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River Plate v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Feb, 22:15 BST, Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu, Capital Federal

Marcelo Daniel Gallardo welcomes Julio César Vaccari to the Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu on Saturday night, as their River Plate and Independiente troops do battle in the Primera División. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 75% chance of River Plate and Independiente no more than 3 goals combined during this Primera División fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think River Plate are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
River Plate
57%
13/20
5%
-
Draw
24%
29/10
4%
-
Independiente
18%
4/1
11%
-
River Plate 1-0
14%
9/2
15%
-
River Plate 2-0
12%
6/1
7%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
-
River Plate 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
11%
-
Independiente 1-0
7%
10/1-
River Plate 3-0
6%
11/1
8%
-
River Plate 3-1
5%
14/1-
Independiente 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
11%
-
Independiente 2-0
3%
25/1
24%
-
River Plate 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
-
River Plate 4-1
2%
33/1-
River Plate 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Independiente 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/5
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
13/20
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
9/4
8%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - No
55%
4/6
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/1
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/1
22%
-
Home/draw
82%
1/6
1%
-
Away/draw
43%
6/5
7%
-
Home/away
76%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/5
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
7/4
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/9
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1
5%
-
Home DNB
74%
1/4
4%
-
Away DNB
35%
11/4
10%
-
River Plate win to nil
36%
6/4
9%
-
Independiente win to nil
11%
7/1
14%
-
River Plate / River Plate
32%
13/8
5%
-
River Plate / Independiente
2%
40/1-
River Plate / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / River Plate
19%
10/3
4%
-
Draw / Independiente
8%
9/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Independiente / River Plate
4%
22/1-
Independiente / Independiente
9%
17/2
19%
-
Independiente / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Independiente have won 3 consecutive league games
6
River Plate have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
6
Independiente have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
River Plate 5TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
River Plate1 - 0Instituto
River Plate4 - 0Rosario
River Plate1 - 1San Lorenzo
River Plate3 - 0Barracas
River Plate3 - 1Banfield
River Plate1 - 1Velez
River Plate0 - 1Tal Cordoba
River Plate4 - 1A. Tucuman
River Plate0 - 0Newells
River Plate1 - 1Huracan
River Plate1 - 0Sarmiento
River Plate2 - 2Lanus
River Plate3 - 1Tig
River Plate3 - 0Belgrano
River Plate3 - 0Central Cor
River Plate2 - 3Boca Juniors
River Plate2 - 1Rosario
River Plate3 - 1Gimnasia
River Plate2 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
River Plate1 - 1Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARiver Plate0 - 0San Lorenzo
HRiver Plate1 - 0Instituto
ARiver Plate1 - 1Platense
ARiver Plate0 - 1Racing Club
HRiver Plate4 - 0Rosario
HRiver Plate1 - 1San Lorenzo
ARiver Plate2 - 1Estudiantes
ARiver Plate1 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
HRiver Plate3 - 0Barracas
ARiver Plate3 - 2Instituto
HRiver Plate3 - 1Banfield
ARiver Plate0 - 0Defensa
HRiver Plate1 - 1Velez
ARiver Plate0 - 0Platense
HRiver Plate0 - 1Tal Cordoba
ARiver Plate1 - 0Boca Juniors
HRiver Plate4 - 1A. Tucuman
ARiver Plate0 - 0Independiente
HRiver Plate0 - 0Newells
ARiver Plate1 - 1Gimnasia
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tal Cordoba2 - 3Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 0Independiente
Newells2 - 1Independiente
Huracan1 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento0 - 0Independiente
Lanus0 - 2Independiente
Tig1 - 1Independiente
Belgrano1 - 1Independiente
Racing Club0 - 0Independiente
Estudiantes0 - 2Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Independiente
Instituto3 - 1Independiente
Defensa0 - 0Independiente
Platense0 - 0Independiente
Banfield0 - 1Independiente
Deportivo Riestra1 - 0Independiente
Barracas2 - 2Independiente
Instituto0 - 2Independiente
Huracan0 - 0Independiente
Velez0 - 1Independiente
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente2 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente3 - 2Tal Cordoba
HIndependiente2 - 1Sarmiento
AIndependiente0 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 2Newells
HIndependiente1 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente0 - 1Huracan
HIndependiente3 - 0U Santa Fe
AIndependiente0 - 0Sarmiento
HIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente2 - 0Lanus
HIndependiente3 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AIndependiente1 - 1Tig
HIndependiente0 - 0Argentinos
AIndependiente1 - 1Belgrano
HIndependiente0 - 0River Plate
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
River Plate have not lost to Independiente in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at River Plate since 2019
River Plate
Independiente
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
1 / 4
RIV
3
IND
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
River Plate3 - 0
River Plate2 - 0
0 - 2Independiente
River Plate3 - 0
League games at Independiente since 2020
Independiente
River Plate
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
RIV
2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1River Plate
1 - 2River Plate
Goal Statistics
River Plate 5th Independiente 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 81% probability that River Plate will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
River Plate’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Independiente’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291389/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
River Plate
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
RIV
IND
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RIV
IND
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

River Plate v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3102
F ArmaniG MontielL Quarta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Armani GLK3
-
G Montiel DEF31
1
-
L Quarta DEF3
2
-
G Pezzella DEF3
1
-
M Acuña DEF3
1
-
S Simón MID3
-
G Galoppo  MID3
-
M Lanzini MID3
-
M Rojas MID31
-
E Pérez MID3
1
-
M Borja FWD3
1
-
F Colidio FWD3
-
P Díaz DEF2
1
-
S Driussi MID2
1
-
R Aliendro MID2
-
M Meza FWD2
1
-
G Tapia FWD2
-
N Fernández MID1
-
P Solari FWD1
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3312
R ReyG ÁvalosF LoyolaL Cabral
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK3
-
A Spörle DEF31
-
K Lomónaco DEF3
-
Álvaro Angulo DEF31
-
F Vera DEF3
-
S Valdéz DEF3
-
G. Millán MID3
1
-
L Cabral MID31
2
-
I Marcone MID3
1
-
F Loyola MID31
-
P Galdames MID31
1
-
G Ávalos FWD33
1
-
D. Tarzia FWD3
-
I Puch FWD21
-
M Rojas FWD2
-
S Salle DEF1
-
R Fernández MID1
1
-
F Mancuello MID1
-
S Montiel FWD1
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Godoy Cruz v Tal Cordoba
Tue 4th Feb, 22:00
A. Tucuman v Deportivo Riestra
Wed 5th Feb, 00:00
Aldosivi v Barracas
Thu 6th Feb, 20:00
Sarmiento v SM San Juan
Thu 6th Feb, 23:00
Banfield v Belgrano
Fri 7th Feb, 20:00
Central Cor v Newells
Fri 7th Feb, 22:15
Huracan v Tig
Fri 7th Feb, 22:15
U Santa Fe v Argentinos
Sat 8th Feb, 00:30
Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes
Sat 8th Feb, 00:30
Velez v San Lorenzo
Sat 8th Feb, 20:00
Rosario v A. Tucuman
Sat 8th Feb, 20:00
River Plate v Independiente
Sat 8th Feb, 22:15
Racing Club v Boca Juniors
Sun 9th Feb, 00:30
Deportivo Riestra v Defensa
Sun 9th Feb, 20:00
Platense v Instituto
Sun 9th Feb, 20:00
Gimnasia v Godoy Cruz
Sun 9th Feb, 22:15
Tal Cordoba v Lanus
Mon 10th Feb, 00:30
Barracas v Central Cor
Tue 11th Feb, 20:00
Boca Juniors v Independiente Rivadavia
Tue 11th Feb, 22:15
Estudiantes v Banfield
Tue 11th Feb, 22:15
Belgrano v Aldosivi
Wed 12th Feb, 00:30
Tig v Racing Club
Wed 12th Feb, 00:30
Newells v Defensa
Wed 12th Feb, 20:00
Deportivo Riestra v Rosario
Wed 12th Feb, 20:00
Argentinos v Huracan
Wed 12th Feb, 22:15
Independiente v Velez
Wed 12th Feb, 22:15
Godoy Cruz v River Plate
Thu 13th Feb, 00:30
Lanus v Gimnasia
Thu 13th Feb, 20:45
SM San Juan v Tal Cordoba
Thu 13th Feb, 23:00
San Lorenzo v Platense
Thu 13th Feb, 23:00
U Santa Fe v Instituto
Fri 14th Feb, 01:15
A. Tucuman v Sarmiento
Fri 14th Feb, 01:15
Banfield v Boca Juniors
Fri 14th Feb, 23:00
Aldosivi v Estudiantes
Sat 15th Feb, 20:00
Defensa v Barracas
Sat 15th Feb, 20:00
Independiente Rivadavia v Tig
Sat 15th Feb, 22:15
Central Cor v Belgrano
Sat 15th Feb, 22:15
Racing Club v Argentinos
Sun 16th Feb, 00:30
Newells v Rosario
Sun 16th Feb, 20:00
River Plate v Lanus
Sun 16th Feb, 22:15
Huracan v U Santa Fe
Mon 17th Feb, 00:30
Tal Cordoba v A. Tucuman
Mon 17th Feb, 00:30
Sarmiento v Deportivo Riestra
Mon 17th Feb, 20:00
Gimnasia v SM San Juan
Mon 17th Feb, 20:00
Platense v Independiente
Mon 17th Feb, 22:15
Instituto v San Lorenzo
Tue 18th Feb, 00:30
Velez v Godoy Cruz
Tue 18th Feb, 00:30