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Vitoria Guimaraes v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 18:00 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Vitoria Guimaraes are in Liga NOS action on Saturday evening, as Rui Manuel Gomes Borges attempts to outsmart Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves and his FC Porto side at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. You can access it all using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. V. Guimaraes and Porto have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
25%
3/1
24%
13/5
35%
Draw
26%
11/59/4
2%
Porto
49%
1/1
18%
11/10
20%
Porto 1-0
12%
11/2
18%
11/2
24%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
Porto 2-0
9%
8/1
29%
15/2
21%
Porto 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1
14%
6/1
8%
V. Guimaraes 1-0
8%
9/1
9%
15/2
15%
V. Guimaraes 2-1
6%
12/1
32%
10/1
27%
Porto 3-0
5%
16/1
31%
14/1
36%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
21%
12/1
24%
Porto 3-1
5%
16/114/1
15%
V. Guimaraes 2-0
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
29%
Porto 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
V. Guimaraes 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
32%
Porto 4-0
2%
40/1
41%
28/1
38%
Porto 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
23/20
9%
23/20
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
4/6
6%
13/20
5%
Home 1st Goal
43%
13/8
19%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/13
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/20
7%
10/11
13%
BTTS - No
51%
4/5
8%
4/5
11%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
7/1
33%
6/1
30%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
10%
17/5
12%
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/4
6%
17/5
2%
Home/draw
51%
4/5
14%
7/10
17%
Away/draw
75%
2/9
4%
2/7
13%
Home/away
74%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/11
3%
4/11
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/1
9%
15/8
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1
8%
11/4
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/9
2%
1/4
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8/1
10%
13/2
12%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/80
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
3%
1/14
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
29%
13/2
15%
Home DNB
43%
13/8
30%
6/4
32%
Away DNB
67%
4/9
15%
10/21
18%
V. Guimaraes win to nil
14%
5/1
25%
-
Porto win to nil
29%
9/4
30%
-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
14%
5/1
29%
19/4
32%
V. Guimaraes / Porto
3%
25/120/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Draw / V. Guimaraes
11%
13/2
25%
13/2
21%
Draw / Porto
16%
4/1
15%
4/1
19%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/410/3
3%
Porto / V. Guimaraes
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Porto / Porto
24%
12/5
18%
23/10
22%
Porto / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
V. Guimaraes
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Porto
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Jan 5
May 17
 S. Lisbon55001715 
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
Sep 21
Feb 23
 Porto Away5401612 
-
-
-
-
 V. Guimaraes H5401412 
Feb 23
Sep 21
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
 Braga6321411 
Oct 6
Mar 9
Apr 19
Dec 8
 Benfica5311510 
Apr 6
Nov 10
w
 
2-1F
Feb 9
 Famalicao5311510 
Apr 19
Dec 8
Apr 6
Nov 10
 Santa Clara530219 
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
Nov 3
Mar 30
 Moreirense5212-17 
May 4
Dec 22
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
 AVS5212-17 
Mar 16
Oct 28
Dec 2
Apr 13
 Gil Vicente5131-16 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 19
Mar 2
Sep 28
 Casa Pia5203-36 
Dec 2
Apr 13
Apr 27
Dec 15
 Rio Ave5203-36 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
Oct 6
Mar 9
 Boavista5122-15 
Dec 29
May 11
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
 Estoril5122-35 
Nov 3
Mar 30
Dec 22
May 4
 Nacional6114-84 
May 17
Jan 5
Jan 19
w
 
0-1F
 Arouca5104-63 
Sep 29
Mar 2
Mar 16
Oct 27
 Estrela Amadora5023-52 
Dec 15
Apr 27
May 11
Dec 29
 Sporting Farense5005-100 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
V. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Famalicao
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes3 - 2S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Porto
V. Guimaraes5 - 0Chaves
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Portimonense
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Vizela
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Arouca
AV. Guimaraes3 - 1Arouca
HV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
AV. Guimaraes1 - 2Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Chaves
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes3 - 1Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1Portimonense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Vizela
Porto 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Santa Clara0 - 2Porto
Braga0 - 1Porto
Chaves0 - 3Porto
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Portimonense0 - 3Porto
Gil Vicente1 - 1Porto
Arouca3 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense1 - 3Porto
Boavista1 - 1Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Famalicao0 - 3Porto
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Porto
Vizela0 - 2Porto
Benfica1 - 0Porto
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave1 - 2Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Famalicao2 - 4Porto
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto2 - 1Sporting Farense
APorto0 - 2S. Lisbon
HPorto2 - 0Rio Ave
APorto2 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0Braga
HPorto2 - 1Boavista
APorto3 - 0Chaves
HPorto2 - 2S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 1Casa Pia
HPorto2 - 2Famalicao
HPorto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
APorto0 - 1Estoril
HPorto4 - 1Vizela
APorto3 - 0Portimonense
HPorto5 - 0Benfica
APorto1 - 1Gil Vicente
HPorto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 3Arouca
HPorto0 - 0Rio Ave
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Porto have beaten V. Guimaraes in 5 consecutive away league meetings
8
Porto have not lost to V. Guimaraes in 8 consecutive away league meetings
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Porto
Goals: Scored
5
12
Games: Scored
4 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
5 / 9
GUI
1
D
1
PTO
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
1 - 2Porto
0 - 1Porto
0 - 1Porto
2 - 3Porto
1 - 2Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Porto
0 - 2Porto
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
22
8
Games: Scored
9 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
0 / 9
GUI
2
PTO
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0
Porto2 - 1
Porto1 - 0
Porto3 - 0
2 - 3V. Guimaraes
Porto4 - 2
Porto3 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Goal Statistics
V. Guimaraes 3rd Porto 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285119/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1
1.5
Attack rating
GUI
PTO
10%
better
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first4
4
Goals scored6
9
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for1.5
2.2
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
14%
better
GUI
PTO
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded2
3
Avg. goals conceded0.4
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded15
10
Conversion rate against7%
10%
Avg. XG against0.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+14%

V. Guimaraes v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5123
B VarelaT Händel N OliveiraM Villanueva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK5
-
B Gaspar DEF5
1
-
T Borevkovic DEF5
2
-
J Mendes DEF5
1
-
T Händel  MID51
-
N Santos MID5
2
-
Samu MID5
-
N Oliveira FWD512
1
-
Chuchu FWD511
-
R Mangas DEF4
-
M Villanueva DEF4
3
-
Manu MID4
-
T Silva MID42
2
-
K César FWD411
1
-
T Arcanjo MID3
-
J Mendes MID31
-
Z Carlos DEF2
-
J Fernandes DEF2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD2
2
-
A Baio DEF1
-
T Ribeiro DEF11
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5423
D CostaGalenoI JaimeN González 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK5
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF5
-
O Silva DEF5
1
-
I Jaime MID522
-
A Varela MID5
1
-
N González  MID511
3
-
Galeno FWD54
1
-
D Namaso FWD51
1
-
G Borges FWD51
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF4
1
-
V Sousa MID4
-
F Navarro FWD4
-
Pepê FWD4
-
J Mário DEF3
-
S Eustaquio MID3
1
-
A Franco MID2
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD21
-
Wendell DEF1
-
N Pérez DEF1
-
M Grujić MID1
-