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Real Madrid v FC Barcelona : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Real Madrid and their boss Carlo Ancelotti will be looking to get one over on Xavier Hernández Creus and his FC Barcelona side on Sunday night, as the pair go head to head at the Santiago Bernabéu in the La Liga. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Cadiz at 15:15 on Saturday 4th May
FC Barcelona's next match is v Girona at 17:30 on Saturday 4th May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Real Madrid and Barcelona was on Sunday 21st April 2024
Spanish La Liga
April 21st 2024
Real Madrid 3
2 Barcelona
 
V. Júnior 18'6' A. Christensen
L. Vázquez Iglesias 73'69' F. Lopez Marin
J. Bellingham 90'
 
RMD
BCN
Shots On
8
6
Shots Off
4
7
Corners
2
8
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
Real MadridBarcelona
 
A. Lunin
A. Rüdiger
L. Vázquez Iglesiasfootball icon
E. Camavinga (F. García Torres 71')
L. Modrić
A. Tchouaméni
T. Kroos (B. Abdelkader Diaz 71')
J. Bellinghamfootball icon
F. Valverde Dipetta
R. Silva de Goes (É. Gabriel Militão 74')
V. Júniorfootball icon (J. Sanmartín Mato 82')
M. ter Stegen
(F. Lopez Marin 46') football iconA. Christensen
P. Cubarsí Paredes
J. Koundé
J. Cavaco Cancelo
R. Araújo da Silva
(P. López 45') F. de Jong
İ. Gündoğan
(J. Sequeira 64') R. Dias Belloli
(F. Torres García 64') R. Lewandowski
L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 minutes. Both Real Madrid and Barcelona's latest form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Real Madrid
52%
8/118/11
4%
4/510/13
Draw
23%
16/5
11%
3/1
3%
3/13/1
Barcelona
25%
10/3
4%
17/5
5%
16/53/1
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2
13%
7/1
7%
7/113/2
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/17/17/1
Real Madrid 1-0
8%
11/1
20%
10/1
10%
17/219/2
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
10/1
10%
10/1
10%
9/110/1
Barcelona 2-1
6%
14/112/112/112/1
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
11/123/2
Draw 2-2
6%
11/111/111/123/2
Barcelona 1-0
6%
18/1
12%
18/1
12%
16/115/1
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
14/114/114/115/1
Draw 0-0
5%
20/1
24%
18/1
12%
16/117/1
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
16/1
11%
16/1
11%
16/117/1
Barcelona 2-0
3%
25/128/125/120/1
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
20/1
9%
22/1
12%
22/122/1
Barcelona 3-1
3%
28/133/128/125/1
Barcelona 3-2
2%
28/128/125/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2
4%
4/9
6%
8/15
2%
8/15
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
13/8
10%
31/20
7%
11/8
5%
29/20
Home 1st Goal
53%
1/24/7
3%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
44%
8/58/5
2%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1
24%
18/1
12%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1/2
2%
1/28/158/15
BTTS - No
40%
6/4
5%
6/4
4%
11/87/5
BTTS - Home Win
28%
15/8
7%
9/5
7%
2/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/57/2-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
7%
5/15/1-
Home/draw
75%
1/5
2%
1/5
2%
2/96/25
Away/draw
48%
21/2011/10
5%
21/2021/20
Home/away
77%
2/9
2%
1/41/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/7
3%
1/7
3%
1/61/7
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
7/217/4
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
11/10
9%
23/20
7%
5/411/8
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
8/11
7%
8/13
3%
4/74/7
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
11/4
6%
13/5
10%
3/116/5
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/7
3%
1/4
2%
2/911/50
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
11/2
19%
11/2
13%
6/17/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/9
3%
1/10
2%
1/121/14
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/401/40
1%
-1/100
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/118/1
12%
-16/1
Home DNB
68%
1/31/3
2%
1/34/11
Away DNB
41%
9/49/4
8%
9/421/10
Real Madrid win to nil
25%
11/4
7%
27/105/2-
Barcelona win to nil
11%
9/19/1
5%
8/1
5%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
31%
13/8
5%
7/4
5%
13/87/4
Real Madrid / Barcelona
3%
28/133/133/135/1
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/114/114/113/1
Draw / Real Madrid
17%
4/115/44/121/5
Draw / Barcelona
9%
17/29/1
11%
9/117/2
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
11/211/223/4
Barcelona / Real Madrid
4%
16/1
11%
18/1
10%
18/119/1
Barcelona / Barcelona
12%
11/27/1
7%
11/211/2
Barcelona / Draw
6%
14/114/114/113/1
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table. Real Madrid are unbeaten at home after 15 games and have kept 9 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below in the table, having won 24, drawn 6 and lost 1 match. They have kept 16 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 67 goals to 62 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 15 games at home winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 37 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Barcelona are in 2nd position in the La Liga on 70 points having played 31 matches so far this season. Barcelona have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games. Barcelona are unbeaten away after 15 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Away League Performance

zero of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Barcelona have conceded 2 goals, scored 1, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Real Madrid
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Barcelona
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
-
 Real Madrid H3326614984 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-2A
 Barcelona Away3322742973 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Girona3322562971 
l
 
2-4A
May 4
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
 A.Madrid3320492364 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
 A.Bilbao33161072058 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
 R.Sociedad33131281151 
May 13
w
 
0-1F
May 26
d
 
1-1F
 Real Betis3312138249 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
5-1F
d
 
2-2A
 Valencia3313812-147 
w
 
4-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-1F
May 19
 Villarreal3312912-145 
l
 
3-5A
w
 
3-4F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Getafe33101310-443 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
w
 
2-4F
 Osasuna3311616-1239 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
May 14
w
 
0-1F
 Alaves3310815-738 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Sevilla3391113-438 
w
 
1-0F
May 26
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
 Las Palmas3310716-1137 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
 R.Vallecano3371313-1534 
May 19
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Mallorca3361413-1232 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Celta3371016-1331 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-2F
May 4
w
 
0-3F
 Cadiz3341415-2326 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 11
 Granada334920-2521 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-3A
 Almeria3311121-3514 
w
 
3-2F
May 16
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
3
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Barcelona 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
12
18
Games: Scored
5 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
4 / 9
RMD
4
BCN
5
All league games since 2014
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
27
34
Games: Scored
14 / 19
17 / 19
Clean sheets
2 / 19
5 / 19
RMD
8
D
3
BCN
8
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 19 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.9 against FC Barcelona on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Real Madrid 1st Barcelona 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Barcelona will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Real Madrid have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+15
Barcelona have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261543/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Barcelona
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
8%
better
RMD
BCN
view stats
Games scored32
31
Failed to score1
2
Scored first22
23
Goals scored71
68
Avg. goals scored2.2
2.1
Avg. shots per game12
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate18%
17%
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
21%
better
RMD
BCN
view stats
Games conceded16
19
Clean sheets17
14
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded22
39
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
7
Conversion rate9%
15%
KickOff rating
+21%

Real Madrid v Barcelona La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291677
F ValverdeJ BellinghamF ValverdeA Rüdiger
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lunin GLK19
2
-
L Vázquez DEF2413
-
A Tchouameni DEF2531
6
-
A Rüdiger DEF271
7
-
E Camavinga DEF241
7
-
F Valverde MID3117
2
-
T Kroos MID2917
3
-
L Modric MID2624
1
-
J Bellingham MID24164
5
1
V Junior FWD21124
5
-
Rodrygo FWD30105
2
-
Subs
K Arrizabalaga GLK12
1
-
M Luis GLK
-
D Carvajal DEF2442
3
-
F Mendy DEF21
5
-
F García DEF204
1
-
Éder Militão DEF3
-
N Fernández DEF23
2
2
D Ceballos MID141
1
-
B Díaz MID2653
-
A Güler MID51
-
Joselu FWD2982
1
-
Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271387
I GündoganR Lewandowski R Lewandowski F Jong
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Stegen GLK21
3
-
J Koundé DEF2812
2
-
R Araújo DEF211
5
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF12
1
-
J Cancelo DEF2523
5
-
I Gündogan MID3056
4
-
A Christensen MID232
4
-
F Jong MID192
7
-
L Yamal FWD3043
2
-
R Lewandowski  FWD28138
5
-
Raphinha FWD2357
2
1
Subs
I Peña GLK10
-
D. Kochen GLK
-
I Martínez  DEF15
5
-
M Alonso DEF5
-
S Roberto DEF931
3
-
H. García DEF51
-
Pedri MID1722
3
-
F. Lopez Marin MID243
2
-
O Romeu MID241
4
-
F Torres FWD2372
2
-
J Félix FWD2473
3
-
V Roque FWD112
2
-