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New York City v Montreal Impact : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 00:30 BST, Yankee Stadium, New York City

Laurent Courtois will be hoping for a precious away win in the Major League Soccer on Sunday morning, as he takes his Montreal Impact side to the Yankee Stadium to visit New York City and Pascal Gastien. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Major League Soccer matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and stats align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. NY City and Montreal have seldom been involved in thrillers of late, whether that be in Major League Soccer individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
NY City
56%
8/11-
Draw
25%
5/2-
Montreal
19%
15/4-
NY City 1-0
15%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
NY City 2-0
12%
13/2-
NY City 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1-
Montreal 1-0
7%
11/1-
NY City 3-0
6%
12/1-
NY City 3-1
5%
14/1-
Montreal 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Montreal 2-0
3%
22/1-
NY City 4-0
2%
28/1-
NY City 4-1
2%
33/1-
NY City 3-2
2%
28/1-
Montreal 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
21/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
3/4-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
38%
2/1-
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
44%
19/20-
BTTS - No
56%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/1-
Home/draw
81%
2/11-
Away/draw
44%
21/20-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1-
Home DNB
74%
2/7-
Away DNB
36%
5/2-
NY City win to nil
36%
7/4-
Montreal win to nil
11%
7/1-
NY City / NY City
31%
7/4-
NY City / Montreal
2%
40/1-
NY City / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / NY City
19%
7/2-
Draw / Montreal
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Montreal / NY City
4%
22/1-
Montreal / Montreal
10%
7/1-
Montreal / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win form
9
Montreal have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
NY City 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY City1 - 0Philadelphia
NY City1 - 2Minnesota
NY City2 - 1New England
NY City2 - 1Orlando
NY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
NY City3 - 1Cincinnati
NY City3 - 1Nashville
NY City3 - 2Cincinnati
NY City1 - 1Miami
NY City1 - 5Philadelphia
NY City2 - 2Chicago
NY City2 - 0Montreal
NY City4 - 2Orlando
NY City2 - 3Columbus
NY City5 - 1San Jose
NY City2 - 1NY Red Bulls
NY City0 - 2Colorado
NY City2 - 1Charlotte
NY City2 - 0DC United
NY City2 - 0New England
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY City1 - 0Toronto
ANY City0 - 2New England
HNY City1 - 0Philadelphia
HNY City1 - 2Minnesota
ANY City3 - 4Atlanta
ANY City0 - 0Columbus
HNY City2 - 1New England
HNY City2 - 1Orlando
ANY City0 - 1LAFC
ANY City2 - 2Miami
HNY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
ANY City0 - 0Cincinnati
HNY City3 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 2Montreal
HNY City3 - 1Nashville
HNY City3 - 2Cincinnati
ANY City5 - 1NY Red Bulls
HNY City1 - 1Miami
HNY City1 - 5Philadelphia
Montreal 15TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY Red Bulls1 - 0Montreal
Columbus2 - 1Montreal
Chicago1 - 1Montreal
Nashville3 - 0Montreal
DC United0 - 0Montreal
Vancouver2 - 0Montreal
Minnesota1 - 0Montreal
Atlanta3 - 2Montreal
Charlotte2 - 0Montreal
Atlanta1 - 2Montreal
New England2 - 2Montreal
Cincinnati4 - 1Montreal
NY Red Bulls2 - 2Montreal
NY City2 - 0Montreal
Colorado4 - 1Montreal
Philadelphia2 - 2Montreal
Toronto5 - 1Montreal
Nashville4 - 1Montreal
Columbus0 - 0Montreal
Seattle5 - 0Montreal
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMontreal0 - 1NY Red Bulls
HMontreal0 - 0Orlando
HMontreal0 - 1Charlotte
AMontreal1 - 2Columbus
AMontreal1 - 1Chicago
AMontreal0 - 3Nashville
AMontreal0 - 0DC United
AMontreal0 - 2Vancouver
AMontreal0 - 1Minnesota
AMontreal2 - 3Atlanta
HMontreal2 - 2Atlanta
HMontreal2 - 0NY City
AMontreal0 - 2Charlotte
AMontreal2 - 1Atlanta
HMontreal3 - 0San Jose
HMontreal2 - 0Chicago
AMontreal2 - 2New England
HMontreal2 - 1Charlotte
AMontreal1 - 4Cincinnati
HMontreal0 - 5New England
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
NY City have beaten Montreal in 5 consecutive home league meetings
7
NY City have not lost to Montreal in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at NY City since 2018
NY City
Montreal
Goals: Scored
15
2
Games: Scored
6 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
1 / 7
NYC
6
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
NY City2 - 0
NY City2 - 0
NY City4 - 1
NY City1 - 0
NY City3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
NY City3 - 0
League games at Montreal since 2018
Montreal
NY City
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
NYC
3
D
2
MTL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montreal
Montreal2 - 0
0 - 1NY City
1 - 3NY City
Draw0 - 0Draw
Montreal2 - 1
0 - 2NY City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Montreal Impact, with L. Courtois's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Major League Soccer outings.

NY City 9th Montreal 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that NY City will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Montreal scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
NY City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
Montreal have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290918/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
NY City
PG (predicted goals)
Montreal
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
59%
better
NYC
MTL
view stats
Games scored7
3
Failed to score3
7
Scored first4
0
Goals scored12
4
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.4
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal8
20
Conversion rate for13
5
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+59%
Defence rating
13%
better
NYC
MTL
view stats
Games conceded7
8
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first5
8
Goals conceded13
14
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+13%

NY City v Montreal Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10623
M FreeseA MartínezJ FernándezK O'Toole
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Freese GLK10
1
-
K Parks MID101
2
-
J Haak MID10
-
M Moralez MID101
1
-
J Fernández FWD1012
1
-
H Wolf FWD1031
-
M. Bakrar FWD10
1
-
A Ojeda FWD10
-
K O'Toole DEF9
2
1
T Martins DEF9
-
J. Shore MID9
1
-
A Martínez FWD96
-
B Risa DEF8
1
-
S Tanasijević DEF4
1
-
A Perea MID4
-
T Gray DEF3
2
-
Montreal Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10214
L PetrassoP OwusuL PetrassoC Clark
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Petrasso DEF101
2
-
V Loturi MID10
3
-
C Clark MID10
4
-
P Owusu FWD1021
1
-
J Sirois GLK9
-
N Saliba MID91
3
-
B Duke MID9
-
G Campbell DEF81
1
-
J Waterman DEF8
2
-
F Amador DEF7
1
-
S Piette MID7
1
-
D Sealy FWD71
1
-
J Marshall-Rutty DEF6
2
-
I Sunusi FWD6
-
T Pearce DEF5
-
F Herbers MID4
1
-
J Vilsaint FWD4
-
K Opoku FWD4
1
-
D. Bugaj DEF3
-
D Yankov MID3
-
B Craig DEF2
1
-
H. Synchuk FWD2
-
S Breza GLK1
-
J Neal DEF1
-
O Jabang MID1
1
-
G Vrioni FWD1
-