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Celta de Vigo v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 26th Sep, 20:00 BST, Balaídos, Vigo, Pontevedra

Home advantage can be vital in the La Liga, and Claudio Giráldez González’s Celta de Vigo will have the blessing of it on Thursday night. Diego Simeone’s Atletico de Madrid are their opponents at the Balaídos. We've got odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. You can access it all using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Celta and A.Madrid will score at least two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of A.Madrid coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Celta
31%
11/5
16%
11/5
15%
Draw
24%
5/2
5%
5/2
7%
A.Madrid
45%
23/20
13%
6/5
15%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
A.Madrid 1-0
8%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Celta 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
A.Madrid 2-0
7%
10/1
10%
9/1
11%
Celta 1-0
7%
11/1
8%
17/2
14%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Celta 2-0
4%
16/1
19%
12/1
24%
A.Madrid 3-0
4%
20/1
24%
14/1
15%
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
22/118/1
12%
Celta 3-1
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Celta 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
4%
3/4
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
5%
19/20
5%
Home 1st Goal
46%
13/10
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/6
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
8/13
3%
13/20
1%
BTTS - No
41%
6/5
5%
11/10
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
15%
17/4
13%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
4%
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3/1
11%
29/10
11%
Home/draw
55%
4/6
9%
4/6
10%
Away/draw
69%
4/11
9%
7/20
8%
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3/1
8%
27/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2/1
9%
15/8
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
2/5
3%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
3%
1/7
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Home DNB
47%
5/4
18%
5/4
17%
Away DNB
62%
4/7
12%
4/7
12%
Celta win to nil
14%
5/1
14%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
22%
3/1
14%
-
Celta / Celta
16%
4/1
17%
4/1
13%
Celta / A.Madrid
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Celta / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Celta
11%
6/1
18%
6/1
13%
Draw / A.Madrid
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
4/1
9%
A.Madrid / Celta
3%
28/122/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
23%
5/2
13%
12/5
17%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win La Liga table
Celta
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
A.Madrid
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Nov 24
Apr 20
 Barcelona55001315 
Mar 16
Dec 22
Sep 26
Feb 16
 A.Madrid Away5320711 
-
-
Oct 19
May 4
 Real Madrid5320711 
Sep 29
Feb 9
Apr 23
l
 
4-3F
 Villarreal5320311 
Jan 26
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1A
Jan 26
 Alaves6312210 
Nov 24
May 4
Jan 19
Sep 22
 A.Bilbao6312210 
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
-
-
 Celta Home530239 
Feb 16
Sep 26
Feb 9
Nov 10
 Real Betis522118 
May 18
Oct 27
Dec 8
Apr 6
 Mallorca622208 
Feb 2
Nov 10
May 18
Jan 11
 R.Vallecano521217 
Apr 23
Sep 22
Sep 29
Mar 2
 Girona521207 
w
 
3-0F
May 25
Apr 13
Dec 1
 Espanyol521207 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
Feb 23
l
 
3-2A
 Osasuna5212-47 
Jan 11
May 14
May 11
Dec 15
 Sevilla6123-35 
Dec 8
Apr 6
Mar 9
Oct 27
 Leganes6123-45 
Oct 20
Jan 19
Dec 22
May 14
 R.Sociedad6114-44 
May 11
Oct 6
w
 
3-1F
Mar 16
 Valladolid5113-114 
Apr 13
Dec 1
Nov 3
May 25
 Getafe5032-23 
Dec 15
Mar 9
Mar 30
Oct 5
 Las Palmas5023-42 
Nov 3
Apr 20
w
 
3-1A
Feb 2
 Valencia5014-71 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
Win / draw / win form
3
Celta have won 3 consecutive home league games
9
Celta have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
Celta 7TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta3 - 1Valladolid
Celta3 - 1Valencia
Celta2 - 1Alaves
Celta2 - 2Valencia
Celta2 - 1A.Bilbao
Celta3 - 2Villarreal
Celta4 - 1Las Palmas
Celta0 - 0R.Vallecano
Celta1 - 0Almeria
Celta1 - 2Barcelona
Celta0 - 1Girona
Celta0 - 1R.Sociedad
Celta2 - 1Real Betis
Celta1 - 0Granada
Celta1 - 1Cadiz
Celta1 - 1Sevilla
Celta0 - 3A.Madrid
Celta2 - 2Getafe
Celta1 - 1Alaves
Celta0 - 1Mallorca
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCelta3 - 1Valladolid
ACelta2 - 3Osasuna
ACelta3 - 4Villarreal
HCelta3 - 1Valencia
HCelta2 - 1Alaves
HCelta2 - 2Valencia
ACelta2 - 1Granada
HCelta2 - 1A.Bilbao
ACelta0 - 1A.Madrid
HCelta3 - 2Villarreal
ACelta0 - 3Alaves
HCelta4 - 1Las Palmas
ACelta1 - 2Real Betis
HCelta0 - 0R.Vallecano
ACelta2 - 1Sevilla
ACelta0 - 4Real Madrid
HCelta1 - 0Almeria
ACelta2 - 2Cadiz
HCelta1 - 2Barcelona
ACelta2 - 3Getafe
A.Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
Villarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 2A.Madrid
Getafe0 - 3A.Madrid
Mallorca0 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves2 - 0A.Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2A.Madrid
Cadiz2 - 0A.Madrid
Almeria2 - 2A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 0A.Madrid
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Granada0 - 1A.Madrid
Girona4 - 3A.Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 0A.Madrid
Las Palmas2 - 1A.Madrid
Celta0 - 3A.Madrid
Osasuna0 - 2A.Madrid
Valencia3 - 0A.Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 7A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
AA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
HA.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
HA.Madrid3 - 0Girona
AA.Madrid2 - 2Villarreal
AA.Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
HA.Madrid1 - 4Osasuna
AA.Madrid3 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid1 - 0Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid0 - 2Alaves
HA.Madrid3 - 1Girona
AA.Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HA.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
AA.Madrid0 - 2Cadiz
HA.Madrid2 - 1Real Betis
AA.Madrid2 - 2Almeria
HA.Madrid5 - 0Las Palmas
AA.Madrid0 - 1Sevilla
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
A.Madrid have beaten Celta in 6 consecutive league meetings
11
A.Madrid have not lost to Celta in 11 consecutive league meetings
3
A.Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Celta
League games at Celta since 2015
Celta
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
6
16
Games: Scored
4 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
6 / 10
CEL
2
D
1
ATM
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Celta
0 - 3A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
1 - 2A.Madrid
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
Celta2 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
0 - 4A.Madrid
0 - 2A.Madrid
Celta2 - 0
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Celta
Goals: Scored
21
7
Games: Scored
9 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
1 / 10
D
3
ATM
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid4 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday night, not least because Celta de Vigo have conceded in each of their last 13 La Liga outings. A PG of 1.7 for Diego Simeone's side suggests that run should continue.

Celta 7th A.Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Celta will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Celta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278236/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Celta
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
26%
better
CEL
ATM
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score0
1
Scored first2
3
Goals scored13
9
Avg. goals scored2.6
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for28
17
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
CEL
ATM
71%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
1
Clean sheets0
4
Conceded first3
1
Goals conceded10
2
Avg. goals conceded2
0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
16
Conversion rate against21%
6%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.7
KickOff rating
+71%

Celta v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Celta La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5332
Óscar MinguezaB IglesiasÓscar MinguezaD Rodríguez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Starfelt DEF51
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF523
1
-
W Swedberg MID511
1
-
Jailson  MID5
-
D Rodríguez MID5
2
-
H Álvarez MID511
2
-
A Douvikas FWD51
-
B Iglesias FWD53
-
I Aspas FWD522
1
-
I Villar GLK4
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF4
1
-
F Beltrán MID41
-
C Domínguez DEF3
-
I Moriba MID3
1
-
J Bamba FWD3
1
-
J Manquillo DEF2
-
S Carreira DEF2
-
H Sotelo MID2
1
-
A González FWD2
1
P Durán FWD21
-
V Guaita GLK1
-
J Aidoo DEF1
-
M Alonso DEF1
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
R NormandM LlorenteA GriezmannKoke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Normand DEF5
1
-
R Mandava DEF5
-
S Lino MID51
1
-
R Paul MID51
1
-
Koke MID51
2
-
M Llorente MID521
-
J Álvarez FWD51
-
A Sörloth FWD511
-
A Griezmann FWD522
-
Ángel Correa FWD51
-
J Oblak GLK4
-
C Azpilicueta DEF4
-
J Giménez DEF4
-
P Barrios MID41
1
-
R Riquelme FWD4
-
C Gallagher MID31
-
A Witsel DEF2
-
N Molina DEF2
-
J Musso GLK1
-