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Vélez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Feb, 20:00 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Saturday night sees Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez’s Vélez Sarsfield and Miguel Ángel Russo’s San Lorenzo go head to head in a Primera División battle at the Estadio José Amalfitani. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Velez and San Lorenzo go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Velez
45%
21/20
5%
-
Draw
30%
21/10
3%
-
San Lorenzo
25%
29/10
11%
-
Velez 1-0
16%
4/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
13%
9/2
15%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
San Lorenzo 1-0
11%
13/2-
Velez 2-0
10%
7/1
6%
-
Velez 2-1
8%
9/1-
San Lorenzo 2-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
San Lorenzo 2-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
Velez 3-0
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Velez 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
San Lorenzo 3-1
1%
40/1-
Velez 3-2
1%
40/1-
Velez 4-0
1%
40/1-
San Lorenzo 3-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
21/10
15%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
4/11
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/6
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/8
10%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
9/2
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
6/4
11%
-
BTTS - No
61%
1/2
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
11/2
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/1
22%
-
Home/draw
75%
1/4
3%
-
Away/draw
55%
8/11
4%
-
Home/away
70%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
8/13
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
6/5
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
11/2
18%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/9
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
33/1
17%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/200
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/8
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
5/1
8%
-
Home DNB
66%
4/9
4%
-
Away DNB
46%
13/8
5%
-
Velez win to nil
31%
7/4
8%
-
San Lorenzo win to nil
17%
9/2
10%
-
Velez / Velez
23%
5/2
3%
-
Velez / San Lorenzo
2%
40/1-
Velez / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Velez
17%
15/4
5%
-
Draw / San Lorenzo
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
22%
11/4
6%
-
San Lorenzo / Velez
2%
33/1
17%
-
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
12%
6/1
8%
-
San Lorenzo / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Velez have lost 3 consecutive league games
3
Velez have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games
3
San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez0 - 1Platense
Velez2 - 0Huracan
Velez1 - 0Sarmiento
Velez0 - 0Lanus
Velez1 - 0Tig
Velez1 - 1Belgrano
Velez1 - 0Racing Club
Velez2 - 0Estudiantes
Velez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez3 - 0Defensa
Velez3 - 0Tal Cordoba
Velez1 - 1A. Tucuman
Velez1 - 0Newells
Velez0 - 0Argentinos
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez1 - 0Rosario
Velez2 - 2Tig
Velez1 - 0Huracan
Velez3 - 1Gimnasia
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVelez0 - 2Instituto
HVelez0 - 1Platense
AVelez0 - 3Tig
HVelez2 - 0Huracan
AVelez0 - 1U Santa Fe
HVelez1 - 0Sarmiento
AVelez0 - 0Godoy Cruz
HVelez0 - 0Lanus
AVelez1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HVelez1 - 0Tig
AVelez1 - 1Argentinos
HVelez1 - 1Belgrano
AVelez1 - 1River Plate
HVelez1 - 0Racing Club
AVelez0 - 3Rosario
HVelez2 - 0Estudiantes
AVelez1 - 0San Lorenzo
HVelez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
AVelez5 - 0Barracas
HVelez1 - 0Instituto
San Lorenzo 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
Argentinos1 - 0San Lorenzo
River Plate1 - 1San Lorenzo
Rosario0 - 1San Lorenzo
Central Cor0 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0San Lorenzo
Godoy Cruz1 - 1San Lorenzo
Instituto2 - 0San Lorenzo
Defensa0 - 0San Lorenzo
Platense1 - 2San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors3 - 2San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 0San Lorenzo
Gimnasia0 - 1San Lorenzo
U Santa Fe2 - 1San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra1 - 0San Lorenzo
Central Cor0 - 0San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors2 - 1San Lorenzo
Platense0 - 0San Lorenzo
Newells2 - 2San Lorenzo
Huracan0 - 0San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSan Lorenzo0 - 0River Plate
ASan Lorenzo2 - 0Gimnasia
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0Tal Cordoba
HSan Lorenzo0 - 1Tig
ASan Lorenzo0 - 1Argentinos
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1River Plate
HSan Lorenzo0 - 2Belgrano
HSan Lorenzo1 - 2Racing Club
ASan Lorenzo1 - 0Rosario
HSan Lorenzo1 - 1Estudiantes
ASan Lorenzo1 - 0Central Cor
ASan Lorenzo0 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0Barracas
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1Godoy Cruz
ASan Lorenzo0 - 2Instituto
HSan Lorenzo2 - 1Banfield
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Defensa
HSan Lorenzo0 - 1Velez
ASan Lorenzo2 - 1Platense
HSan Lorenzo2 - 0Tal Cordoba
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Velez since 2018
Velez
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
0
0
Games: Scored
0 / 2
0 / 2
Clean sheets
2 / 2
2 / 2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at San Lorenzo since 2020
San Lorenzo
Velez
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
VEL
1
SLO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT San Lorenzo
0 - 1Velez
San Lorenzo1 - 0
San Lorenzo1 - 0
Goal Statistics

San Lorenzo's defensive record is very strong, Miguel Ángel Russo's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Primera División games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Vélez Sarsfield makes sense in this context.

Velez 1st San Lorenzo 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 66% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of San Lorenzo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Velez have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
San Lorenzo have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.3
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291385/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Velez
PG (predicted goals)
San Lorenzo
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
VEL
SLO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
VEL
SLO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Velez v San Lorenzo Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3003
T MarchioriA Bouzat
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Marchiori GLK3
-
E Gómez DEF3
-
D Fernández DEF3
1
-
A Bouzat MID3
3
-
C Ordoñez MID3
-
?. Montoro MID3
-
M Santos FWD3
-
I Machuca FWD3
-
B Romero FWD3
1
-
F Pizzini FWD3
-
I. Andrada DEF2
-
E Mammana DEF2
1
-
M Pellegrini FWD2
-
J García DEF1
-
T Cavanagh DEF1
-
A Lagos DEF1
-
A Quirós DEF1
-
San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3212
O GillA VombergarE. Báez SoteloJ Romaña
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Gill GLK3
-
D. Herrera DEF3
-
E. Báez Sotelo DEF31
1
-
E Herrera DEF3
1
-
N Tripichio DEF3
1
-
J Romaña DEF3
2
-
E Cecchini MID31
-
M Braida MID31
-
E Irala MID3
-
M. Reali FWD3
1
-
A Cuello FWD3
-
A Vombergar FWD321
-
E Cerutti FWD3
2
-
N Domínguez DEF2
-
A. Ladstatter DEF2
-
M Insaurralde MID2
-
V. Escalante FWD1
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Godoy Cruz v Tal Cordoba
Tue 4th Feb, 22:00
A. Tucuman v Deportivo Riestra
Wed 5th Feb, 00:00
Aldosivi v Barracas
Thu 6th Feb, 20:00
Sarmiento v SM San Juan
Thu 6th Feb, 23:00
Banfield v Belgrano
Fri 7th Feb, 20:00
Central Cor v Newells
Fri 7th Feb, 22:15
Huracan v Tig
Fri 7th Feb, 22:15
U Santa Fe v Argentinos
Sat 8th Feb, 00:30
Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes
Sat 8th Feb, 00:30
Velez v San Lorenzo
Sat 8th Feb, 20:00
Rosario v A. Tucuman
Sat 8th Feb, 20:00
River Plate v Independiente
Sat 8th Feb, 22:15
Racing Club v Boca Juniors
Sun 9th Feb, 00:30
Deportivo Riestra v Defensa
Sun 9th Feb, 20:00
Platense v Instituto
Sun 9th Feb, 20:00
Gimnasia v Godoy Cruz
Sun 9th Feb, 22:15
Tal Cordoba v Lanus
Mon 10th Feb, 00:30
Barracas v Central Cor
Tue 11th Feb, 20:00
Boca Juniors v Independiente Rivadavia
Tue 11th Feb, 22:15
Estudiantes v Banfield
Tue 11th Feb, 22:15
Belgrano v Aldosivi
Wed 12th Feb, 00:30
Tig v Racing Club
Wed 12th Feb, 00:30
Newells v Defensa
Wed 12th Feb, 20:00
Deportivo Riestra v Rosario
Wed 12th Feb, 20:00
Argentinos v Huracan
Wed 12th Feb, 22:15
Independiente v Velez
Wed 12th Feb, 22:15
Godoy Cruz v River Plate
Thu 13th Feb, 00:30
Lanus v Gimnasia
Thu 13th Feb, 20:45
SM San Juan v Tal Cordoba
Thu 13th Feb, 23:00
San Lorenzo v Platense
Thu 13th Feb, 23:00
U Santa Fe v Instituto
Fri 14th Feb, 01:15
A. Tucuman v Sarmiento
Fri 14th Feb, 01:15
Banfield v Boca Juniors
Fri 14th Feb, 23:00
Aldosivi v Estudiantes
Sat 15th Feb, 20:00
Defensa v Barracas
Sat 15th Feb, 20:00
Independiente Rivadavia v Tig
Sat 15th Feb, 22:15
Central Cor v Belgrano
Sat 15th Feb, 22:15
Racing Club v Argentinos
Sun 16th Feb, 00:30
Newells v Rosario
Sun 16th Feb, 20:00
River Plate v Lanus
Sun 16th Feb, 22:15
Huracan v U Santa Fe
Mon 17th Feb, 00:30
Tal Cordoba v A. Tucuman
Mon 17th Feb, 00:30
Sarmiento v Deportivo Riestra
Mon 17th Feb, 20:00
Gimnasia v SM San Juan
Mon 17th Feb, 20:00
Platense v Independiente
Mon 17th Feb, 22:15
Instituto v San Lorenzo
Tue 18th Feb, 00:30
Velez v Godoy Cruz
Tue 18th Feb, 00:30