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Lanús v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor, Lanús

Sunday evening sees Mauricio Pochettino’s Lanús and Julio César Vaccari’s Independiente go head to head in a Primera División battle at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor. Stats drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

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Lanús's next match is v Banfield at 20:15 on Saturday 19th April
Independiente's next match is v A. Tucuman at 01:30 on Saturday 19th April
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Lanus and Independiente was on Sunday 6th April 2025
Argentinian Primera División
April 6th 2025
Lanus 1
1 Independiente
 
E. Salvio 61'3' P. Galdames Millán
 
LAN
IND
Shots On
5
11
Shots Off
2
2
Corners
2
2
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
24
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
LanusIndependiente
 
N. Losada
E. Muñoz
R. Dejesús López (C. Izquierdoz 46')
A. Méndez Alcorta (J. Ramírez 89')
S. Marcich
D. Moreno
A. Cardozo (Gonzalo Pérez 73')
E. Salviofootball icon
W. Bou (B. Cabrera 57')
A. Segovia (D. Aquino 46')
D. Medina
R. Rey
A. Sporle
(S. Valdez 38') F. Paredes
K. Lomónaco
F. Vera
G. Millán
(I. Marcone 80') R. Fernández Cedrés
(L. Cabral 80') football iconP. Galdames Millán
(F. Loyola 66') S. Hidalgo Massa
D. Tarzia
(G. Ávalos Stumpfs 66') M. Giménez Rojas

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Lanus and Independiente go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the players in terms of who could claim victory. The statistics don't give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.40 with the bookies, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lanus are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lanus
43%
6/5
21%
-
Draw
29%
11/5
7%
-
Independiente
28%
12/5
26%
-
Lanus 1-0
14%
9/2
15%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
-
Draw 0-0
12%
11/2
8%
-
Independiente 1-0
11%
13/2
25%
-
Lanus 2-0
9%
8/1
25%
-
Lanus 2-1
8%
9/1
17%
-
Independiente 2-1
6%
12/1
18%
-
Independiente 2-0
5%
14/1
36%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Lanus 3-0
4%
20/1
28%
-
Lanus 3-1
3%
20/1
28%
-
Independiente 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Independiente 3-0
2%
40/1
41%
-
Lanus 3-2
2%
40/1-
Independiente 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
17/10
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
4/9
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
23%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
8/5
30%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
11/2
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
6/5
2%
-
BTTS - No
58%
8/13
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2
13%
-
Home/draw
72%
3/10
10%
-
Away/draw
57%
4/6
19%
-
Home/away
71%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
8/15
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
11/8
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
9/2
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/7
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
12/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
28/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
6/1
17%
-
Home DNB
64%
8/15
16%
-
Away DNB
48%
11/8
30%
-
Lanus win to nil
28%
9/4
19%
-
Independiente win to nil
18%
4/1
33%
-
Lanus / Lanus
22%
11/4
21%
-
Lanus / Independiente
2%
40/1
21%
-
Lanus / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Lanus
16%
4/1
17%
-
Draw / Independiente
12%
6/1
27%
-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1-
Independiente / Lanus
3%
28/1
15%
-
Independiente / Independiente
14%
5/1
26%
-
Independiente / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Lanus 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lanus4 - 1Instituto
Lanus0 - 0Velez
Lanus0 - 0Gimnasia
Lanus2 - 0Sarmiento
Lanus0 - 2Deportivo Riestra
Lanus2 - 0Instituto
Lanus0 - 0Defensa
Lanus0 - 0Platense
Lanus1 - 0Boca Juniors
Lanus0 - 2Independiente
Lanus0 - 0Gimnasia
Lanus1 - 1U Santa Fe
Lanus1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Lanus1 - 1Central Cor
Lanus3 - 2Tig
Lanus3 - 2Belgrano
Lanus2 - 0Racing Club
Lanus2 - 1Estudiantes
Lanus0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
Lanus1 - 2Estudiantes
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALanus1 - 1San Lorenzo
HLanus4 - 1Instituto
ALanus0 - 0Platense
ALanus1 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
HLanus0 - 0Velez
ALanus0 - 1River Plate
HLanus0 - 0Gimnasia
ALanus1 - 0Tal Cordoba
HLanus2 - 0Sarmiento
ALanus1 - 2Rosario
HLanus0 - 2Deportivo Riestra
ALanus3 - 3Barracas
HLanus2 - 0Instituto
ALanus1 - 0Banfield
HLanus0 - 0Defensa
ALanus0 - 0Velez
HLanus0 - 0Platense
ALanus2 - 1Tal Cordoba
HLanus1 - 0Boca Juniors
ALanus0 - 1A. Tucuman
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
Banfield0 - 0Independiente
Platense1 - 1Independiente
River Plate2 - 0Independiente
Tal Cordoba2 - 3Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 0Independiente
Newells2 - 1Independiente
Huracan1 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento0 - 0Independiente
Lanus0 - 2Independiente
Tig1 - 1Independiente
Belgrano1 - 1Independiente
Racing Club0 - 0Independiente
Estudiantes0 - 2Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Independiente
Instituto3 - 1Independiente
Defensa0 - 0Independiente
Platense0 - 0Independiente
Banfield0 - 1Independiente
Deportivo Riestra1 - 0Independiente
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
HIndependiente1 - 1Racing Club
AIndependiente2 - 1San Lorenzo
AIndependiente0 - 0Banfield
HIndependiente2 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 1Platense
HIndependiente3 - 0Velez
AIndependiente0 - 2River Plate
HIndependiente2 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente3 - 2Tal Cordoba
HIndependiente2 - 1Sarmiento
AIndependiente0 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 2Newells
HIndependiente1 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente0 - 1Huracan
HIndependiente3 - 0U Santa Fe
AIndependiente0 - 0Sarmiento
HIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lanus since 2018
Lanus
Independiente
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
LAN
2
D
1
IND
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lanus
0 - 2Independiente
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lanus1 - 0
Lanus1 - 0
League games at Independiente since 2019
Independiente
Lanus
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Independiente's defensive record is to be admired, Julio César Vaccari's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Primera División outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Lanús makes sense in this context.

Lanus 14th Independiente 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Lanus will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-37
Lanus have scored 37% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Independiente have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291505/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lanus
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
1.2
0.9
Attack rating
LAN
IND
44%
better
view stats
Games scored6
9
Failed to score5
2
Scored first2
7
Goals scored10
20
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.8
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal13
5
Conversion rate for8
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
LAN
IND
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first6
3
Goals conceded8
8
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
10
Conversion rate against9%
11%
Avg. XG against0.9
1
KickOff rating
+5%

Lanus v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12336
S MarcichM MorenoS MarcichA Cardozo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Losada GLK11
-
A Méndez DEF5
1
-
E Muñoz DEF6
1
-
R López DEF10
1
-
S Marcich DEF123
3
-
D. Medina MID8
2
-
A Cardozo MID11
5
1
A Segovia MID91
-
M Moreno MID1231
1
-
E Salvio MID122
-
W Bou FWD123
-
Subs
L Morales GLK1
-
O. Ontívero DEF
-
G Pérez DEF10
3
-
L. Cardozo DEF
-
C Izquierdoz DEF12
1
-
A Rodríguez MID1
-
D Aquino MID11
-
F Orozco MID6
-
J Ramírez  MID6
-
B. Cabrera FWD2
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12627
R ReyG ÁvalosA SpörleI Marcone
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK12
-
F Vera DEF12
3
-
K Lomónaco DEF12
1
-
F Paredes DEF3
-
A Spörle DEF812
-
P Galdames MID811
1
-
R Fernández MID4
2
-
G. Millán MID91
1
-
S Hidalgo FWD6
2
-
M Rojas FWD92
1
-
D. Tarzia FWD121
4
-
Subs
J Blázquez GLK
-
F Loyola DEF1232
1
-
S Valdéz DEF12
1
-
Álvaro Angulo DEF113
3
-
L Cabral MID1221
3
-
F Mancuello MID61
2
-
R Martínez MID
-
I Marcone MID11
7
-
L. Román FWD
-
B Martínez FWD
-
G Ávalos FWD1261
2
-
I Puch FWD51
-