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Independiente v Sarmiento : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 24th Jan, 22:15 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

Israel Alejandro Damonte pays counterpart Julio César Vaccari a visit on Friday night in the Primera División, as their Sarmiento and Independiente charges face each other at the Estadio Libertadores de América. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Independiente and Sarmiento have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
55%
8/11-
Draw
25%
13/5-
Sarmiento
19%
17/4-
Independiente 1-0
14%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Independiente 2-0
11%
6/1-
Independiente 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2-
Sarmiento 1-0
7%
9/1-
Independiente 3-0
6%
12/1-
Independiente 3-1
5%
16/1-
Sarmiento 2-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Sarmiento 2-0
3%
22/1-
Independiente 4-0
2%
28/1-
Independiente 3-2
2%
33/1-
Independiente 4-1
2%
33/1-
Sarmiento 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
27/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/7-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
38%
9/4-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
44%
6/5-
BTTS - No
56%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11/1-
Home/draw
81%
1/6-
Away/draw
45%
21/20-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/16-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13/2-
Home DNB
73%
1/4-
Away DNB
37%
11/4-
Independiente win to nil
35%
6/4-
Sarmiento win to nil
12%
7/1-
Independiente / Independiente
30%
7/4-
Independiente / Sarmiento
2%
40/1-
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Independiente
19%
10/3-
Draw / Sarmiento
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
Sarmiento / Independiente
3%
25/1-
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
9%
8/1-
Sarmiento / Draw
5%
16/1-
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Independiente have won 4 consecutive home league games
13
Independiente have not lost in 13 consecutive home league games
11
Sarmiento have not won in 11 consecutive away league games
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
Independiente2 - 0Central Cor
Independiente1 - 0Gimnasia
Independiente3 - 0U Santa Fe
Independiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Independiente3 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Independiente0 - 0Argentinos
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Independiente0 - 0San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 0Barracas
Independiente2 - 1Banfield
Independiente1 - 1Velez
Independiente1 - 3Tal Cordoba
Independiente2 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente1 - 1A. Tucuman
Independiente1 - 1River Plate
Independiente2 - 1Argentinos
Independiente0 - 1Racing Club
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIndependiente0 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 2Newells
HIndependiente1 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente0 - 1Huracan
HIndependiente3 - 0U Santa Fe
AIndependiente0 - 0Sarmiento
HIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente2 - 0Lanus
HIndependiente3 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AIndependiente1 - 1Tig
HIndependiente0 - 0Argentinos
AIndependiente1 - 1Belgrano
HIndependiente0 - 0River Plate
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente2 - 0Estudiantes
HIndependiente0 - 0San Lorenzo
AIndependiente0 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
Sarmiento 26TH
20 league games
Away
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Banfield1 - 1Sarmiento
Velez1 - 0Sarmiento
Tal Cordoba2 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman1 - 0Sarmiento
Newells1 - 1Sarmiento
Huracan3 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz1 - 1Sarmiento
Deportivo Riestra2 - 1Sarmiento
Argentinos0 - 0Sarmiento
River Plate1 - 0Sarmiento
Rosario4 - 2Sarmiento
San Lorenzo0 - 1Sarmiento
Barracas1 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz1 - 0Sarmiento
San Lorenzo1 - 0Sarmiento
Racing Club0 - 1Sarmiento
Belgrano4 - 1Sarmiento
Central Cor3 - 0Sarmiento
Boca Juniors1 - 1Sarmiento
Tig0 - 0Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASarmiento1 - 1Banfield
HSarmiento1 - 1Defensa
ASarmiento0 - 1Velez
HSarmiento1 - 0Platense
ASarmiento0 - 2Tal Cordoba
HSarmiento0 - 2Boca Juniors
ASarmiento0 - 1A. Tucuman
HSarmiento0 - 0Independiente
ASarmiento1 - 1Newells
HSarmiento1 - 1Gimnasia
ASarmiento1 - 3Huracan
HSarmiento1 - 0U Santa Fe
HSarmiento1 - 3Central Cor
ASarmiento1 - 1Godoy Cruz
HSarmiento0 - 0Lanus
ASarmiento1 - 2Deportivo Riestra
HSarmiento0 - 0Tig
ASarmiento0 - 0Argentinos
HSarmiento0 - 0Belgrano
ASarmiento0 - 1River Plate
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Sarmiento fans, as should a 21 Primera División games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Independiente 7th Sarmiento 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Independiente will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Sarmiento scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Independiente have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
-37
Sarmiento have scored 37% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291334/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
Sarmiento
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
0%
better
IND
SAR
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
IND
SAR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Independiente v Sarmiento Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE