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Ayr United v Livingston : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Feb, 15:00 BST, Somerset Park, Ayr

David Martindale leads his Livingston team to the Somerset Park in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, with Scott Brown's Ayr United the opponent. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Ayr United and Livingston combined during 90 mins. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of it coming in. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ayr United are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
46%
5/4
18%
5/4
Draw
27%
23/10
6%
21/10
Livingston
28%
9/5
20%
9/5
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
Ayr United 1-0
12%
13/2
15%
11/2
Livingston 1-0
9%
15/2
11%
13/2
Ayr United 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Ayr United 2-0
9%
10/1
29%
17/2
Livingston 2-1
7%
10/1
15%
17/2
Livingston 2-0
5%
12/1
32%
11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
Ayr United 3-1
4%
20/1
24%
14/1
Ayr United 3-0
4%
20/1
40%
16/1
Livingston 3-1
2%
25/1
24%
18/1
Ayr United 3-2
2%
33/120/1
Livingston 3-0
2%
28/1
29%
20/1
Livingston 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
11/10
2%
21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
7/10
2%
13/20
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
5/4
18%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
5/6
9%
17/20
BTTS - No
51%
5/6
6%
5/6
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1
5%
19/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
14%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
5/1
25%
19/4
Home/draw
72%
1/3
9%
2/5
Away/draw
54%
8/15
15%
4/7
Home/away
73%
1/4
2%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
4/111/3
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
2/19/5
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
11/4
6%
5/2
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/4
2%
2/9
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/121/16
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/500
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
6%
13/2
Home DNB
64%
4/6
16%
4/6
Away DNB
46%
11/10
20%
11/10
Ayr United win to nil
27%
11/4
25%
-
Livingston win to nil
16%
7/2
25%
-
Ayr United / Ayr United
22%
11/4
21%
27/10
Ayr United / Livingston
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Ayr United / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
Draw / Ayr United
15%
9/2
16%
17/4
Draw / Livingston
13%
11/2
19%
11/2
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
Livingston / Ayr United
3%
28/120/1
Livingston / Livingston
17%
15/4
27%
18/5
Livingston / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Ayr United have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Ayr United have played 12 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Livingston are in 3rd position in the Championship on 46 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Livingston have conceded 3 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Livingston
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Falkirk242450 
w
 
5-2A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
-
w
 
1-2F
2
Ayr United H242048 
-
-
-
-
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
Apr 19
Feb 22
3
Livingston A241546 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
Feb 22
Apr 19
-
-
-
-
4
Partick25036 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
Feb 28
5
Greenock 23-231 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 25
Apr 12
6
Raith Rovers23-530 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
l
 
2-1F
7
Queen's Park24-229 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Mar 4
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
8
Hamilton24-1624 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 26
9
Dunfermline24-823 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
10
Airdrieonians23-2613 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
May 2
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
Ayr United have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
Ayr United 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United2 - 1Partick
Ayr United3 - 0Raith Rovers
Ayr United0 - 0Greenock
Ayr United5 - 2Falkirk
Ayr United1 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United3 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 2Livingston
Ayr United1 - 0Greenock
Ayr United1 - 1Partick
Ayr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
Ayr United3 - 2Hamilton
Ayr United5 - 0Airdrieonians
Ayr United3 - 3Dunfermline
Ayr United5 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United1 - 1Greenock
Ayr United2 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United4 - 3Partick
Ayr United1 - 2Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 2Dundee Utd
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAyr United2 - 2Falkirk
AAyr United2 - 0Hamilton
HAyr United2 - 1Partick
AAyr United2 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United3 - 0Raith Rovers
HAyr United0 - 0Greenock
AAyr United1 - 0Livingston
HAyr United5 - 2Falkirk
AAyr United0 - 1Partick
HAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United3 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United0 - 2Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 2Livingston
AAyr United0 - 2Falkirk
HAyr United1 - 0Greenock
AAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 1Partick
AAyr United1 - 1Dunfermline
Livingston 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Falkirk1 - 2Livingston
Queen's Park2 - 0Livingston
Raith Rovers2 - 1Livingston
Airdrieonians0 - 3Livingston
Greenock 0 - 0Livingston
Hamilton1 - 3Livingston
Dunfermline3 - 0Livingston
Ayr United1 - 2Livingston
Falkirk0 - 0Livingston
Partick0 - 0Livingston
Raith Rovers0 - 1Livingston
Queen's Park1 - 1Livingston
Aberdeen5 - 1Livingston
Motherwell4 - 1Livingston
Hearts4 - 2Livingston
Hibernian3 - 0Livingston
St. Johnstone1 - 1Livingston
Ross County3 - 2Livingston
Kilmarnock1 - 0Livingston
Rangers3 - 0Livingston
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLivingston0 - 0Dunfermline
ALivingston2 - 1Falkirk
HLivingston3 - 0Hamilton
HLivingston2 - 1Airdrieonians
ALivingston0 - 2Queen's Park
ALivingston1 - 2Raith Rovers
HLivingston0 - 1Ayr United
ALivingston3 - 0Airdrieonians
HLivingston2 - 0Partick
ALivingston0 - 0Greenock
HLivingston1 - 0Falkirk
ALivingston3 - 1Hamilton
HLivingston1 - 1Queen's Park
ALivingston0 - 3Dunfermline
HLivingston2 - 1Raith Rovers
ALivingston2 - 1Ayr United
ALivingston0 - 0Falkirk
ALivingston0 - 0Partick
HLivingston2 - 1Airdrieonians
HLivingston3 - 0Hamilton
Goal Statistics
Ayr United 2nd Livingston 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Livingston will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+40
Ayr United have scored 40% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Livingston’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282188/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Livingston
1.4
1
Attack rating
17%
better
AYR
LIV
view stats
Games scored20
17
Failed to score4
7
Scored first15
15
Goals scored40
32
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
AYR
LIV
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
13
Clean sheets11
11
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded20
17
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
11
Conversion rate against12%
9%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+12%

Ayr United v Livingston Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241268
G StangerG OakleyJ HendersonB Dempsey
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Stanger DEF2021
5
-
J Henderson MID2076
-
G Oakley FWD20121
5
-
B Dempsey MID1921
8
-
P Reading DEF17
1
-
M McKenzie FWD172
-
M Rus MID1613
4
-
N McAllister DEF151
5
1
S McMann DEF151
2
-
J Murphy MID1511
1
-
D Watret DEF1422
2
-
J Hastie FWD131
1
-
F Musonda DEF121
3
-
L. Russell GLK11
-
C McLennan FWD1123
4
-
E Walker FWD91
1
-
H Stone GLK8
-
M Devlin  DEF6
4
-
A Dowds FWD65
-
C McKinnon MID3
-
L. Agbaire DEF2
1
-
C Main FWD2
-
D. Craig MID1
-
Livingston Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24638
R McGowanR MuirheadS PittmanJ Brandon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Kelly MID2121
4
-
R McGowan DEF19
5
-
J Brandon DEF191
8
-
A Shinnie FWD1811
4
-
S Pittman FWD1843
4
-
D Finlayson DEF172
3
-
M Nottingham DEF171
4
-
S May FWD1751
4
-
J Prior GLK16
2
-
R Muirhead FWD166
5
-
M Clarke DEF1521
5
-
R McAlear MID1511
1
-
L Smith MID1323
4
-
T Yengi FWD1322
5
-
L Sole MID111
2
-
C Montano DEF911
1
-
D Wilson DEF61
4
1
R Fraser DEF31
1
-
M Tait MID3
-
S. Adeniran Lawal MID2
-
M. Ubochioma FWD2
-
S. Culbert FWD1
1
-