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Lanús v Defensa y Justicia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 25th Nov, 00:30 BST, Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor, Lanús

the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor plays host on Monday morning, as Ricardo Alberto Zielinski's Lanús host Pablo Daniel de Muner's Defensa y Justicia in the Primera División. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Flip between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for each one.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Lanus and Defensa have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Monday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lanus are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lanus
47%
11/10
2%
-
Draw
26%
11/5-
Defensa
27%
14/5
6%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Lanus 1-0
12%
6/1
17%
-
Lanus 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
-
Lanus 2-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
Defensa 1-0
8%
9/1
18%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
13%
-
Defensa 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
-
Lanus 3-1
5%
18/1-
Defensa 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Lanus 3-0
4%
18/1-
Lanus 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
-
Defensa 3-1
2%
33/1-
Defensa 3-2
2%
40/1-
Lanus 4-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
7/10
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11
5%
-
BTTS - No
49%
10/11
9%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
12%
-
Home/draw
73%
1/4
3%
-
Away/draw
53%
7/10
2%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/3
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
9/4
24%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/4
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/50
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/2
13%
-
Home DNB
65%
4/9
4%
-
Away DNB
45%
13/8
5%
-
Lanus win to nil
27%
12/5
5%
-
Defensa win to nil
15%
5/1
9%
-
Lanus / Lanus
24%
12/5
3%
-
Lanus / Defensa
2%
33/1-
Lanus / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Lanus
17%
4/1-
Draw / Defensa
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
6%
-
Defensa / Lanus
3%
25/1
10%
-
Defensa / Defensa
14%
5/1-
Defensa / Draw
6%
14/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
5
Defensa have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Lanus 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lanus0 - 0Platense
Lanus1 - 0Boca Juniors
Lanus0 - 2Independiente
Lanus0 - 0Gimnasia
Lanus1 - 1U Santa Fe
Lanus1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Lanus1 - 1Central Cor
Lanus3 - 2Tig
Lanus3 - 2Belgrano
Lanus2 - 0Racing Club
Lanus2 - 1Estudiantes
Lanus0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
Lanus1 - 2Estudiantes
Lanus2 - 2U Santa Fe
Lanus0 - 1Central Cor
Lanus1 - 1Banfield
Lanus2 - 1Boca Juniors
Lanus3 - 0Platense
Lanus0 - 2Newells
Lanus0 - 2Racing Club
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALanus0 - 0Velez
HLanus0 - 0Platense
ALanus2 - 1Tal Cordoba
HLanus1 - 0Boca Juniors
ALanus0 - 1A. Tucuman
HLanus0 - 2Independiente
ALanus1 - 2Newells
HLanus0 - 0Gimnasia
ALanus0 - 3Huracan
HLanus1 - 1U Santa Fe
ALanus0 - 0Sarmiento
HLanus1 - 1Godoy Cruz
HLanus1 - 1Central Cor
ALanus1 - 3Deportivo Riestra
HLanus3 - 2Tig
ALanus0 - 2Argentinos
HLanus3 - 2Belgrano
ALanus2 - 2River Plate
HLanus2 - 0Racing Club
ALanus1 - 1Rosario
Defensa 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tig0 - 4Defensa
Belgrano1 - 2Defensa
Racing Club4 - 3Defensa
Estudiantes1 - 0Defensa
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Defensa
Instituto4 - 1Defensa
Central Cor2 - 0Defensa
Velez3 - 0Defensa
Tal Cordoba1 - 1Defensa
A. Tucuman1 - 1Defensa
Newells1 - 0Defensa
Huracan3 - 1Defensa
Argentinos1 - 1Defensa
San Lorenzo0 - 2Defensa
Racing Club1 - 1Defensa
Belgrano1 - 1Defensa
Tig0 - 1Defensa
Boca Juniors0 - 0Defensa
Sarmiento2 - 3Defensa
Godoy Cruz2 - 0Defensa
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDefensa1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
ADefensa4 - 0Tig
HDefensa2 - 1Argentinos
ADefensa2 - 1Belgrano
HDefensa0 - 0River Plate
ADefensa3 - 4Racing Club
HDefensa2 - 1Rosario
ADefensa0 - 1Estudiantes
HDefensa0 - 0San Lorenzo
ADefensa0 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
HDefensa1 - 0Barracas
ADefensa1 - 4Instituto
HDefensa1 - 0Banfield
ADefensa0 - 2Central Cor
ADefensa0 - 3Velez
HDefensa1 - 3Platense
ADefensa1 - 1Tal Cordoba
HDefensa2 - 2Boca Juniors
ADefensa1 - 1A. Tucuman
HDefensa0 - 0Independiente
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lanus since 2018
Lanus
Defensa
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
D
3
DEF
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lanus
0 - 2Defensa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Defensa since 2019
Defensa
Lanus
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
LAN
1
D
1
DEF
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Defensa
0 - 4Lanus
Draw2 - 2Draw
Defensa2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Lanús's defensive record is very strong, Ricardo Alberto Zielinski's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Primera División matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Defensa y Justicia makes sense in this context.

Lanus 20th Defensa 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Lanus will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Defensa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
Lanus have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
+48
Defensa have scored 48% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/270328/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lanus
PG (predicted goals)
Defensa
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
LAN
DEF
2%
better
view stats
Games scored24
27
Failed to score13
11
Scored first19
18
Goals scored42
42
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
3%
better
LAN
DEF
view stats
Games conceded26
26
Clean sheets11
12
Conceded first14
16
Goals conceded42
45
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

Lanus v Defensa Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18675
M MorenoW BouM MorenoR Loaiza
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Moreno MID2157
4
-
C Izquierdoz DEF17
1
-
W Bou FWD1762
1
1
L Acosta FWD17
2
-
E Muñoz DEF1611
1
-
G Pérez DEF16
2
-
J Soler DEF151
1
-
R Carrera MID1511
3
-
D Aquino FWD153
1
-
J Torres FWD1531
2
1
N Morgantini DEF141
1
-
J Cáceres DEF14
2
-
F Biafore MID141
3
-
E Salvio FWD143
-
N Losada GLK13
-
N Domínguez DEF12
2
-
A Luciatti DEF11
2
1
R Loaiza MID111
5
-
L Boggio MID1111
1
1
A Aguerre GLK10
2
-
L Díaz FWD921
1
-
F Álvarez MID81
2
-
A Rodríguez MID61
2
1
B. Cabrera FWD5
-
L Jara  DEF4
-
Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20548
K GutiérrezA MolinasK LópezA Soto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Molinas MID2153
4
-
K Gutiérrez MID20
6
-
L. Herrera FWD2012
6
-
E Aguilera DEF19
1
-
S Mingo DEF191
5
-
A Soto DEF192
7
1
K López MID164
2
-
G Alanís MID1623
1
-
A Osorio FWD164
2
-
J Miritello FWD1633
3
-
E Cannavo DEF151
2
-
E Bologna GLK13
-
C Pérez MID12
2
-
R Bogarin MID121
1
-
G Togni FWD1233
-
L Ferreira DEF111
5
1
J López MID111
1
-
C Fiermarín GLK10
1
-
F Schamine MID101
5
-
N Palavecino MID9
3
2
T Rubio DEF81
-
I Galván DEF7
1
-
M Ramírez FWD721
1
-
A. Portillo FWD7
-
M Sosa FWD71
1
-
D Cáceres DEF6
2
-
F Echevarría FWD51
-
M González MID3
1
1
E Lucero DEF2
-
D Barbona FWD2
-
T. Ferreyra DEF1
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Tig v Instituto
Sat 23rd Nov, 22:30
Huracan v Boca Juniors
Sun 24th Nov, 00:45
Gimnasia v A. Tucuman
Sun 24th Nov, 20:00
Deportivo Riestra v Banfield
Sun 24th Nov, 20:00
Godoy Cruz v Velez
Sun 24th Nov, 22:15
Lanus v Defensa
Mon 25th Nov, 00:30
Central Cor v Rosario
Mon 25th Nov, 22:00
Belgrano v Independiente Rivadavia
Tue 26th Nov, 00:15
Argentinos v Barracas
Tue 26th Nov, 00:15
Newells v Independiente
Tue 26th Nov, 22:00
U Santa Fe v Tal Cordoba
Wed 27th Nov, 00:15
Sarmiento v Platense
Wed 27th Nov, 00:15
San Lorenzo v Belgrano
Fri 29th Nov, 22:00
Estudiantes v River Plate
Sat 30th Nov, 00:00
Banfield v Lanus
Sat 30th Nov, 22:30
Rosario v Racing Club
Sat 30th Nov, 22:30
Instituto v Deportivo Riestra
Sun 1st Dec, 00:45
Defensa v Godoy Cruz
Sun 1st Dec, 00:45
Independiente v Central Cor
Sun 1st Dec, 20:00
Velez v Sarmiento
Sun 1st Dec, 22:15
Boca Juniors v Gimnasia
Mon 2nd Dec, 00:45
Barracas v Tig
Mon 2nd Dec, 20:00
Platense v U Santa Fe
Mon 2nd Dec, 22:15
Tal Cordoba v Huracan
Mon 2nd Dec, 22:45
Independiente Rivadavia v Argentinos
Tue 3rd Dec, 00:30
A. Tucuman v Newells
Tue 3rd Dec, 01:00
Racing Club v Estudiantes
Wed 4th Dec, 22:00
River Plate v San Lorenzo
Thu 5th Dec, 00:00
Newells v Boca Juniors
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Central Cor v Racing Club
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Godoy Cruz v Banfield
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Independiente v A. Tucuman
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Lanus v Instituto
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
U Santa Fe v Velez
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Argentinos v San Lorenzo
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Huracan v Platense
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Gimnasia v Tal Cordoba
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00
Belgrano v Estudiantes
Sat 7th Dec, 23:00