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Villarreal v FC Barcelona : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Sep, 17:30 BST, Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

We’ve La Liga action to enjoy on Sunday evening, as Marcelino Toral and his Villarreal side host Hans-Dieter Flick’s FC Barcelona at the Estadio de la Cerámica. Analysing both sides' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This La Liga fixture, with Villarreal and Barcelona going head-to-head, offers plenty of value in the widely used over market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Attackers on both sides will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having studied the relevant statistics and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Barcelona coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
26%
3/1
5%
14/5
10%
Draw
21%
29/10
3%
3/1
5%
Barcelona
53%
5/6
5%
5/6
6%
Barcelona 2-1
9%
8/17/1
7%
Draw 1-1
9%
15/27/1
7%
Draw 2-2
7%
10/19/1
9%
Barcelona 3-1
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Villarreal 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Barcelona 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
16%
Barcelona 1-0
6%
12/110/1
16%
Barcelona 3-2
5%
16/112/1
13%
Barcelona 3-0
4%
16/114/1
15%
Villarreal 1-0
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
15%
Barcelona 4-1
3%
20/116/1
Villarreal 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Villarreal 3-1
3%
25/118/1
10%
Villarreal 2-0
3%
25/118/1
Draw 0-0
3%
22/1
10%
14/1
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
2/5
3%
2/5
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
2/1
9%
9/5
8%
Home 1st Goal
46%
7/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
8/15
2%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
68%
2/5
3%
2/5
7%
BTTS - No
32%
7/4
5%
7/4
12%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
8%
4/1
13%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/310/3
6%
BTTS - Away Win
32%
15/87/4
2%
Home/draw
47%
10/11
5%
19/20
5%
Away/draw
74%
2/91/4
2%
Home/away
79%
1/4
2%
2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
1/8
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
1/119/20
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
4/53/4
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
12/5
3%
21/10
11%
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
1/3
2%
1/3
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/7
2%
2/15
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/80
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
10%
14/1
Home DNB
41%
7/4
8%
9/5
10%
Away DNB
67%
2/5
3%
2/5
5%
Villarreal win to nil
9%
9/1-
Barcelona win to nil
20%
10/3
8%
-
Villarreal / Villarreal
14%
5/119/4
4%
Villarreal / Barcelona
5%
16/114/1
Villarreal / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Draw / Villarreal
9%
8/115/2
6%
Draw / Barcelona
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
Draw / Draw
12%
13/2
7%
11/2
Barcelona / Villarreal
3%
25/120/1
9%
Barcelona / Barcelona
29%
15/8
5%
7/4
6%
Barcelona / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Villarreal
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Barcelona
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Sep 22
May 18
 Barcelona Away55001315 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Jan 26
 A.Madrid5320711 
Dec 22
Mar 16
Mar 16
Oct 5
 Real Madrid5320711 
May 11
Oct 27
-
-
 Villarreal Home5320311 
May 18
Sep 22
Nov 10
Mar 9
 Alaves6312210 
Feb 2
Oct 6
Apr 6
Dec 8
 A.Bilbao6312210 
w
 
2-1F
May 25
w
 
4-3A
Apr 23
 Celta530239 
Apr 20
Nov 24
Dec 15
Apr 13
 Real Betis522118 
Apr 6
Dec 8
Jan 19
w
 
1-2F
 Mallorca622208 
Apr 23
Jan 11
Nov 3
Feb 23
 R.Vallecano521217 
Feb 16
w
 
1-2A
Dec 1
May 11
 Girona521207 
Mar 30
w
 
1-4F
Mar 2
Sep 26
 Espanyol521207 
Nov 3
May 14
May 4
Nov 24
 Osasuna5212-47 
Mar 9
Sep 28
May 25
w
 
1-2F
 Sevilla6123-35 
Oct 20
Feb 9
May 14
Dec 22
 Leganes6123-45 
Dec 15
Apr 13
Apr 20
Jan 11
 R.Sociedad6114-44 
Mar 2
Nov 10
Feb 2
Oct 27
 Valladolid5113-114 
w
 
7-0F
May 4
Oct 20
Mar 30
 Getafe5032-23 
Sep 25
Jan 19
Sep 30
Feb 9
 Las Palmas5023-42 
Dec 1
Feb 23
Feb 16
d
 
1-1A
 Valencia5014-71 
Jan 26
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
9
Barcelona have won 9 consecutive league games
9
Villarreal have not lost in 9 consecutive league games
9
Barcelona have not lost in 9 consecutive league games
Villarreal 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal4 - 3Celta
Villarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
Villarreal4 - 4Real Madrid
Villarreal3 - 2Sevilla
Villarreal3 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal1 - 2A.Madrid
Villarreal1 - 0Valencia
Villarreal5 - 1Granada
Villarreal1 - 1Getafe
Villarreal0 - 0Cadiz
Villarreal1 - 1Mallorca
Villarreal3 - 2Celta
Villarreal0 - 3R.Sociedad
Villarreal3 - 1Osasuna
Villarreal2 - 3A.Bilbao
Villarreal1 - 1Alaves
Villarreal1 - 2Las Palmas
Villarreal1 - 2Girona
Villarreal2 - 1Almeria
Villarreal3 - 4Barcelona
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVillarreal2 - 1Mallorca
AVillarreal1 - 1Valencia
HVillarreal4 - 3Celta
AVillarreal2 - 1Sevilla
HVillarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
AVillarreal1 - 1Osasuna
HVillarreal4 - 4Real Madrid
AVillarreal1 - 0Girona
HVillarreal3 - 2Sevilla
AVillarreal2 - 3Celta
HVillarreal3 - 0R.Vallecano
AVillarreal2 - 1Almeria
AVillarreal1 - 1A.Bilbao
HVillarreal1 - 2A.Madrid
HVillarreal1 - 0Valencia
AVillarreal3 - 2Real Betis
HVillarreal5 - 1Granada
AVillarreal3 - 1R.Sociedad
HVillarreal1 - 1Getafe
AVillarreal1 - 1Alaves
Barcelona 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Girona1 - 4Barcelona
R.Vallecano1 - 2Barcelona
Valencia1 - 2Barcelona
Sevilla1 - 2Barcelona
Almeria0 - 2Barcelona
Girona4 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Cadiz0 - 1Barcelona
A.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
A.Bilbao0 - 0Barcelona
Celta1 - 2Barcelona
Alaves1 - 3Barcelona
Real Betis2 - 4Barcelona
Las Palmas1 - 2Barcelona
Valencia1 - 1Barcelona
R.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
R.Sociedad0 - 1Barcelona
Granada2 - 2Barcelona
Mallorca2 - 2Barcelona
Osasuna1 - 2Barcelona
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABarcelona4 - 1Girona
HBarcelona7 - 0Valladolid
ABarcelona2 - 1R.Vallecano
HBarcelona2 - 1A.Bilbao
ABarcelona2 - 1Valencia
ABarcelona2 - 1Sevilla
HBarcelona3 - 0R.Vallecano
ABarcelona2 - 0Almeria
HBarcelona2 - 0R.Sociedad
ABarcelona2 - 4Girona
HBarcelona4 - 2Valencia
ABarcelona2 - 3Real Madrid
ABarcelona1 - 0Cadiz
HBarcelona1 - 0Las Palmas
ABarcelona3 - 0A.Madrid
HBarcelona1 - 0Mallorca
ABarcelona0 - 0A.Bilbao
HBarcelona4 - 0Getafe
ABarcelona2 - 1Celta
HBarcelona3 - 3Granada
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Barcelona have beaten Villarreal in 5 consecutive away league meetings
10
Barcelona have not lost to Villarreal in 10 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
13
24
Games: Scored
7 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
3 / 10
D
3
BCN
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
3 - 4Barcelona
0 - 1Barcelona
1 - 3Barcelona
1 - 2Barcelona
1 - 4Barcelona
Draw4 - 4Draw
0 - 2Barcelona
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Barcelona
League games at Barcelona since 2015
Barcelona
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
29
12
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
VIL
2
BCN
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Barcelona
3 - 5Villarreal
Barcelona3 - 0
0 - 2Villarreal
Barcelona4 - 0
Barcelona2 - 1
Barcelona2 - 0
Barcelona5 - 1
Barcelona4 - 1
Barcelona3 - 0
Barcelona3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Villarreal have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 20 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.5 against FC Barcelona on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

FC Barcelona's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 12 consecutive La Liga outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Villarreal 4th Barcelona 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Villarreal will score 1 or more goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Barcelona will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
Villarreal have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
+25
Barcelona have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278227/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Barcelona
1.5
2.1
Attack rating
VIL
BCN
14%
better
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score0
0
Scored first3
3
Goals scored11
17
Avg. goals scored2.2
3.4
Avg. shots per game11
14
Avg. shots per goal5
4
Conversion rate for20
25
Avg. XG for1.8
2.4
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
VIL
BCN
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded8
4
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+31%

Villarreal v Barcelona La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
D CondeA PérezÁlex BaenaAlbiol
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Conde GLK51
-
Albiol DEF5
2
-
K Femenía DEF5
2
-
S Cardona DEF511
1
-
S Comesaña MID51
1
-
D Parejo MID51
1
-
Y Pino FWD51
2
-
A Pérez FWD53
1
-
Álex Baena MID42
1
-
P Gueye MID4
2
-
I Akhomach FWD4
-
T Barry FWD41
1
-
E Bailly DEF3
1
-
L Costa DEF31
-
N Pépé FWD3
1
-
J Bernat DEF2
-
R Terrats MID2
-
G Moreno FWD21
-
W. Kambwala DEF1
-
Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5442
M StegenR Lewandowski L YamalP. Cubarsí Paredes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Stegen GLK5
-
I Martínez  DEF5
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF51
2
-
A Balde DEF5
-
J Koundé DEF511
1
-
Pedri MID52
-
F Torres FWD511
1
R Lewandowski  FWD542
1
-
L Yamal FWD534
1
-
Raphinha FWD532
-
E García DEF4
-
P Victor FWD4
1
-
M. Bernal Casas MID3
2
-
D Olmo MID33
-
F. Lopez Marin MID3
1
-
M Torras MID31
-
A Christensen DEF1
1
-
H. García DEF1
-
P Torre MID1
-