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Boca Juniors v Defensa y Justicia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 21:15 BST, Estadio Alberto José Armando, Buenos Aires

Boca Juniors and their boss Fernando Rubén Gago will be looking to get one over on Pablo Daniel de Muner and his Defensa y Justicia side on Sunday night, as the pair clash at the Estadio Alberto José Armando in the Primera División. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Primera División performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Boca Juniors and Defensa during the traditional 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Boca Juniors are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Boca Juniors
42%
1.70
3%
-
Draw
29%
3.70
6%
-
Defensa
29%
5.00
5%
-
Boca Juniors 1-0
14%
6.00
9%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
7.00-
Draw 0-0
12%
8.50
13%
-
Defensa 1-0
11%
11.00
10%
-
Boca Juniors 2-0
8%
7.50
7%
-
Boca Juniors 2-1
8%
8.50
6%
-
Defensa 2-1
6%
17.00-
Defensa 2-0
5%
23.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00
10%
-
Boca Juniors 3-0
3%
13.00-
Boca Juniors 3-1
3%
15.00
12%
-
Defensa 3-1
2%
41.00-
Defensa 3-0
2%
51.00-
Boca Juniors 3-2
2%
34.00-
Defensa 3-2
1%
51.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
2.15
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
1.67
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.50-
Away 1st Goal
43%
3.10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
8.50
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
2.05
7%
-
BTTS - No
57%
1.70
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4.33
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.50-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
11.00-
Home/draw
71%
1.17
1%
-
Away/draw
58%
2.10
5%
-
Home/away
71%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
1.36
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
3.00
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
4.00
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1.22
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
9.00
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1.07
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
19.00
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.02
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1.07
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
8.50
13%
-
Home DNB
62%
1.29-
Away DNB
49%
3.50-
Boca Juniors win to nil
27%
2.62-
Defensa win to nil
18%
8.00
14%
-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors
30%
2.75
5%
-
Boca Juniors / Defensa
2%
41.00-
Boca Juniors / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Boca Juniors
19%
4.33-
Draw / Defensa
9%
9.50-
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
5%
-
Defensa / Boca Juniors
4%
23.00
12%
-
Defensa / Defensa
10%
8.50-
Defensa / Draw
5%
17.00-
Win / draw / win form
4
Boca Juniors have won 4 consecutive home league games
11
Boca Juniors have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
Boca Juniors
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Defensa
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Boca Juniors have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Defensa
League games at Boca Juniors since 2022
Boca Juniors
Defensa
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
1 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
2 / 3
BOJ
1
D
2
League games at Defensa since 2019
Defensa
Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
BOJ
3
D
1
DEF
1
Goal Statistics
Boca Juniors Defensa
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Defensa scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Boca Juniors’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+45
Defensa have scored 45% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291472/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Boca Juniors
PG (predicted goals)
Defensa
1.2
1
Attack rating
3%
better
BOJ
DEF
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score2
2
Scored first7
6
Goals scored12
12
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
22%
better
BOJ
DEF
view stats
Games conceded4
5
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded5
6
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
14
Conversion rate against6%
7%
Avg. XG against0.8
1
KickOff rating
+22%

Boca Juniors v Defensa Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7314
A MarchesínM MerentielM MerentielW Cepeda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Merentiel FWD931
1
-
E Zeballos  FWD91
1
-
M Giménez FWD821
-
A Marchesín GLK7
1
-
L Lollo DEF71
2
-
L Advíncula DEF711
-
W Cepeda MID7
4
-
C Palacios MID711
-
A Velasco FWD7
1
-
K Zenón FWD7
1
1
A Costa DEF6
3
1
L Blondel DEF5
1
-
C. Rey Domenech MID5
-
R Battaglia MID5
1
-
E Cavani  FWD51
1
-
L Blanco DEF4
2
-
M Rojo  DEF4
-
M Saracchi DEF41
1
-
A Herrera MID4
1
-
T Belmonte MID4
-
J Barinaga DEF3
2
-
M. Delgado MID31
1
-
B Aguirre FWD3
-
L Brey GLK2
-
F Fabra  DEF2
1
-
L Janson FWD2
-
M. Mendia DEF1
-
I Miramón MID1
-
A Martegani  MID1
-
Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9422
E BolognaG TogniA SotoE Bologna
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Bologna GLK9
2
-
E Aguilera DEF9
-
K Gutiérrez MID9
2
-
A Soto DEF82
1
-
E Cannavo DEF811
2
-
L Ferreira DEF81
1
-
A Molinas MID82
2
-
F Schamine MID82
1
-
C Pérez MID81
1
-
G Togni FWD841
1
-
A Osorio FWD81
1
-
D Barbona FWD7
1
-
J Miritello FWD73
1
M Ramírez FWD7
-
F González  FWD71
1
-
L González MID51
-
M González MID5
-
M Miranda  MID31
-
K Balanta DEF2
1
-
N Palavecino MID2
-
G González FWD2
-
R Delgado DEF1
-
A Sienra DEF1
-
G Italiano DEF1
-
T Rubio DEF1
-