
11.00
10%
9.00
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
A Mineiro 2-0
5%
12.0011.00
Flamengo 3-1
4%
23.0017.00
11%
Flamengo 3-0
4%
29.0019.00
17%
A Mineiro 3-1
2%
23.0017.00
11%
Flamengo 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
12%
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
12%
A Mineiro 3-0
2%
26.0019.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.35
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.57
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
1.91-
Away 1st Goal
50%
2.10
5%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8.00-
BTTS - Yes
50%
1.95
2%
1.91
3%
BTTS - No
50%
1.80
6%
1.80
3%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6.00
9%
5.50
5%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
4%
4.40
BTTS - Away Win
19%
6.005.50
Home/draw
55%
1.401.44
Away/draw
71%
1.44
4%
1.44
3%
Home/away
74%
1.33
2%
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.44
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2.75
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
4.50
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.20
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
10.00
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.06
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
21.00
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.01
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.08-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8.00-
Home DNB
47%
1.83
2%
1.85
3%
Away DNB
63%
1.83
4%
1.83
4%
A Mineiro win to nil
16%
4.00-
Flamengo win to nil
26%
4.33
4%
-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
18%
4.50
4%
4.33
3%
A Mineiro / Flamengo
3%
29.0023.00
12%
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Draw / A Mineiro
14%
6.005.75
Draw / Flamengo
14%
6.005.75
4%
Draw / Draw
18%
4.50
5%
4.20
5%
Flamengo / A Mineiro
3%
29.0023.00
12%
Flamengo / Flamengo
18%
4.504.20
7%
Flamengo / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
8%
bet365
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Both teams to score form
8
A Mineiro have conceded in 8 consecutive league games
9
Flamengo have scored in 9 consecutive league games
A Mineiro 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Yes
10
No
10
see results
HOME FORM
A Mineiro1 - 1Atletico Go
A Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
A Mineiro0 - 4Palmeiras
A Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
A Mineiro3 - 0Cruzeiro
A Mineiro1 - 1Criciuma
A Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
A Mineiro3 - 0Gremio
A Mineiro2 - 1Goias
A Mineiro3 - 1Fortaleza
A Mineiro2 - 0Fluminese
A Mineiro0 - 1Cruzeiro
A Mineiro1 - 2Cortiba
A Mineiro1 - 0Cuiaba
A Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
A Mineiro2 - 0Santos
A Mineiro1 - 0Bahia
A Mineiro1 - 2Flamengo
A Mineiro0 - 1Corinthians
A Mineiro2 - 2America
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Yes
14
No
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
HA Mineiro1 - 1Atletico Go
AA Mineiro2 - 1Internacional
HA Mineiro1 - 1Fortaleza
AA Mineiro2 - 4Vitoria
HA Mineiro0 - 4Palmeiras
AA Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
HA Mineiro1 - 1Bahia
AA Mineiro2 - 2Fluminese
AA Mineiro3 - 0Cuiaba
HA Mineiro3 - 0Cruzeiro
HA Mineiro1 - 1Criciuma
AA Mineiro0 - 0Corinthians
AA Mineiro1 - 4Bahia
HA Mineiro2 - 1Sao Paulo
AA Mineiro3 - 0Flamengo
HA Mineiro3 - 0Gremio
HA Mineiro2 - 1Goias
AA Mineiro1 - 1Corinthians
AA Mineiro1 - 1America
HA Mineiro3 - 1Fortaleza
Flamengo 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Yes
11
No
9
see results
AWAY FORM
Juventude2 - 1Flamengo
Fluminese0 - 1Flamengo
Athletico PR1 - 1Flamengo
Vasco d Gama1 - 6Flamengo
Bragantino1 - 1Flamengo
Palmeiras0 - 0Flamengo
Atletico Go1 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo1 - 0Flamengo
America 0 - 3Flamengo
Fortaleza0 - 2Flamengo
Gremio3 - 2Flamengo
Cruzeiro0 - 2Flamengo
Corinthians1 - 1Flamengo
Goias0 - 0Flamengo
Botafogo1 - 2Flamengo
Cortiba2 - 3Flamengo
Cuiaba3 - 0Flamengo
A Mineiro1 - 2Flamengo
Fluminese0 - 0Flamengo
Palmeiras1 - 1Flamengo
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Yes
11
No
9
see results
OVERALL FORM
HFlamengo2 - 1Cruzeiro
AFlamengo1 - 2Juventude
AFlamengo1 - 0Fluminese
HFlamengo2 - 1Bahia
AFlamengo1 - 1Athletico PR
HFlamengo2 - 1Gremio
AFlamengo6 - 1Vasco d Gama
HFlamengo2 - 0Corinthians
AFlamengo1 - 1Bragantino
HFlamengo0 - 2Botafogo
AFlamengo0 - 0Palmeiras
HFlamengo2 - 1Sao Paulo
AFlamengo2 - 1Atletico Go
AFlamengo0 - 1Sao Paulo
HFlamengo2 - 1Cuiaba
HFlamengo0 - 3A Mineiro
AFlamengo3 - 0America
HFlamengo1 - 0Bragantino
HFlamengo1 - 1Fluminese
HFlamengo3 - 0Palmeiras
Both teams to score head to head (H2H)
5
A Mineiro have scored in 5 consecutive home league meetings with Flamengo
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
Yes
3
No
3
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Mineiro
Yes
|
No
1 - 2Flamengo
A Mineiro2 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro4 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
0 - 1Flamengo
All league games since 2018
A Mineiro
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
17
12
Games: Scored
9 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
3 / 12
Yes
5
No
7
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Yes
|
No
0 - 3A Mineiro
1 - 2Flamengo
Flamengo1 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 0
Flamengo1 - 0
A Mineiro2 - 1
A Mineiro4 - 0
0 - 1A Mineiro
Flamengo3 - 1
A Mineiro2 - 1
Flamengo2 - 1
0 - 1Flamengo
Goal Statistics
A Mineiro 11th Flamengo 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that A Mineiro will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Flamengo have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273189/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/BTTS
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
1.1
1.4
Attack rating
AMN
FLA
13%
better
view stats
Games scored10
11
Failed to score2
2
Scored first5
8
Goals scored18
22
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.7
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
AMN
FLA
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
10
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first6
4
Goals conceded16
12
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.8
KickOff rating
+14%

A Mineiro v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11534
PaulinhoPaulinhoHulk Paulinho
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Scarpa MID1132
3
-
M Zaracho MID112
2
-
Paulinho FWD1151
3
1
R Saravia DEF10
2
-
I Gomes MID102
2
-
Everson GLK9
3
-
I Rabello  DEF91
3
-
R Battaglia MID9
3
-
A Fonseca FWD9
-
Pedrinho MID8
1
-
Hulk  FWD813
2
-
C Castro FWD81
-
B Fuchs DEF7
4
-
G Arana DEF611
2
-
M Lemos  DEF6
3
-
A Franco MID6
3
-
B Palacios FWD611
-
E Vargas FWD63
-
O Otávio MID5
-
A Kardec  FWD5
-
M Mendes GLK3
-
Mariano DEF3
1
-
Jemerson DEF3
2
-
R. dos Santos Conceição MID2
-
P Monteiro MID2
-
Rubens DEF1
-
I Tomich FWD1
-
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13644
A RossiPedroPedroL Pereira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rossi GLK13
-
Gerson MID1313
1
-
Pedro FWD1364
1
-
L Araújo FWD1333
1
-
L Pereira DEF11
4
-
F Bruno DEF111
3
-
B Henrique FWD112
-
Ayrton DEF10
-
Allan MID10
2
-
Lorran MID1011
-
Wesley DEF91
1
-
L Ortiz  DEF8
2
-
D Luiz DEF72
1
-
N Cruz MID722
1
-
V Hugo MID7
1
-
Éverton FWD612
-
G Varela DEF5
-
E Farfán MID5
-
G Barbosa FWD51
-
M Viña DEF4
-
E. Fernandes Araújo MID41
1
-
G Arrascaeta MID412
1
-
I Jesus MID3
1
-
Werton FWD1
-