Tigre's team badge Vélez Sarsfield's team badge

Tigre v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jan, 22:00 BST, Estadio José Dellagiovanna, San Fernando

Sebastián Ariel Méndez Pardiñas pays counterpart Sebastián Enrique Domínguez a visit on Thursday night in the Primera División, as their Vélez Sarsfield and Tigre teams go head to head at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) history, will change as you browse each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our predictions will too.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Tig and Velez have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Thursday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Velez coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tig
27%
11/4-
Draw
28%
11/5-
Velez
45%
11/10-
Velez 1-0
13%
5/1-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1-
Tig 1-0
10%
15/2-
Velez 2-0
9%
8/1-
Velez 2-1
9%
17/2-
Tig 2-1
6%
12/1-
Tig 2-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Velez 3-0
4%
18/1-
Velez 3-1
4%
18/1-
Tig 3-1
2%
33/1-
Velez 3-2
2%
33/1-
Tig 3-0
2%
40/1-
Tig 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
27/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
4/7-
Home 1st Goal
43%
13/8-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/6-
No 1st Goal
6%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20-
BTTS - No
54%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4/1-
Home/draw
55%
7/10-
Away/draw
73%
1/4-
Home/away
72%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1-
Home DNB
47%
13/8-
Away DNB
65%
4/9-
Tig win to nil
16%
9/2-
Velez win to nil
28%
9/4-
Tig / Tig
13%
11/2-
Tig / Velez
3%
28/1-
Tig / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Tig
11%
13/2-
Draw / Velez
17%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2-
Velez / Tig
2%
40/1-
Velez / Velez
24%
5/2-
Velez / Draw
6%
14/1-
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Velez have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
4
Tig have failed to score in 4 consecutive home league games
Tig
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tig0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
Tig0 - 0Instituto
Tig0 - 4Defensa
Tig0 - 0Platense
Tig3 - 0Boca Juniors
Tig1 - 1Independiente
Tig1 - 1Gimnasia
Tig5 - 1U Santa Fe
Tig0 - 2Godoy Cruz
Tig2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Tig1 - 1Central Cor
Tig1 - 1Belgrano
Tig0 - 4Racing Club
Tig0 - 1Estudiantes
Tig0 - 1U Santa Fe
Tig1 - 4Belgrano
Tig2 - 3Lanus
Tig1 - 0Central Cor
Tig0 - 1Defensa
Tig0 - 2Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATig1 - 0San Lorenzo
HTig0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
ATig0 - 0Barracas
HTig0 - 0Instituto
ATig1 - 0Banfield
HTig0 - 4Defensa
ATig0 - 1Velez
HTig0 - 0Platense
ATig1 - 1Tal Cordoba
HTig3 - 0Boca Juniors
ATig2 - 1A. Tucuman
HTig1 - 1Independiente
ATig0 - 1Newells
HTig1 - 1Gimnasia
ATig2 - 0Huracan
HTig5 - 1U Santa Fe
ATig0 - 0Sarmiento
HTig0 - 2Godoy Cruz
ATig2 - 3Lanus
HTig2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
U Santa Fe1 - 0Velez
Godoy Cruz0 - 0Velez
Deportivo Riestra1 - 1Velez
Argentinos1 - 1Velez
River Plate1 - 1Velez
Rosario3 - 0Velez
San Lorenzo0 - 1Velez
Barracas0 - 5Velez
Banfield2 - 2Velez
Central Cor0 - 2Velez
Platense0 - 2Velez
Boca Juniors1 - 0Velez
Independiente1 - 1Velez
Gimnasia3 - 1Velez
Estudiantes1 - 1Velez
Argentinos0 - 0Velez
Godoy Cruz1 - 2Velez
Independiente Rivadavia0 - 1Velez
Tal Cordoba1 - 0Velez
Banfield1 - 2Velez
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVelez2 - 0Huracan
AVelez0 - 1U Santa Fe
HVelez1 - 0Sarmiento
AVelez0 - 0Godoy Cruz
HVelez0 - 0Lanus
AVelez1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HVelez1 - 0Tig
AVelez1 - 1Argentinos
HVelez1 - 1Belgrano
AVelez1 - 1River Plate
HVelez1 - 0Racing Club
AVelez0 - 3Rosario
HVelez2 - 0Estudiantes
AVelez1 - 0San Lorenzo
HVelez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
AVelez5 - 0Barracas
HVelez1 - 0Instituto
AVelez2 - 2Banfield
HVelez3 - 0Defensa
AVelez2 - 0Central Cor
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tig since 2022
Tig
Velez
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
TIG
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tig
Draw0 - 0Draw
Tig2 - 1
Tig2 - 0
League games at Velez since 2019
Velez
Tig
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
TIG
1
D
1
VEL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Velez3 - 2
1 - 2Tig
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Tigre of late. It has been 9 Primera División matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday night against Vélez Sarsfield.

Tig Velez
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Tig scoring 1 goal or less
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-42
Tig have scored 42% fewer goals at home than predicted
-32
Velez have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291335/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Tig
PG (predicted goals)
Velez
1
1.3
Attack rating
0%
better
TIG
VEL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
TIG
VEL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Tig v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Tig Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE