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Boca Juniors v Defensa y Justicia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 21:15 BST, Estadio Alberto José Armando, Buenos Aires

Boca Juniors and their boss Fernando Rubén Gago will be looking to get one over on Pablo Daniel de Muner and his Defensa y Justicia side on Sunday night, as the pair clash at the Estadio Alberto José Armando in the Primera División. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Primera División performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Boca Juniors and Defensa during the traditional 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Boca Juniors are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Boca Juniors
42%
1.70
3%
-
Draw
29%
3.70
6%
-
Defensa
29%
5.00
5%
-
Boca Juniors 1-0
14%
6.00
9%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
7.00-
Draw 0-0
12%
8.50
13%
-
Defensa 1-0
11%
11.00
10%
-
Boca Juniors 2-0
8%
7.50
7%
-
Boca Juniors 2-1
8%
8.50
6%
-
Defensa 2-1
6%
17.00-
Defensa 2-0
5%
23.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00
10%
-
Boca Juniors 3-0
3%
13.00-
Boca Juniors 3-1
3%
15.00
12%
-
Defensa 3-1
2%
41.00-
Defensa 3-0
2%
51.00-
Boca Juniors 3-2
2%
34.00-
Defensa 3-2
1%
51.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
2.15
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
1.67
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.50-
Away 1st Goal
43%
3.10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
8.50
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
2.05
7%
-
BTTS - No
57%
1.70
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4.33
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.50-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
11.00-
Home/draw
71%
1.17
1%
-
Away/draw
58%
2.10
5%
-
Home/away
71%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
1.36
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
3.00
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
4.00
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1.22
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
9.00
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1.07
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
19.00
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.02
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1.07
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
8.50
13%
-
Home DNB
62%
1.29-
Away DNB
49%
3.50-
Boca Juniors win to nil
27%
2.62-
Defensa win to nil
18%
8.00
14%
-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors
30%
2.75
5%
-
Boca Juniors / Defensa
2%
41.00-
Boca Juniors / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Boca Juniors
19%
4.33-
Draw / Defensa
9%
9.50-
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
5%
-
Defensa / Boca Juniors
4%
23.00
12%
-
Defensa / Defensa
10%
8.50-
Defensa / Draw
5%
17.00-
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Win / draw / win form
4
Boca Juniors have won 4 consecutive home league games
11
Boca Juniors have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
Boca Juniors
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boca Juniors1 - 0Rosario
Boca Juniors2 - 1Aldosivi
Boca Juniors2 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Boca Juniors2 - 1Huracan
Boca Juniors0 - 0Argentinos
Boca Juniors0 - 0Independiente
Boca Juniors1 - 0Gimnasia
Boca Juniors1 - 0U Santa Fe
Boca Juniors4 - 1Godoy Cruz
Boca Juniors1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors1 - 0Argentinos
Boca Juniors0 - 1River Plate
Boca Juniors2 - 1Rosario
Boca Juniors3 - 2San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors1 - 1Barracas
Boca Juniors3 - 0Banfield
Boca Juniors1 - 0Velez
Boca Juniors0 - 0Tal Cordoba
Boca Juniors1 - 0Godoy Cruz
Boca Juniors2 - 1San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABoca Juniors3 - 0Central Cor
HBoca Juniors1 - 0Rosario
HBoca Juniors2 - 1Aldosivi
ABoca Juniors1 - 0Banfield
HBoca Juniors2 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
ABoca Juniors0 - 2Racing Club
HBoca Juniors2 - 1Huracan
ABoca Juniors1 - 1U Santa Fe
HBoca Juniors0 - 0Argentinos
HBoca Juniors0 - 0Independiente
ABoca Juniors1 - 0Newells
HBoca Juniors1 - 0Gimnasia
ABoca Juniors0 - 0Huracan
HBoca Juniors1 - 0U Santa Fe
ABoca Juniors2 - 0Sarmiento
HBoca Juniors4 - 1Godoy Cruz
ABoca Juniors0 - 1Lanus
HBoca Juniors1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
ABoca Juniors0 - 3Tig
HBoca Juniors1 - 0Argentinos
Defensa
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Platense0 - 1Defensa
Belgrano2 - 0Defensa
Newells0 - 1Defensa
Deportivo Riestra1 - 1Defensa
Aldosivi0 - 5Defensa
Sarmiento1 - 1Defensa
Lanus0 - 0Defensa
Tig0 - 4Defensa
Belgrano1 - 2Defensa
Racing Club4 - 3Defensa
Estudiantes1 - 0Defensa
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Defensa
Instituto4 - 1Defensa
Central Cor2 - 0Defensa
Velez3 - 0Defensa
Tal Cordoba1 - 1Defensa
A. Tucuman1 - 1Defensa
Newells1 - 0Defensa
Huracan3 - 1Defensa
Argentinos1 - 1Defensa
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDefensa1 - 0Estudiantes
ADefensa1 - 0Platense
ADefensa0 - 2Belgrano
HDefensa1 - 1Barracas
ADefensa1 - 0Newells
ADefensa1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HDefensa2 - 1Central Cor
ADefensa5 - 0Aldosivi
HDefensa0 - 1Banfield
HDefensa0 - 0U Santa Fe
ADefensa1 - 1Sarmiento
HDefensa2 - 1Godoy Cruz
ADefensa0 - 0Lanus
HDefensa1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
ADefensa4 - 0Tig
HDefensa2 - 1Argentinos
ADefensa2 - 1Belgrano
HDefensa0 - 0River Plate
ADefensa3 - 4Racing Club
HDefensa2 - 1Rosario
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Boca Juniors have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Defensa
League games at Boca Juniors since 2022
Boca Juniors
Defensa
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
1 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
2 / 3
BOJ
1
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Boca Juniors
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Boca Juniors2 - 0
League games at Defensa since 2019
Defensa
Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
BOJ
3
D
1
DEF
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Defensa
Draw2 - 2Draw
Defensa1 - 0
0 - 1Boca Juniors
0 - 1Boca Juniors
0 - 1Boca Juniors
Goal Statistics
Boca Juniors Defensa
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Defensa scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Boca Juniors’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+45
Defensa have scored 45% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291472/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Boca Juniors
PG (predicted goals)
Defensa
1.2
1
Attack rating
3%
better
BOJ
DEF
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score2
2
Scored first7
6
Goals scored12
12
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
22%
better
BOJ
DEF
view stats
Games conceded4
5
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded5
6
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
14
Conversion rate against6%
7%
Avg. XG against0.8
1
KickOff rating
+22%

Boca Juniors v Defensa Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7314
A MarchesínM MerentielM MerentielW Cepeda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Merentiel FWD931
1
-
E Zeballos  FWD91
1
-
M Giménez FWD821
-
A Marchesín GLK7
1
-
L Lollo DEF71
2
-
L Advíncula DEF711
-
W Cepeda MID7
4
-
C Palacios MID711
-
A Velasco FWD7
1
-
K Zenón FWD7
1
1
A Costa DEF6
3
1
L Blondel DEF5
1
-
C. Rey Domenech MID5
-
R Battaglia MID5
1
-
E Cavani  FWD51
1
-
L Blanco DEF4
2
-
M Rojo  DEF4
-
M Saracchi DEF41
1
-
A Herrera MID4
1
-
T Belmonte MID4
-
J Barinaga DEF3
2
-
M. Delgado MID31
1
-
B Aguirre FWD3
-
L Brey GLK2
-
F Fabra  DEF2
1
-
L Janson FWD2
-
M. Mendia DEF1
-
I Miramón MID1
-
A Martegani  MID1
-
Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9422
E BolognaG TogniA SotoE Bologna
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Bologna GLK9
2
-
E Aguilera DEF9
-
K Gutiérrez MID9
2
-
A Soto DEF82
1
-
E Cannavo DEF811
2
-
L Ferreira DEF81
1
-
A Molinas MID82
2
-
F Schamine MID82
1
-
C Pérez MID81
1
-
G Togni FWD841
1
-
A Osorio FWD81
1
-
D Barbona FWD7
1
-
J Miritello FWD73
1
M Ramírez FWD7
-
F González  FWD71
1
-
L González MID51
-
M González MID5
-
M Miranda  MID31
-
K Balanta DEF2
1
-
N Palavecino MID2
-
G González FWD2
-
R Delgado DEF1
-
A Sienra DEF1
-
G Italiano DEF1
-
T Rubio DEF1
-