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Independiente v Gimnasia La Plata : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

Gimnasia La Plata pay Primera División counterparts Independiente a visit on Monday morning, as Marcelo Fabián Méndez Russo guides his team into an away clash with Julio César Vaccari & co. at the Estadio Libertadores de América. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

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Independiente's next match is v River Plate at 22:15 on Saturday 8th February
Gimnasia La Plata's next match is v Godoy Cruz at 22:15 on Sunday 9th February
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Independiente and Gimnasia was on Monday 3rd February 2025
Argentinian Primera División
February 3rd 2025
Independiente 2
0 Gimnasia
 
G. Ávalos Stumpfs 9'
Á. Angulo Mosquera 81'
 
IND
GIM
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
6
5
Corners
9
3
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
9
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
0/1
 
IndependienteGimnasia
 
R. Rey
A. Sporle
S. Valdez
K. Lomónaco
F. Vera (P. Galdames Millán 80')
G. Millán (F. Mancuello 80')
I. Marcone
L. Cabral (I. Maestro Puch 70')
F. Loyola
D. Tarzia (Á. Angulo Mosquera 70')
G. Ávalos Stumpfsfootball icon (M. Giménez Rojas 60')
L. Ingolotti
(M. Melluso 89') J. Pintado Leines
P. Silva Torrejón
G. Suso
L. Morales
(I. Mammini 79') L. Nahuel Castro
P. De Blasis
(J. Moreno Borrero 89') M. Fernández Figueira
(S. Villarreal 72') A. Sosa
R. Castillo
(F. Corbalán 72') M. Panaro

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Julio César Vaccari and Marcelo Fabián Méndez Russo to got all-out defensive here, but we do not expect a deluge of goals as Independiente and Gimnasia go head-to-head. The statistics belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.40 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
58%
4/6
19%
-
Draw
26%
5/2
17%
-
Gimnasia
17%
5/1
50%
-
Independiente 1-0
17%
15/4
5%
-
Independiente 2-0
13%
11/2
19%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
17%
-
Draw 0-0
11%
11/2
18%
-
Independiente 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
-
Gimnasia 1-0
7%
9/1
25%
-
Independiente 3-0
6%
11/1
37%
-
Independiente 3-1
5%
16/1
19%
-
Gimnasia 2-1
4%
20/1
40%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
24%
-
Gimnasia 2-0
3%
28/1
53%
-
Independiente 4-0
2%
25/1
37%
-
Independiente 4-1
2%
40/1
20%
-
Independiente 3-2
2%
40/1-
Gimnasia 3-1
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
8/5
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
19/40
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/9
14%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
11/4
30%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
11/2
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
6/4
5%
-
BTTS - No
61%
1/2
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
17%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
14/1
36%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/8
8%
-
Away/draw
42%
23/20
24%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1/2
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
6/4
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
9/2
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/7
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
12/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/25
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/10
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
6/1
27%
-
Home DNB
76%
2/9
13%
-
Away DNB
35%
3/1
45%
-
Independiente win to nil
39%
5/4
18%
-
Gimnasia win to nil
11%
7/1
45%
-
Independiente / Independiente
32%
13/8
25%
-
Independiente / Gimnasia
2%
40/1-
Independiente / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Independiente
21%
3/1
16%
-
Draw / Gimnasia
8%
10/1
38%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
13%
-
Gimnasia / Independiente
3%
28/1
15%
-
Gimnasia / Gimnasia
8%
10/1
57%
-
Gimnasia / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Independiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
Independiente2 - 0Central Cor
Independiente1 - 0Gimnasia
Independiente3 - 0U Santa Fe
Independiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Independiente3 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Independiente0 - 0Argentinos
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Independiente0 - 0San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 0Barracas
Independiente2 - 1Banfield
Independiente1 - 1Velez
Independiente1 - 3Tal Cordoba
Independiente2 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente1 - 1A. Tucuman
Independiente1 - 1River Plate
Independiente2 - 1Argentinos
Independiente0 - 1Racing Club
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIndependiente3 - 2Tal Cordoba
HIndependiente2 - 1Sarmiento
AIndependiente0 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 2Newells
HIndependiente1 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente0 - 1Huracan
HIndependiente3 - 0U Santa Fe
AIndependiente0 - 0Sarmiento
HIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente2 - 0Lanus
HIndependiente3 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AIndependiente1 - 1Tig
HIndependiente0 - 0Argentinos
AIndependiente1 - 1Belgrano
HIndependiente0 - 0River Plate
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente2 - 0Estudiantes
Gimnasia 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto3 - 0Gimnasia
Platense1 - 0Gimnasia
Boca Juniors1 - 0Gimnasia
Independiente1 - 0Gimnasia
Huracan0 - 0Gimnasia
Sarmiento1 - 1Gimnasia
Lanus0 - 0Gimnasia
Tig1 - 1Gimnasia
Belgrano0 - 1Gimnasia
Racing Club0 - 1Gimnasia
Estudiantes4 - 1Gimnasia
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Gimnasia
Instituto2 - 1Gimnasia
Defensa1 - 1Gimnasia
A. Tucuman3 - 2Gimnasia
River Plate3 - 1Gimnasia
Argentinos2 - 0Gimnasia
Rosario2 - 1Gimnasia
Velez3 - 1Gimnasia
Independiente0 - 1Gimnasia
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
AGimnasia0 - 3Instituto
AGimnasia0 - 1Platense
HGimnasia0 - 1Tal Cordoba
AGimnasia0 - 1Boca Juniors
HGimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
AGimnasia0 - 1Independiente
HGimnasia1 - 0Newells
HGimnasia0 - 0Central Cor
AGimnasia0 - 0Huracan
HGimnasia2 - 3U Santa Fe
AGimnasia1 - 1Sarmiento
HGimnasia0 - 1Godoy Cruz
AGimnasia0 - 0Lanus
HGimnasia0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
AGimnasia1 - 1Tig
HGimnasia1 - 0Argentinos
AGimnasia1 - 0Belgrano
HGimnasia1 - 1River Plate
AGimnasia1 - 0Racing Club
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Independiente since 2020
Independiente
Gimnasia
Goals: Scored
1
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
IND
1
GIM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente1 - 0
0 - 1Gimnasia
0 - 1Gimnasia
League games at Gimnasia since 2019
Gimnasia
Independiente
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
IND
1
D
1
GIM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gimnasia
1 - 2Independiente
Draw1 - 1Draw
Gimnasia3 - 1
Gimnasia1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Independiente's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday morning, not least because Gimnasia La Plata have conceded in each of their last 5 Primera División games. A PG of 1.5 for Julio César Vaccari's side suggests that run should continue.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for Gimnasia La Plata, with Marcelo Fabián Méndez Russo's men failing to score in 5 consecutive Primera División games.

Independiente 7th Gimnasia 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Independiente will score 1 or more goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of Gimnasia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+29
Independiente have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted
-35
Gimnasia have scored 35% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291361/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
Gimnasia
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
0%
better
IND
GIM
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
IND
GIM
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Independiente v Gimnasia Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3312
R ReyG ÁvalosF LoyolaL Cabral
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK3
-
F Vera DEF3
-
K Lomónaco DEF3
-
S Valdéz DEF3
-
A Spörle DEF31
-
I Marcone MID3
1
-
F Loyola MID31
-
G. Millán MID3
1
-
L Cabral FWD31
2
-
G Ávalos FWD33
1
-
D. Tarzia FWD3
-
Subs
J Blázquez
-
P Galdames31
1
-
F Mancuello1
-
R Martínez
-
B Martínez
-
F Paredes
-
M Rojas2
-
S Salle1
-
Álvaro Angulo31
-
Gimnasia Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3002
L IngolottiG Suso
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Ingolotti GLK3
-
J Pintado DEF3
1
-
L Morales DEF3
1
-
G Suso DEF3
2
-
P Silva DEF2
-
L Castro MID3
1
-
M Figueira MID3
-
A Sosa MID2
-
P Blasis FWD3
-
R Castillo FWD3
1
-
M Panaro FWD3
1
-
Subs
D Mastrángelo1
1
-
N Briasco2
-
R Giampaoli1
-
M Melluso3
2
-
N Insfrán
-
F. Corbalán1
-
I Mammini2
-
L Mamut2
-
J. Cortazzo
-
F. Di Biasi
-
J Moreno2
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Aldosivi v Barracas
Thu 6th Feb, 20:00
Sarmiento v SM San Juan
Thu 6th Feb, 23:00
Banfield v Belgrano
Fri 7th Feb, 20:45
Huracan v Tig
Fri 7th Feb, 23:00
Central Cor v Newells
Fri 7th Feb, 23:00
U Santa Fe v Argentinos
Sat 8th Feb, 00:30
Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes
Sat 8th Feb, 01:15
Velez v San Lorenzo
Sat 8th Feb, 20:00
River Plate v Independiente
Sat 8th Feb, 22:15
Rosario v A. Tucuman
Sat 8th Feb, 22:30
Racing Club v Boca Juniors
Sun 9th Feb, 01:15
Deportivo Riestra v Defensa
Sun 9th Feb, 20:00
Platense v Instituto
Sun 9th Feb, 20:00
Gimnasia v Godoy Cruz
Sun 9th Feb, 22:15
Tal Cordoba v Lanus
Mon 10th Feb, 00:30
Barracas v Central Cor
Tue 11th Feb, 20:45
Boca Juniors v Independiente Rivadavia
Tue 11th Feb, 23:00
Estudiantes v Banfield
Tue 11th Feb, 23:00
Tig v Racing Club
Wed 12th Feb, 01:15
Belgrano v Aldosivi
Wed 12th Feb, 01:15
Deportivo Riestra v Rosario
Wed 12th Feb, 20:00
Newells v Defensa
Wed 12th Feb, 20:45
Argentinos v Huracan
Wed 12th Feb, 23:00
Independiente v Velez
Wed 12th Feb, 23:00
Godoy Cruz v River Plate
Thu 13th Feb, 01:15
Lanus v Gimnasia
Thu 13th Feb, 20:45
San Lorenzo v Platense
Thu 13th Feb, 23:00
SM San Juan v Tal Cordoba
Thu 13th Feb, 23:00
U Santa Fe v Instituto
Fri 14th Feb, 01:15
A. Tucuman v Sarmiento
Fri 14th Feb, 01:15
Banfield v Boca Juniors
Fri 14th Feb, 23:00
Aldosivi v Estudiantes
Sat 15th Feb, 20:00
Defensa v Barracas
Sat 15th Feb, 20:00
Independiente Rivadavia v Tig
Sat 15th Feb, 22:15
Central Cor v Belgrano
Sat 15th Feb, 22:15
Racing Club v Argentinos
Sun 16th Feb, 00:30
Newells v Rosario
Sun 16th Feb, 20:00
River Plate v Lanus
Sun 16th Feb, 22:15
Tal Cordoba v A. Tucuman
Mon 17th Feb, 00:30
Huracan v U Santa Fe
Mon 17th Feb, 00:30
Sarmiento v Deportivo Riestra
Mon 17th Feb, 20:00
Gimnasia v SM San Juan
Mon 17th Feb, 20:00
Platense v Independiente
Mon 17th Feb, 22:15
Instituto v San Lorenzo
Tue 18th Feb, 00:30
Velez v Godoy Cruz
Tue 18th Feb, 00:30