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Vélez Sarsfield v Sarmiento : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez's Vélez Sarsfield side are on home soil in the Primera División on Tuesday morning, as Javier Sanguinetti's Sarmiento travel to the Estadio José Amalfitani. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our extensive database and pulled out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

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Vélez Sarsfield's next match is v Tal Cordoba at 23:15 on Friday 18th April
Sarmiento's next match is v Platense at 22:00 on Sunday 20th April
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Velez and Sarmiento was on Tuesday 15th April 2025
Argentinian Primera División
April 15th 2025
Velez 0
1 Sarmiento
 
71' F. Frías
 
VEL
SAR
Shots On
4
1
Shots Off
6
4
Corners
12
1
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
6/0
 
VelezSarmiento
 
T. Marchiori Carreño
D. Fernández
D. Gómez
E. Gómez
A. Lagos (F. Pizzini 82')
?. Montoro (T. Galván 66')
A. Bouzat
C. Ordoñez
K. Vázquez (I. Machuca 46')
M. Carrizo
M. Santos Rosadilla
L. Acosta
J. Vallejos
J. Insaurralde
F. Roncaglia
C. Villalba
(G. Díaz 64') J. Gho
(F. Frías 55') H. Carabajal
E. Giménez
(V. Burgoa 64') L. Suhr Avondet
(M. García 83') I. Morales Bravo
J. Godoy

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we don't predict a thriller here. The statistics suggest Velez and Sarmiento both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Velez
48%
4/5
10%
-
Draw
30%
23/10
6%
-
Sarmiento
23%
17/4
21%
-
Velez 1-0
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
14%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
-
Velez 2-0
10%
6/1
18%
-
Sarmiento 1-0
10%
9/1
11%
-
Velez 2-1
8%
8/1
5%
-
Sarmiento 2-1
5%
18/1
27%
-
Velez 3-0
4%
12/1
24%
-
Sarmiento 2-0
4%
22/1
21%
-
Velez 3-1
3%
16/1
19%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
11%
-
Velez 4-0
1%
33/1
17%
-
Velez 3-2
1%
40/1-
Sarmiento 3-1
1%
50/1
24%
-
Velez 4-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
52%
1/2
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
9/4
13%
-
No 1st Goal
10%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
38%
5/4
7%
-
BTTS - No
63%
4/7
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
4/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
16%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
30%
-
Home/draw
78%
1/6
3%
-
Away/draw
52%
19/20
8%
-
Home/away
70%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
6/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
11/2-
Home DNB
69%
2/7
8%
-
Away DNB
43%
5/2
27%
-
Velez win to nil
34%
6/4
17%
-
Sarmiento win to nil
15%
6/1
17%
-
Velez / Velez
30%
15/8
15%
-
Velez / Sarmiento
2%
40/1-
Velez / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Velez
19%
10/3
9%
-
Draw / Sarmiento
8%
17/2
19%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
10/3-
Sarmiento / Velez
3%
28/1-
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
9%
8/1
29%
-
Sarmiento / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
5
Sarmiento have drawn 5 consecutive league games
17
Sarmiento have not won in 17 consecutive away league games
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Velez1 - 0SM San Juan
Velez0 - 2Huracan
Velez0 - 2Godoy Cruz
Velez0 - 0San Lorenzo
Velez0 - 1Platense
Velez2 - 0Huracan
Velez1 - 0Sarmiento
Velez0 - 0Lanus
Velez1 - 0Tig
Velez1 - 1Belgrano
Velez1 - 0Racing Club
Velez2 - 0Estudiantes
Velez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez3 - 0Defensa
Velez3 - 0Tal Cordoba
Velez1 - 1A. Tucuman
Velez1 - 0Newells
Velez0 - 0Argentinos
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVelez1 - 2Rosario
HVelez0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AVelez2 - 1A. Tucuman
HVelez1 - 0SM San Juan
HVelez0 - 2Huracan
AVelez0 - 0Lanus
HVelez0 - 2Godoy Cruz
AVelez0 - 3Independiente
HVelez0 - 0San Lorenzo
AVelez0 - 2Instituto
HVelez0 - 1Platense
AVelez0 - 3Tig
HVelez2 - 0Huracan
AVelez0 - 1U Santa Fe
HVelez1 - 0Sarmiento
AVelez0 - 0Godoy Cruz
HVelez0 - 0Lanus
AVelez1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HVelez1 - 0Tig
AVelez1 - 1Argentinos
Sarmiento 26TH
20 league games
Away
17
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
1
Draw
7
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia0 - 0Sarmiento
Aldosivi2 - 2Sarmiento
Rosario1 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman5 - 0Sarmiento
Lanus2 - 0Sarmiento
Independiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Banfield1 - 1Sarmiento
Velez1 - 0Sarmiento
Tal Cordoba2 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman1 - 0Sarmiento
Newells1 - 1Sarmiento
Huracan3 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz1 - 1Sarmiento
Deportivo Riestra2 - 1Sarmiento
Argentinos0 - 0Sarmiento
River Plate1 - 0Sarmiento
Rosario4 - 2Sarmiento
San Lorenzo0 - 1Sarmiento
Barracas1 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz1 - 0Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSarmiento1 - 1River Plate
ASarmiento0 - 0Gimnasia
HSarmiento0 - 0Tal Cordoba
HSarmiento1 - 1Barracas
ASarmiento2 - 2Aldosivi
ASarmiento0 - 1Rosario
HSarmiento2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
ASarmiento0 - 5A. Tucuman
HSarmiento1 - 1SM San Juan
ASarmiento0 - 2Lanus
HSarmiento0 - 0Godoy Cruz
ASarmiento1 - 2Independiente
ASarmiento1 - 1Banfield
HSarmiento1 - 1Defensa
ASarmiento0 - 1Velez
HSarmiento1 - 0Platense
ASarmiento0 - 2Tal Cordoba
HSarmiento0 - 2Boca Juniors
ASarmiento0 - 1A. Tucuman
HSarmiento0 - 0Independiente
Goal Statistics
Velez 1st Sarmiento 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 65% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Sarmiento scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-54
Velez have scored 54% fewer goals at home than predicted
-36
Sarmiento have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291514/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Velez
PG (predicted goals)
Sarmiento
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
VEL
SAR
22%
better
view stats
Games scored3
6
Failed to score9
6
Scored first2
1
Goals scored4
8
Avg. goals scored0.3
0.7
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal17
13
Conversion rate for6
8
Avg. XG for0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
VEL
SAR
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
9
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded17
16
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%

Velez v Sarmiento Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12115
T MarchioriM. CarrizoI. AndradaA Bouzat
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Marchiori GLK12
-
A Lagos DEF3
-
D Fernández DEF9
1
-
V Gómez DEF4
1
-
E Gómez DEF11
2
-
M. Carrizo MID61
-
K. Vázquez MID3
2
-
C Ordoñez MID10
2
-
A Bouzat MID11
5
-
M Santos FWD10
-
?. Montoro FWD9
2
-
Subs
R Rodriguez GLK
-
E Mammana DEF7
2
-
L Roldán DEF4
3
-
P Pernicone DEF3
1
T. Silvero DEF2
-
I. Andrada DEF41
-
C Baeza MID3
1
-
T Galván MID5
-
M. Porcel MID8
-
F Pizzini FWD11
-
I Machuca FWD5
-
Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12215
L AcostaG CarabajalJ GhoJ Insaurralde
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Acosta GLK12
1
-
J. Vallejos DEF1
-
F Roncaglia DEF7
1
-
J Insaurralde DEF101
4
1
J. Godoy DEF3
-
L Suhr MID81
1
C Villalba MID7
3
-
E. Giménez MID6
1
-
J Gho MID121
3
-
G Carabajal FWD112
1
-
I Bravo FWD121
-
Subs
T. Ayala GLK
-
G Díaz DEF9
3
-
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF1
-
S Morales DEF6
1
-
Y Arismendi  MID5
-
M. Rosales MID
-
M García MID10
3
-
F Paradela  MID6
2
-
V Burgoa MID121
-
F Frías FWD9
-
A. Ávalos Molina FWD
-