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Greenock Morton FC v Falkirk : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 21st Feb, 19:45 BST, Cappielow Park, Greenock

Dougie Imrie and John McGlynn pit their wits in the Championship on Friday evening, as Greenock Morton FC face Falkirk at the Cappielow Park. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of Greenock and Falkirk serving up at least a couple of goals in this Championship tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Falkirk coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Greenock
33%
9/2
5%
-
Draw
26%
5/2
3%
-
Falkirk
42%
8/13
1%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
-
Falkirk 1-0
10%
11/2
13%
-
Falkirk 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Greenock 1-0
8%
14/1-
Greenock 2-1
8%
18/1
12%
-
Falkirk 2-0
7%
13/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
8/1
18%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
13%
-
Greenock 2-0
5%
28/1-
Falkirk 3-1
4%
14/1
15%
-
Falkirk 3-0
3%
10/1
8%
-
Greenock 3-1
3%
40/1-
Falkirk 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
-
Greenock 3-2
2%
50/1
24%
-
Greenock 3-0
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
19/20
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
17/20
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
12/5
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
2/5-
No 1st Goal
4%
8/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
10/11
6%
-
BTTS - No
45%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
10/1
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
11/4
7%
-
Home/draw
58%
6/5
2%
-
Away/draw
67%
1/8
2%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/7
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/2
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5
24%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
3/10
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
18%
-
Home DNB
51%
3/1-
Away DNB
60%
2/9-
Greenock win to nil
17%
9/1-
Falkirk win to nil
22%
6/4
9%
-
Greenock / Greenock
10%
15/2
6%
-
Greenock / Falkirk
4%
22/1-
Greenock / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Greenock
8%
10/1-
Draw / Falkirk
19%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Falkirk / Greenock
2%
40/1-
Falkirk / Falkirk
33%
6/4-
Falkirk / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win Championship table

Greenock have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 6 and won 1. Greenock have conceded 15 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Greenock have played 11 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Falkirk lay in 1st place on 50 points in the Championship league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Falkirk have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Falkirk have played 11 away games, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Greenock
Falkirk
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Falkirk A242450 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
6-0A
Feb 21
Apr 5
-
-
-
-
2
Ayr United242048 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
l
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 12
3
Livingston241546 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
Feb 25
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
-
4
Partick25036 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
5-2F
Apr 26
5
Greenock H23-231 
-
-
-
-
w
 
6-0F
w
 
2-3A
Apr 5
Feb 21
6
Raith Rovers23-530 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
Mar 25
Apr 26
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
7
Queen's Park24-229 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 22
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
8
Hamilton24-1624 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
May 2
Mar 1
9
Dunfermline24-823 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
Mar 1
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
d
 
3-3A
10
Airdrieonians23-2613 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 19
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
Mar 4
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Greenock 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Falkirk 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Greenock since 2015
Greenock
Falkirk
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
6 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
3 / 9
GRE
1
D
4
FKK
4
League games at Falkirk since 2015
Falkirk
Greenock
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
5 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
4 / 9
GRE
3
D
2
FKK
4
Goal Statistics
Greenock 5th Falkirk 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Greenock will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Falkirk will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Greenock ’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+16
Falkirk have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282190/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Greenock
PG (predicted goals)
Falkirk
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
GRE
FKK
36%
better
view stats
Games scored12
20
Failed to score10
4
Scored first9
16
Goals scored23
47
Avg. goals scored1
2
Avg. shots per game7
14
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
GRE
FKK
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
13
Clean sheets8
11
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded27
23
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+10%

Greenock v Falkirk Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Greenock Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23546
A LyallF StuparevićA LyallI Wilson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Blues MID2031
5
-
A Lyall MID2014
1
-
J Baird DEF192
4
-
Z Delaney DEF1911
4
-
J Davies FWD181
1
-
O Moffat FWD1811
2
-
M Garrity FWD1731
3
-
I Wilson MID161
5
1
M Boyes DEF152
6
-
C Ballantyne DEF141
4
-
L Reynolds FWD1411
1
-
G Gillespie MID13
2
-
F Stuparević FWD1351
3
-
N McGinn FWD131
1
-
R Mullen GLK12
2
-
S Ceci DEF111
3
-
A Crawford MID111
1
-
N Shaw MID822
-
G Woods GLK4
-
L. O'Boy MID2
-
T Adeloye FWD21
-
Falkirk Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24666
N. HogarthB SpencerC MillerL Henderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N. Hogarth GLK21
1
-
K. Adams DEF2123
2
-
L Henderson DEF214
6
-
E Ross MID2142
1
-
C Miller MID2156
-
B Spencer MID2162
6
-
D Tait MID2022
6
-
G Oliver FWD2021
2
-
F. Yeats MID19
1
-
A. Agyeman FWD1941
2
-
A Nesbitt MID1722
3
-
L. Graham DEF141
1
1
R MacIver FWD1431
2
-
L Mccann DEF111
-
C Donaldson DEF101
-
S Mackie DEF1021
5
-
B. Stewart FWD4
1
-
T Lang DEF2
1
-
S Arfield MID24
-
D O'Connor DEF1
-
E Brophy FWD1
-