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Atlanta United v Toronto FC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

We’ve Major League Soccer action to look forward to on Sunday morning, as Gonzalo Pineda Reyes and his Atlanta United side host John Herdman’s Toronto FC at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Statistics power the predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

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The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Atlanta and Toronto was on Sunday 30th June 2024

American Major League Soccer

June 30th 2024

Atlanta 2	1 Toronto

T. Almada 45'	46' F. Bernardeschi
J. Thiaré 90'

	ATL TOR
Shots On	5 4
Shots Off	3 4
Corners	6 2
Possession	40% 60%
Fouls	17 10
Yellow/red cards	2/0 1/0

Atlanta	Toronto

B. Guzan D. Williams S. Rode Gregersen (R. Hernández Pimentel 75') C. Wiley B. Lennon N. Cobb A. Fortune (B. Slisz 58') T. Almada T. Muyumba Nkita A. Costa Silva (S. O'Neill 90') D. Ríos Calderón (J. Thiaré 58')	L. Gavran K. Long R. Petretta (K. Thompson 46') J. Marshall-Rutty N. Gomis D. Etienne Jr. D. Flores M. Longstaff (K. Franklin 76') L. Insigne F. Bernardeschi (S. Rosted 67') P. Owusu

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Sunday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Atlanta and Toronto to score 3 goals or more combined during the standard 90 minutes. 2 goals or fewer would mean it's a losing tip but, with stats below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think it looks like a great bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atlanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Atlanta 53%	3/4 1%	8/11 2%
Draw 22%	31/10 3%	11/4
Toronto 25%	31/10 2%	27/10 1%
Draw 1-1 10%	15/2 6%	13/2
Atlanta 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Atlanta 1-0 8%	10/1	8/1
Atlanta 2-0 8%	10/1	17/2
Toronto 2-1 6%	12/1 13%	10/1
Atlanta 3-1 6%	11/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	10/1
Toronto 1-0 5%	16/1	12/1
Atlanta 3-0 5%	14/1	12/1 8%
Draw 0-0 4%	18/1	12/1
Atlanta 3-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Toronto 2-0 3%	22/1 12%	18/1 12%
Atlanta 4-1 3%	22/1	16/1
Toronto 3-1 3%	28/1	18/1 10%
Toronto 3-2 2%	28/1	18/1 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	1/2	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	6/4	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	1/2	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	6/4 4%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	18/1	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	1/2 2%	1/2 2%
BTTS - No 40%	6/4 5%	7/5 1%
BTTS - Home Win 28%	2/1	19/10
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	7/2 2%
BTTS - Away Win 14%	5/1 8%	19/4 4%
Home/draw 75%	2/9	2/9
Away/draw 47%	1/1 2%	1/1 2%
Home/away 78%	2/9	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	9/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	6/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	8/13	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	11/4	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/4	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	6/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/10 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	18/1	-
Home DNB 68%	4/11 2%	7/20 2%
Away DNB 41%	2/1 8%	2/1
Atlanta win to nil 25%	11/4	-
Toronto win to nil 11%	8/1 10%	-
Atlanta / Atlanta 30%	7/4	17/10 3%
Atlanta / Toronto 3%	28/1	22/1
Atlanta / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Atlanta 16%	4/1	19/5
Draw / Toronto 9%	17/2	15/2
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	5/1
Toronto / Atlanta 5%	18/1	14/1
Toronto / Toronto 12%	11/2 7%	5/1
Toronto / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1 8%

Win / draw / win form

Toronto have lost 3 consecutive league games

Toronto have not won in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Atlanta	2 - 2	Houston
Atlanta	2 - 3	Charlotte
Atlanta	0 - 1	LAFC
Atlanta	2 - 3	DC
Atlanta	1 - 2	Minnesota
Atlanta	1 - 2	Cincinnati
Atlanta	2 - 2	Philadelphia
Atlanta	3 - 0	Chicago
Atlanta	2 - 0	Orlando
Atlanta	4 - 1	New England
Atlanta	4 - 2	Columbus
Atlanta	1 - 1	Columbus
Atlanta	4 - 1	Montreal
Atlanta	5 - 2	Miami
Atlanta	1 - 2	Cincinnati
Atlanta	4 - 0	Nashville
Atlanta	1 - 2	Orlando
Atlanta	2 - 0	Philadelphia
Atlanta	2 - 2	NY City
Atlanta	3 - 1	DC

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Atlanta	1 - 1	Saint Louis City
A	Atlanta	1 - 0	DC
H	Atlanta	2 - 2	Houston
H	Atlanta	2 - 3	Charlotte
A	Atlanta	3 - 1	Miami
H	Atlanta	0 - 1	LAFC
A	Atlanta	1 - 1	Nashville
A	Atlanta	0 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Atlanta	2 - 3	DC
H	Atlanta	1 - 2	Minnesota
A	Atlanta	0 - 0	Chicago
H	Atlanta	1 - 2	Cincinnati
H	Atlanta	2 - 2	Philadelphia
A	Atlanta	1 - 1	NY City
H	Atlanta	3 - 0	Chicago
A	Atlanta	0 - 2	Toronto
H	Atlanta	2 - 0	Orlando
H	Atlanta	4 - 1	New England
A	Atlanta	0 - 1	Columbus
A	Atlanta	2 - 4	Columbus

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

13 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM
New York	3 - 0	Toronto
DC	2 - 2	Toronto
Philadelphia	0 - 0	Toronto
Nashville	2 - 0	Toronto
Orlando	1 - 2	Toronto
Charlotte	3 - 2	Toronto
Vancouver	4 - 0	Toronto
NY City	2 - 1	Toronto
New England	0 - 1	Toronto
Cincinnati	0 - 0	Toronto
New York	3 - 0	Toronto
Charlotte	3 - 0	Toronto
NY City	3 - 0	Toronto
Miami	4 - 0	Toronto
Columbus	2 - 0	Toronto
Chicago	1 - 0	Toronto
Orlando	4 - 0	Toronto
New England	2 - 1	Toronto
Cincinnati	3 - 0	Toronto
Minnesota	1 - 1	Toronto

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Toronto	0 - 3	New York
H	Toronto	1 - 2	Nashville
H	Toronto	1 - 4	Chicago
A	Toronto	2 - 2	DC
A	Toronto	0 - 0	Philadelphia
H	Toronto	3 - 4	Cincinnati
H	Toronto	5 - 1	Montreal
A	Toronto	0 - 2	Nashville
H	Toronto	2 - 3	NY City
H	Toronto	3 - 1	Dallas
A	Toronto	2 - 1	Orlando
H	Toronto	1 - 0	New England
A	Toronto	2 - 3	Charlotte
A	Toronto	0 - 4	Vancouver
H	Toronto	1 - 3	Kansas City
H	Toronto	2 - 0	Atlanta
A	Toronto	1 - 2	NY City
H	Toronto	1 - 0	Charlotte
A	Toronto	1 - 0	New England
A	Toronto	0 - 0	Cincinnati

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Atlanta

Toronto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

0 / 7

ATL

TOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlanta
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Atlanta	4 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Atlanta	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Toronto
Atlanta	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Atlanta

Toronto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

12 / 14

11 / 14

Clean sheets

3 / 14

2 / 14

ATL

TOR

FIXTURE HISTORY
Toronto	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Atlanta	4 - 2
Toronto	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Atlanta
Atlanta	1 - 0
Toronto	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Toronto
Toronto	3 - 2
Atlanta	2 - 0
Toronto	4 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Atlanta United have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Major League Soccer games. Their PG of 1.9 against Toronto FC on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Atlanta 9th	Toronto 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Atlanta will score 1 or more goals	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Toronto will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+22 Atlanta have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted	-51 Toronto have scored 51% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	0.5 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	2.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2024/2024 season

ATL

TOR

better

view stats

Games scored	14		15
Failed to score	5		5
Scored first	9		10
Goals scored	26		28
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.4
Avg. shots per game	12		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	12		16
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.5
KickOff rating		+7%

better

ATL

TOR

view stats

Games conceded	15		14
Clean sheets	4		6
Conceded first	9		8
Goals conceded	24		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	12%		17%
Avg. XG against	0.7		0.7
KickOff rating		+5%

Atlanta v Toronto Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlanta Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	5	4	5
B Lennon	T Almada	B Lennon	T Almada

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Guzan GLK	17			2 1
N Cobb DEF	14			1 -
S Gregersen DEF	10			3 -
D Williams DEF	12			1 -
B Lennon MID	19		4	4 -
A Fortune MID	12		2	1 -
T Muyumba MID	19		2	3 -
C Wiley MID	18	1	2	2 -
T Almada MID	16	5	1	5 -
D Ríos FWD	12	3	1	-
X Silva FWD	14	2		2 -
Subs
J Cohen GLK	3			-
Q Westberg GLK				-
E. Morales DEF	4			-
R Pimentel DEF	5			-
D McCarty MID	12			-
L Brennan MID	2			-
B Slisz MID	13	1		3 -
T Wolff FWD	8			-
J Thiaré FWD	13	4		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	19	4	25
T Almada	T Almada	B Lennon	B Lennon

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Almada MID	5	19	1	21
D Ríos FWD	3	12	1	3
X Silva FWD	2	10		6
C Wiley MID	1	2	2	16
N Cobb DEF		1		2
S Gregersen DEF		1
D Williams DEF		3		3
B Lennon MID			4	25
A Fortune MID		1	2	2
T Muyumba MID		1	2	9
Subs
J Thiaré FWD	4	6		3
B Slisz MID	1	1		4
E. Morales DEF		1
R Pimentel DEF				1
D McCarty MID				5
L Brennan MID				1
T Wolff FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
876	53	106
T Almada	T Muyumba	T Muyumba

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
T Almada MID	876	16	73
T Muyumba MID	870	53	106
B Lennon MID	811	36	76
C Wiley MID	794	29	63
B Guzan GLK	607		7
N Cobb DEF	587	16	37
D Williams DEF	558	13	38
S Gregersen DEF	332	16	34
X Silva FWD	278	18	58
A Fortune MID	210	9	22
D Ríos FWD	129	8	30
Subs
B Slisz MID	691	26	67
D McCarty MID	372	19	31
E. Morales DEF	162	3	15
R Pimentel DEF	118	3	7
T Wolff FWD	109	10	20
J Thiaré FWD	73	3	48
J Cohen GLK	68
L Brennan MID	14		6

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	7	6	7
F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi	K Long

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Gavran GLK	8			-
R Petretta DEF	15	1	2	4 -
K Long DEF	17			7 -
N Gomis DEF	15			4 -
F Bernardeschi MID	17	7	6	6 -
M Longstaff MID	17	2	2	5 -
D Flores MID	19	1	1	5 -
D Junior MID	11	1		1 -
J Marshall-Rutty MID	15	1	3	1 -
L Insigne MID	12	4	2	3 -
P Owusu FWD	17	6		1 -
Subs
G Ranjitsingh GLK				-
A Mabika DEF	5			-
S Rosted DEF	17			3 -
K Franklin DEF	14		1	-
S O'Neill DEF	7			2 -
K Thompson MID	16			2 -
M Cimermancic MID				-
C Mailula FWD	2			-
D Kerr FWD	14		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	26	6	11
F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Bernardeschi MID	7	26	6	11
P Owusu FWD	6	12		7
L Insigne MID	4	15	2	5
M Longstaff MID	2	5	2	8
R Petretta DEF	1	2	2	7
D Flores MID	1	4	1	1
D Junior MID	1	2		7
J Marshall-Rutty MID	1	2	3	2
K Long DEF		1		1
N Gomis DEF				2
Subs
A Mabika DEF				1
S Rosted DEF		2
K Franklin DEF		1	1	2
S O'Neill DEF				1
K Thompson MID				3
C Mailula FWD		1
D Kerr FWD		8	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
991	48	100
D Flores	D Flores	K Long

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D Flores MID	991	48	100
K Long DEF	818	25	100
N Gomis DEF	743	24	48
M Longstaff MID	721	32	57
F Bernardeschi MID	672	17	99
R Petretta DEF	593	21	50
L Insigne MID	555	5	31
D Junior MID	289	6	35
J Marshall-Rutty MID	267	13	43
P Owusu FWD	203	16	59
L Gavran GLK	203	2	5
Subs
S Rosted DEF	636	20	41
S O'Neill DEF	266	12	31
K Thompson MID	222	12	27
K Franklin DEF	160	4	16
A Mabika DEF	116	1	11
D Kerr FWD	86	3	41
C Mailula FWD	10		3

American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictions and odds

Atlanta United v Toronto FC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Atlanta v Toronto Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

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