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Gimnasia La Plata v Sarmiento : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 23:00 BST, Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata

Diego Simeone and Javier Sanguinetti pit their wits in the Primera División on Saturday night, as Gimnasia La Plata face Sarmiento at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. Analysing both teams' last 20 Primera División matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gimnasia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gimnasia
59%
11/10-
Draw
24%
21/10-
Sarmiento
17%
11/4-
Gimnasia 1-0
15%
9/2-
Gimnasia 2-0
12%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
8%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
5/1
8%
-
Gimnasia 2-1
9%
9/1-
Sarmiento 1-0
7%
13/2
6%
-
Gimnasia 3-0
7%
18/1-
Gimnasia 3-1
5%
20/1-
Sarmiento 2-1
4%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1-
Gimnasia 4-0
3%
40/1-
Sarmiento 2-0
3%
16/1-
Gimnasia 4-1
2%
50/1
24%
-
Gimnasia 3-2
2%
40/1-
Sarmiento 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
17/10
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/9
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
6%
5/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - No
58%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
9/1
5%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/4-
Away/draw
41%
7/10-
Home/away
76%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/7
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
5/4
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
5/1
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/8
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
14/1
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/33
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
28/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/8
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
5/1
8%
-
Home DNB
76%
4/9-
Away DNB
34%
13/8-
Gimnasia win to nil
38%
2/1-
Sarmiento win to nil
10%
9/2-
Gimnasia / Gimnasia
23%
13/5
3%
-
Gimnasia / Sarmiento
2%
40/1-
Gimnasia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Gimnasia
17%
15/4-
Draw / Sarmiento
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1-
Sarmiento / Gimnasia
2%
33/1
17%
-
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
13%
11/2-
Sarmiento / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
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Win / draw / win form
16
Sarmiento have not won in 16 consecutive away league games
Gimnasia 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia1 - 0SM San Juan
Gimnasia3 - 0Godoy Cruz
Gimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
Gimnasia0 - 1Tal Cordoba
Gimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
Gimnasia1 - 0Newells
Gimnasia0 - 0Central Cor
Gimnasia2 - 3U Santa Fe
Gimnasia0 - 1Godoy Cruz
Gimnasia0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia1 - 0Argentinos
Gimnasia1 - 1River Plate
Gimnasia0 - 1Rosario
Gimnasia0 - 1San Lorenzo
Gimnasia2 - 1Barracas
Gimnasia3 - 0Banfield
Gimnasia3 - 1Velez
Gimnasia1 - 2Banfield
Gimnasia2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGimnasia1 - 2Rosario
HGimnasia1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AGimnasia0 - 1U Santa Fe
AGimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
HGimnasia1 - 0SM San Juan
AGimnasia0 - 0Lanus
HGimnasia3 - 0Godoy Cruz
AGimnasia0 - 2Independiente
HGimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
AGimnasia0 - 3Instituto
AGimnasia0 - 1Platense
HGimnasia0 - 1Tal Cordoba
AGimnasia0 - 1Boca Juniors
HGimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
AGimnasia0 - 1Independiente
HGimnasia1 - 0Newells
HGimnasia0 - 0Central Cor
AGimnasia0 - 0Huracan
HGimnasia2 - 3U Santa Fe
AGimnasia1 - 1Sarmiento
Sarmiento 26TH
20 league games
Away
16
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aldosivi2 - 2Sarmiento
Rosario1 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman5 - 0Sarmiento
Lanus2 - 0Sarmiento
Independiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Banfield1 - 1Sarmiento
Velez1 - 0Sarmiento
Tal Cordoba2 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman1 - 0Sarmiento
Newells1 - 1Sarmiento
Huracan3 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz1 - 1Sarmiento
Deportivo Riestra2 - 1Sarmiento
Argentinos0 - 0Sarmiento
River Plate1 - 0Sarmiento
Rosario4 - 2Sarmiento
San Lorenzo0 - 1Sarmiento
Barracas1 - 1Sarmiento
Godoy Cruz1 - 0Sarmiento
San Lorenzo1 - 0Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
10
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSarmiento0 - 0Tal Cordoba
HSarmiento1 - 1Barracas
ASarmiento2 - 2Aldosivi
ASarmiento0 - 1Rosario
HSarmiento2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
ASarmiento0 - 5A. Tucuman
HSarmiento1 - 1SM San Juan
ASarmiento0 - 2Lanus
HSarmiento0 - 0Godoy Cruz
ASarmiento1 - 2Independiente
ASarmiento1 - 1Banfield
HSarmiento1 - 1Defensa
ASarmiento0 - 1Velez
HSarmiento1 - 0Platense
ASarmiento0 - 2Tal Cordoba
HSarmiento0 - 2Boca Juniors
ASarmiento0 - 1A. Tucuman
HSarmiento0 - 0Independiente
ASarmiento1 - 1Newells
HSarmiento1 - 1Gimnasia
Goal Statistics

Gimnasia La Plata's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Sarmiento have conceded in each of their last 7 Primera División games. A PG of 1.6 for Diego Simeone's side suggests that run should continue.

Gimnasia 19th Sarmiento 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 81% probability that Gimnasia will score 1 or more goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Sarmiento scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Gimnasia have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-35
Sarmiento have scored 35% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291489/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Gimnasia
PG (predicted goals)
Sarmiento
1.6
0.7
Attack rating
13%
better
GIM
SAR
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score5
5
Scored first3
1
Goals scored7
7
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.7
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal10
12
Conversion rate for10
8
Avg. XG for0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
21%
better
GIM
SAR
view stats
Games conceded6
8
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded11
15
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%

Gimnasia v Sarmiento Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Gimnasia Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10424
G SusoR CastilloB MerliniG Suso
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Suso DEF10
4
-
L Morales DEF101
1
-
L Castro MID101
4
-
R Castillo FWD104
1
-
P Silva DEF9
-
J Pintado DEF9
2
-
M Panaro FWD9
2
1
P Blasis MID81
1
-
A Sosa FWD8
-
N Insfrán GLK7
1
-
M Figueira MID7
-
B Merlini FWD62
2
-
A Piedrahita FWD5
1
-
N Briasco FWD5
-
I Mammini FWD5
-
F. Corbalán4
1
-
R Giampaoli DEF4
-
N Garayalde  MID4
2
-
L Ingolotti GLK3
-
M Melluso DEF3
2
-
J Moreno MID3
1
-
L Mamut MID3
-
A Max MID3
2
-
D Mastrángelo DEF1
1
-
Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10204
L AcostaP MagninR Barcos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Acosta GLK10
1
-
V Burgoa MID101
-
J Gho MID10
3
-
P Magnin FWD102
1
-
I Bravo FWD101
-
A Vigo DEF9
2
-
R Barcos DEF9
4
-
G Díaz DEF9
3
-
G Carabajal MID92
1
-
J Insaurralde DEF8
3
1
M García MID8
2
-
F Frías FWD8
-
S Morales DEF6
1
-
L Suhr FWD61
1
F Roncaglia DEF5
-
C Villalba MID5
1
-
F Paradela  MID5
2
-
Y Arismendi  FWD5
-
E. Giménez MID4
1
-
T. Guiacobini MID4
2
-
J Andrada MID2
-
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF1
-
J. Vallejos DEF1
-
M Mónaco MID1
-