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Real Madrid v Alaves : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 24th Sep, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid side will have home backing in the La Liga on Tuesday night, as Luis Garcia's Alaves visit the Santiago Bernabéu. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to La Liga match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

A La Liga victory in front of their own fans for Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Real Madrid win is our recommendation, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 78% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
78%
2/9
2%
2/9
Draw
14%
21/4
4%
11/2
8%
Alaves
8%
11/1
9%
12/1
Real Madrid 2-0
13%
11/219/4
4%
Real Madrid 3-0
11%
13/211/2
7%
Real Madrid 1-0
10%
7/16/1
8%
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
7/1
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
10/117/2
Real Madrid 4-0
7%
10/1
8%
17/2
Draw 1-1
7%
11/1
9%
10/1
10%
Real Madrid 4-1
5%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/112/1
Real Madrid 5-0
4%
20/114/1
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Alaves 1-0
3%
22/118/1
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Real Madrid 5-1
2%
28/120/1
Alaves 2-1
2%
28/1
12%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
4/78/15
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
11/811/8
3%
Home 1st Goal
64%
1/6
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
34%
4/1
5%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
11/10
2%
6/5
2%
BTTS - No
54%
4/6
2%
8/13
2%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
2/119/10
BTTS - Draw
11%
7/1
7%
7/1
7%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
Home/draw
92%
1/201/33
Away/draw
22%
3/1
7%
16/5
5%
Home/away
85%
1/81/9
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/61/6
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/118/5
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
11/813/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
4/711/20
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
10/329/10
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/92/9
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/121/12
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Home DNB
88%
1/14
1%
1/25
Away DNB
18%
8/1
13%
17/2
Real Madrid win to nil
46%
10/11
5%
-
Alaves win to nil
4%
18/1
12%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
47%
8/11
4%
7/10
2%
Real Madrid / Alaves
2%
40/150/1
11%
Real Madrid / Draw
4%
20/118/1
Draw / Real Madrid
21%
11/429/10
3%
Draw / Alaves
4%
20/118/1
Draw / Draw
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
Alaves / Real Madrid
4%
18/118/1
Alaves / Alaves
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Alaves / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
20/1
11%
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Real Madrid
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Alaves
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Oct 27
May 11
 Barcelona55001315 
Oct 6
Feb 2
Feb 9
Sep 29
 A.Madrid5320711 
May 4
Nov 24
-
-
 Real Madrid H5320711 
Apr 13
Sep 24
Oct 5
Mar 16
 Villarreal5320311 
Mar 9
Nov 10
Sep 24
Apr 13
 Alaves Away6312210 
-
-
Apr 20
Jan 11
 A.Bilbao6312210 
Dec 15
May 11
May 4
Oct 19
 Celta530239 
Jan 26
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 2
 Real Betis522118 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 19
May 14
d
 
1-1F
 Mallorca622208 
Nov 3
Mar 2
Mar 9
Dec 15
 R.Vallecano521217 
Mar 30
Oct 27
Feb 23
Dec 8
 Girona521207 
Jan 11
Apr 6
Sep 21
Feb 2
 Espanyol521207 
Feb 23
l
 
3-2A
Nov 10
Feb 16
 Osasuna5212-47 
May 25
Dec 8
Dec 22
May 18
 Sevilla6123-35 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
Mar 30
Nov 24
 Leganes6123-45 
Dec 1
Feb 16
May 25
w
 
0-2F
 R.Sociedad6114-44 
Apr 23
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 26
 Valladolid5113-114 
Oct 18
May 18
Dec 1
Apr 23
 Getafe5032-23 
Feb 9
Sep 28
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
 Las Palmas5023-42 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
Apr 6
Nov 3
 Valencia5014-71 
May 14
Dec 22
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Real Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
Real Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid4 - 0Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid4 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 2Almeria
Real Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
Real Madrid4 - 1Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Granada
Real Madrid5 - 1Valencia
Real Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
AReal Madrid1 - 1Las Palmas
HReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
AReal Madrid1 - 1Mallorca
HReal Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
AReal Madrid4 - 4Villarreal
HReal Madrid5 - 0Alaves
AReal Madrid4 - 0Granada
HReal Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
AReal Madrid1 - 0R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HReal Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid4 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 0Celta
AReal Madrid2 - 2Valencia
HReal Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid1 - 1R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Girona
Alaves 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Espanyol3 - 2Alaves
R.Sociedad1 - 2Alaves
Celta2 - 1Alaves
Las Palmas1 - 1Alaves
Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
Valencia0 - 1Alaves
Granada2 - 0Alaves
A.Bilbao2 - 0Alaves
Osasuna1 - 0Alaves
Real Betis0 - 0Alaves
Almeria0 - 3Alaves
Sevilla2 - 3Alaves
R.Sociedad1 - 1Alaves
Girona3 - 0Alaves
Mallorca0 - 0Alaves
Barcelona2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
Villarreal1 - 1Alaves
Celta1 - 1Alaves
R.Vallecano2 - 0Alaves
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlaves2 - 1Sevilla
AAlaves2 - 3Espanyol
HAlaves2 - 0Las Palmas
AAlaves2 - 1R.Sociedad
HAlaves0 - 0Real Betis
AAlaves1 - 2Celta
AAlaves1 - 1Las Palmas
HAlaves1 - 0Getafe
AAlaves0 - 5Real Madrid
HAlaves2 - 2Girona
AAlaves1 - 0Valencia
HAlaves3 - 0Celta
HAlaves2 - 0A.Madrid
AAlaves0 - 2Granada
HAlaves0 - 1R.Sociedad
AAlaves0 - 2A.Bilbao
HAlaves1 - 0R.Vallecano
AAlaves0 - 1Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 1Mallorca
AAlaves0 - 0Real Betis
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Real Madrid have beaten Alaves in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
Real Madrid have not lost to Alaves in 5 consecutive league meetings
3
Real Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Alaves
League games at Real Madrid since 2017
Real Madrid
Alaves
Goals: Scored
21
2
Games: Scored
7 / 7
1 / 7
Clean sheets
6 / 7
0 / 7
RMD
6
ALV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid5 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
1 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
League games at Alaves since 2016
Alaves
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
6
17
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
RMD
6
ALV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
0 - 1Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 0
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive La Liga outings. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

Real Madrid 3rd Alaves 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
25%
There is a 72% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 50% probability that Alaves will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Real Madrid have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Alaves’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278237/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Alaves
2.6
0.7
Attack rating
18%
better
RMD
ALV
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score0
1
Scored first4
3
Goals scored9
9
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for2.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
48%
better
RMD
ALV
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded2
7
Avg. goals conceded0.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded18
7
Conversion rate against6%
14%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+48%

Real Madrid v Alaves La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5312
T CourtoisK MbappéÉder MilitãoÉder Militão
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK5
-
A Rüdiger DEF5
-
D Carvajal DEF5
1
-
Éder Militão DEF51
2
-
L Modric MID5
1
-
B Díaz MID511
-
F Valverde MID511
-
V Junior FWD521
1
-
Rodrygo FWD511
-
K Mbappé FWD53
-
F Mendy DEF4
1
1
A Tchouameni MID4
-
A Güler MID4
1
-
Endrick FWD41
-
L Vázquez DEF3
-
F García DEF3
-
D Ceballos MID2
-
J Bellingham MID1
-
Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6212
A SiveraC VicenteA BlancoA Sivera
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK6
2
-
A Abqar DEF6
2
-
J Guridi MID6
2
-
A Blanco MID61
-
A Guevara MID6
-
K García FWD61
-
C Vicente FWD62
-
Stoichkov FWD61
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF511
-
M Sánchez DEF5
2
-
A Sedlar DEF4
1
1
T Martínez FWD42
-
T Conechny FWD41
2
-
M Diarra DEF3
-
C Benavídez MID3
-
C Martín FWD31
-
L Romero FWD3
-
H Novoa FWD3
-
A Villalibre FWD31
-
S Mouriño DEF2
-
J Jordán MID21
-
A Rebbach FWD2
1
-
A. Hernández Hernández DEF1
-