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Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia La Plata : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 29th Apr, 01:45 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez welcomes Diego Simeone to the Estadio José Amalfitani on Tuesday morning, as their Vélez Sarsfield and Gimnasia La Plata sides do battle in the Primera División. Primera División statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. There's so much to explore, with graphics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a close-fought game here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Velez and Gimnasia go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver exactly that. The stats and the odds below point in this direction too.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Velez 38%	5/4	-
Draw 34%	21/10	-
Gimnasia 28%	12/5	-
Draw 0-0 19%	11/2	-
Velez 1-0 17%	9/2	-
Gimnasia 1-0 14%	13/2	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Velez 2-0 8%	8/1	-
Velez 2-1 6%	9/1	-
Gimnasia 2-0 5%	14/1	-
Gimnasia 2-1 5%	12/1	-
Velez 3-0 3%	20/1	-
Draw 2-2 2%	20/1	-
Velez 3-1 2%	22/1	-
Gimnasia 3-0 1%	40/1	-
Gimnasia 3-1 1%	33/1	-
Velez 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Velez 4-0 1%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 24%	17/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 76%	4/9	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	8/5	-
No 1st Goal 14%	11/2	-
BTTS - Yes 32%	6/5	-
BTTS - No 68%	8/13	-
BTTS - Home Win 9%	5/1	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 7%	8/1	-
Home/draw 72%	3/10	-
Away/draw 62%	8/13	-
Home/away 66%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 50%	8/15	-
Under 1.5 Goals 50%	11/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 9%	9/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 91%	1/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 3%	12/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 97%	1/25	-
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	28/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/150	-
Over 0.5 Goals 81%	1/9	-
Under 0.5 Goals 19%	11/2	-
Home DNB 62%	4/7	-
Away DNB 51%	5/4	-
Velez win to nil 29%	9/4	-
Gimnasia win to nil 21%	4/1	-
Velez / Velez 22%	11/4	-
Velez / Gimnasia 2%	40/1	-
Velez / Draw 5%	14/1	-
Draw / Velez 16%	4/1	-
Draw / Gimnasia 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1	-
Gimnasia / Velez 2%	33/1	-
Gimnasia / Gimnasia 14%	5/1	-
Gimnasia / Draw 5%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Gimnasia have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Velez	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Velez	1 - 0	SM San Juan
Velez	0 - 2	Huracan
Velez	0 - 2	Godoy Cruz
Velez	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
Velez	0 - 1	Platense
Velez	2 - 0	Huracan
Velez	1 - 0	Sarmiento
Velez	0 - 0	Lanus
Velez	1 - 0	Tig
Velez	1 - 1	Belgrano
Velez	1 - 0	Racing Club
Velez	2 - 0	Estudiantes
Velez	4 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Velez	1 - 0	Instituto
Velez	3 - 0	Defensa
Velez	3 - 0	Tal Cordoba
Velez	1 - 1	A. Tucuman
Velez	1 - 0	Newells

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

13 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
A	Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
H	Velez	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
A	Velez	2 - 1	A. Tucuman
H	Velez	1 - 0	SM San Juan
H	Velez	0 - 2	Huracan
A	Velez	0 - 0	Lanus
H	Velez	0 - 2	Godoy Cruz
A	Velez	0 - 3	Independiente
H	Velez	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
A	Velez	0 - 2	Instituto
H	Velez	0 - 1	Platense
A	Velez	0 - 3	Tig
H	Velez	2 - 0	Huracan
A	Velez	0 - 1	U Santa Fe
H	Velez	1 - 0	Sarmiento
A	Velez	0 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Velez	0 - 0	Lanus
A	Velez	1 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
H	Velez	1 - 0	Tig

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tal Cordoba	2 - 0	Gimnasia
Rosario	2 - 1	Gimnasia
U Santa Fe	1 - 0	Gimnasia
A. Tucuman	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Lanus	0 - 0	Gimnasia
Independiente	2 - 0	Gimnasia
Instituto	3 - 0	Gimnasia
Platense	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Independiente	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Huracan	0 - 0	Gimnasia
Sarmiento	1 - 1	Gimnasia
Lanus	0 - 0	Gimnasia
Tig	1 - 1	Gimnasia
Belgrano	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Racing Club	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Estudiantes	4 - 1	Gimnasia
Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Instituto	2 - 1	Gimnasia
Defensa	1 - 1	Gimnasia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Gimnasia	1 - 1	Estudiantes
A	Gimnasia	0 - 2	Tal Cordoba
H	Gimnasia	0 - 0	Sarmiento
A	Gimnasia	1 - 2	Rosario
H	Gimnasia	1 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
A	Gimnasia	0 - 1	U Santa Fe
A	Gimnasia	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
H	Gimnasia	1 - 0	SM San Juan
A	Gimnasia	0 - 0	Lanus
H	Gimnasia	3 - 0	Godoy Cruz
A	Gimnasia	0 - 2	Independiente
H	Gimnasia	0 - 2	San Lorenzo
A	Gimnasia	0 - 3	Instituto
A	Gimnasia	0 - 1	Platense
H	Gimnasia	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Gimnasia	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
H	Gimnasia	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
A	Gimnasia	0 - 1	Independiente
H	Gimnasia	1 - 0	Newells
H	Gimnasia	0 - 0	Central Cor

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Velez

Gimnasia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

VEL

GIM

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez	3 - 1
Velez	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Velez	1 - 0

Gimnasia

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

GIM

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gimnasia
Gimnasia	3 - 1
Gimnasia	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Gimnasia La Plata fans, as should a 9 Primera División matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Velez 1st	Gimnasia 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less	0 48% 1 35% 2 13% 3 4+ There is a 83% probability of Gimnasia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-54 Velez have scored 54% fewer goals at home than predicted	-71 Gimnasia have scored 71% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.5 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

VEL

GIM

39%

better

view stats

Games scored	3		6
Failed to score	10		7
Scored first	2		4
Goals scored	4		8
Avg. goals scored	0.3		0.6
Avg. shots per game	5		8
Avg. shots per goal	18		13
Conversion rate for	6		8
Avg. XG for	0.7		0.9
KickOff rating		+39%

VEL

GIM

22%

better

view stats

Games conceded	10		8
Clean sheets	3		5
Conceded first	9		7
Goals conceded	18		14
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	17%		13%
Avg. XG against	1		1.3
KickOff rating		+22%

Velez v Gimnasia Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	1	5
T Marchiori	B Romero	I. Andrada	B Romero

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Marchiori GLK	12			-
B Romero FWD	12	3		5 -
E Gómez DEF	11			2 -
A Bouzat MID	11			5 -
F Pizzini FWD	11			-
C Ordoñez MID	10			2 -
M Santos FWD	10			-
D Fernández DEF	9			1 -
J. Gordon DEF	9			1 -
?. Montoro MID	9			2 -
A Quirós DEF	8			3 2
M. Porcel MID	8			-
E Mammana DEF	7			2 -
M Pellegrini FWD	7			-
M. Carrizo FWD	6	1		-
T Galván MID	5			-
I Machuca FWD	5			-
V Gómez DEF	4			1 -
I. Andrada DEF	4		1	-
P Pernicone DEF	3			1
T Cavanagh DEF	3			1 -
A Lagos DEF	3			-
C Baeza MID	3			1 -
K. Vázquez MID	3			2 -
J García DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	1	2
B Romero	B Romero	I. Andrada	J. Gordon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Romero FWD	3	6		1
M. Carrizo FWD	1	3
A Lagos DEF		2		2
T Cavanagh DEF				1
P Pernicone DEF		1
I. Andrada DEF			1	1
I Machuca FWD				2
E Mammana DEF				1
M Pellegrini FWD		1
M. Porcel MID		1		2
?. Montoro MID				2
J. Gordon DEF				2
D Fernández DEF		1
M Santos FWD		2
C Ordoñez MID		2		1
F Pizzini FWD		3		1
A Bouzat MID		2		1
E Gómez DEF		1		1
J García DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
453	31	69
A Bouzat	A Bouzat	A Bouzat

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bouzat MID	453	31	69
E Gómez DEF	404	22	63
E Mammana DEF	361	8	25
J. Gordon DEF	353	21	51
A Quirós DEF	343	12	45
D Fernández DEF	314	12	40
C Ordoñez MID	308	25	59
T Marchiori GLK	282	1	6
?. Montoro MID	237	5	51
F Pizzini FWD	214	11	34
V Gómez DEF	179	5	19
T Galván MID	176	7	29
B Romero FWD	154	17	54
P Pernicone DEF	146	3	11
M. Porcel MID	106	6	21
K. Vázquez MID	105	8	11
M Pellegrini FWD	93	6	29
C Baeza MID	91	8	9
I. Andrada DEF	83	6	10
M. Carrizo FWD	82	6	19
A Lagos DEF	75	9	12
T Cavanagh DEF	74	5	7
I Machuca FWD	72	1	16
M Santos FWD	71	3	23
J García DEF	12		1

Gimnasia Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	4	2	5
L Morales	R Castillo	B Merlini	G Suso

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Morales DEF	12	1		1 -
R Castillo FWD	12	4		1 -
P Silva DEF	11			-
J Pintado DEF	11			2 -
G Suso DEF	11			4 1
L Castro MID	11		1	4 -
M Panaro FWD	10			2 1
A Sosa FWD	10			-
N Insfrán GLK	9			2 -
M Figueira MID	9			1 -
P Blasis MID	8	1		1 -
A Piedrahita FWD	7			1 -
B Merlini FWD	7		2	2 -
R Giampaoli DEF	6			1 -
N Garayalde MID	6			3 -
F. Corbalán	5			1 -
N Briasco FWD	5			-
I Mammini FWD	5			-
L Mamut MID	4			-
L Ingolotti GLK	3			-
M Melluso DEF	3			2 -
J Moreno MID	3			1 -
A Max MID	3			2 -
D Mastrángelo DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	2	7
R Castillo	R Castillo	B Merlini	J Pintado

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Castillo FWD	4	8		2
L Morales DEF	1	3		1
P Blasis MID	1	1		3
J Moreno MID				1
L Mamut MID				1
I Mammini FWD				1
N Briasco FWD		2
B Merlini FWD			2	2
A Piedrahita FWD		2
A Sosa FWD		3		1
M Panaro FWD		1		3
L Castro MID		2	1	2
G Suso DEF		1
J Pintado DEF		1		7
P Silva DEF		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
420	24	83
L Morales	J Pintado	R Castillo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Morales DEF	420	16	42
J Pintado DEF	347	24	55
G Suso DEF	340	16	54
L Castro MID	325	16	51
P Silva DEF	301	19	40
R Castillo FWD	254	8	83
N Insfrán GLK	230
A Sosa FWD	222	21	39
M Figueira MID	219	8	20
P Blasis MID	204	17	32
N Garayalde MID	122	17	21
A Piedrahita FWD	114	9	16
B Merlini FWD	97	5	18
R Giampaoli DEF	88	4	15
F. Corbalán	72	7	17
L Mamut MID	72	8	17
M Panaro FWD	71	8	27
L Ingolotti GLK	64		1
N Briasco FWD	35	5	15
J Moreno MID	33	1	3
M Melluso DEF	23	2	5
I Mammini FWD	20	2	4
A Max MID	16	4	6
D Mastrángelo DEF	11	1	3

Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds

Gimnasia v River Plate

Fri 18th Apr, 21:00

Tal Cordoba v Velez

Fri 18th Apr, 23:15

Racing Club v Central Cor

Fri 18th Apr, 23:15

A. Tucuman v Independiente

Boca Juniors v Estudiantes

Sun 20th Apr, 00:30

Deportivo Riestra v San Lorenzo

Sun 20th Apr, 19:30

SM San Juan v Godoy Cruz

Independiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi

Tue 22nd Apr, 01:15

Argentinos v Barracas

Tue 22nd Apr, 01:15

Aldosivi v Banfield

Sat 26th Apr, 19:00

San Lorenzo v Rosario

Sat 26th Apr, 21:00

Belgrano v Argentinos

Sat 26th Apr, 23:00

River Plate v Boca Juniors

Sun 27th Apr, 19:30

Instituto v Sarmiento

Sun 27th Apr, 23:00

Lanus v SM San Juan

Sun 27th Apr, 23:00

Independiente v Deportivo Riestra

Mon 28th Apr, 01:15

Barracas v U Santa Fe

Mon 28th Apr, 19:00

Godoy Cruz v A. Tucuman

Mon 28th Apr, 21:15

Defensa v Racing Club

Mon 28th Apr, 23:30

Estudiantes v Tig

Mon 28th Apr, 23:30

Central Cor v Independiente Rivadavia

Platense v Tal Cordoba

Tue 29th Apr, 23:00

Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia La Plata : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Velez v Gimnasia Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

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