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Atlético Mineiro v Botafogo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Apr, 20:00 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Atlético Mineiro and Botafogo meet at the Arena MRV on Sunday night, with both Alexi Stival and Carlos Eduardo Gomes Santos hoping for success in the Serie A. Serie A stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and the best odds available for every betting markets using the tabs.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 79% chance of A Mineiro and Botafogo no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie A match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.19.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Mineiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Mineiro
43%
6/5-
Draw
28%
9/4-
Botafogo
30%
12/5-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
A Mineiro 1-0
12%
11/2-
Botafogo 1-0
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2-
A Mineiro 2-1
9%
17/2-
A Mineiro 2-0
8%
17/2-
Botafogo 2-1
7%
11/1-
Botafogo 2-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
A Mineiro 3-1
4%
20/1-
A Mineiro 3-0
4%
20/1-
Botafogo 3-1
2%
28/1-
A Mineiro 3-2
2%
33/1-
Botafogo 3-0
2%
40/1-
Botafogo 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
13/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
3/5-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/1-
BTTS - No
52%
3/4
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2-
Home/draw
70%
3/10
2%
-
Away/draw
57%
4/6
2%
-
Home/away
72%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/9
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
7/4
2%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/9
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/14
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13/2-
Home DNB
62%
8/15
2%
-
Away DNB
49%
11/8-
A Mineiro win to nil
26%
12/5-
Botafogo win to nil
17%
9/2-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro
23%
13/5-
A Mineiro / Botafogo
2%
33/1-
A Mineiro / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A Mineiro
17%
4/1-
Draw / Botafogo
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2-
Botafogo / A Mineiro
3%
28/1-
Botafogo / Botafogo
14%
5/1-
Botafogo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
A Mineiro 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Botafogo 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Mineiro since 2018
A Mineiro
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
4 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
2 / 6
AMN
4
D
1
BOT
1
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
A Mineiro
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
AMN
2
BOT
4
Goal Statistics

Botafogo's defensive record is to be admired, C. Gomes Santos's men having conceded 1 or less in 19 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Atlético Mineiro makes sense in this context.

A Mineiro 17th Botafogo 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that A Mineiro will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Botafogo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Botafogo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294496/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Mineiro
PG (predicted goals)
Botafogo
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
12%
better
AMN
BOT
view stats
Games scored2
1
Failed to score1
2
Scored first0
1
Goals scored3
2
Avg. goals scored1
0.7
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal14
17
Conversion rate for7
6
Avg. XG for2.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
AMN
BOT
53%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
1
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded4
1
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
25
Conversion rate against19%
4%
Avg. XG against0.8
1
KickOff rating
+53%

A Mineiro v Botafogo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
EversonRonyG ScarpaLyanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Everson GLK2
-
G Arana DEF2
-
Rubens DEF2
-
J Alonso  DEF2
-
Lyanco DEF2
1
1
Natanael DEF2
-
G Scarpa MID21
-
Bernard MID2
-
G Menino MID2
-
A Franco MID2
-
Rony FWD21
-
T Cuello FWD2
-
J Santos FWD2
-
Hulk  FWD2
-
R Saravia DEF1
-
I Gomes MID1
-
Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
JohnI JesusCuiabanoA Barboza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
John GLK2
-
J Paula DEF2
-
Cuiabano DEF21
-
A Telles  DEF2
-
A Barboza DEF2
2
-
S Rodríguez MID2
-
P Paula MID2
-
M Freitas MID2
-
Gregore MID2
1
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID2
-
I Jesus FWD21
-
Vitinho  FWD2
-
J Savarino FWD2
-
Artur FWD21
1
-
M Ponte DEF11
-
M Martins FWD1
1
-