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Sporting Farense v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Sep, 18:00 BST, Estadio de Sao Luis, Faro

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga NOS, and José Albano Ferreira da Mota’s Sporting Farense will have the joy of it on Sunday evening. Daniel Sousa’s Arouca are their opponents at the Estadio de Sao Luis. For each and every Liga NOS fixture, KickOff explores the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Sporting Farense and Arouca will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither José Albano Ferreira da Mota or Daniel Sousa has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.30 equating to approximately a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sporting Farense
37%
17/10
4%
13/8
Draw
26%
21/10
3%
23/10
6%
Arouca
37%
17/10
3%
13/8
1%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Arouca 1-0
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
Sporting Farense 1-0
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
Sporting Farense 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Arouca 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2
5%
15/2
11%
Arouca 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Sporting Farense 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
Arouca 3-1
4%
20/116/1
13%
Sporting Farense 3-1
4%
20/116/1
13%
Arouca 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Sporting Farense 3-0
3%
25/120/1
11%
Sporting Farense 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Arouca 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
19/20
3%
10/11
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
17/20
3%
4/5
6%
Home 1st Goal
48%
1/1
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
1/1
2%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/4
5%
3/4
3%
BTTS - No
46%
1/1
5%
1/1
2%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2
10%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/116/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
9/2
10%
19/5
4%
Home/draw
63%
4/9
3%
10/21
Away/draw
63%
4/910/21
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/7
3%
3/10
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/2
7%
9/4
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
9/49/4
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/33/10
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/25/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/91/10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
15/2
11%
Home DNB
55%
5/617/20
Away DNB
55%
5/617/20
1%
Sporting Farense win to nil
19%
7/2
10%
-
Arouca win to nil
19%
7/2
10%
-
Sporting Farense / Sporting Farense
19%
10/316/5
5%
Sporting Farense / Arouca
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Sporting Farense / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Sporting Farense
14%
5/119/4
4%
Draw / Arouca
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
8%
Arouca / Sporting Farense
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Arouca / Arouca
19%
10/316/5
5%
Arouca / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Sporting Farense
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Arouca
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-5A
Feb 2
 S. Lisbon55001715 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 16
Feb 16
l
 
2-1A
 Porto5401612 
Mar 2
Sep 29
Dec 29
May 11
 V. Guimaraes5401412 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 19
Mar 16
Oct 27
 Braga6321411 
Nov 3
Mar 30
Nov 2
Mar 30
 Benfica5311510 
Dec 1
Apr 13
May 4
Dec 22
 Famalicao5311510 
Apr 6
Nov 9
May 17
Jan 5
 Santa Clara530219 
Dec 15
Apr 27
l
 
1-2A
Jan 19
 Moreirense5212-17 
Jan 26
l
 
3-1F
Mar 2
Sep 30
 AVS5212-17 
Oct 5
Mar 9
Dec 15
Apr 27
 Gil Vicente5131-16 
Dec 29
May 11
Apr 6
Nov 9
 Casa Pia5203-36 
May 4
Dec 22
Jan 26
l
 
1-0A
 Rio Ave5203-36 
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
Dec 8
 Boavista5122-15 
May 17
Jan 5
Oct 6
Mar 9
 Estoril5122-35 
Mar 16
Oct 26
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
 Nacional6114-84 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
Sep 22
Feb 23
 Arouca Away5104-63 
-
-
Nov 29
Apr 13
 Estrela Amadora5023-52 
Apr 19
Dec 8
-
-
 Sporting Farense H5005-100 
Feb 23
Sep 22
Win / draw / win form
7
Sporting Farense have lost 7 consecutive league games
3
Arouca have lost 3 consecutive away league games
7
Sporting Farense have not won in 7 consecutive league games
5
Arouca have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Sporting Farense 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sporting Farense0 - 5S. Lisbon
Sporting Farense1 - 2Moreirense
Sporting Farense1 - 3Portimonense
Sporting Farense3 - 2Estoril
Sporting Farense1 - 3Benfica
Sporting Farense2 - 0Boavista
Sporting Farense1 - 1Rio Ave
Sporting Farense0 - 1Moreirense
Sporting Farense1 - 1Famalicao
Sporting Farense1 - 3Porto
Sporting Farense1 - 0Gil Vicente
Sporting Farense0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense2 - 0Arouca
Sporting Farense0 - 0Vizela
Sporting Farense2 - 3S. Lisbon
Sporting Farense3 - 1Braga
Sporting Farense5 - 0Chaves
Sporting Farense0 - 3Casa Pia
Sporting Farense1 - 0Tondela
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASporting Farense1 - 2Porto
ASporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
HSporting Farense0 - 5S. Lisbon
ASporting Farense0 - 1Rio Ave
HSporting Farense1 - 2Moreirense
HSporting Farense1 - 3Portimonense
ASporting Farense0 - 2Gil Vicente
HSporting Farense3 - 2Estoril
ASporting Farense3 - 0Estrela Amadora
HSporting Farense1 - 3Benfica
ASporting Farense1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HSporting Farense2 - 0Boavista
ASporting Farense1 - 2Arouca
HSporting Farense1 - 1Rio Ave
ASporting Farense1 - 2Vizela
ASporting Farense2 - 3S. Lisbon
HSporting Farense0 - 1Moreirense
ASporting Farense1 - 2Braga
HSporting Farense1 - 1Famalicao
ASporting Farense1 - 1Chaves
Arouca 16TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Moreirense3 - 1Arouca
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente2 - 2Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 1Arouca
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Moreirense1 - 0Arouca
Chaves1 - 5Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Portimonense1 - 2Arouca
Estoril1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Arouca
Boavista0 - 4Arouca
Sporting Farense2 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
Famalicao1 - 0Arouca
Porto1 - 1Arouca
Vizela2 - 2Arouca
Portimonense0 - 2Arouca
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca0 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 0Nacional
AArouca1 - 3Moreirense
HArouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca2 - 1Boavista
AArouca3 - 0Braga
HArouca2 - 1Sporting Farense
AArouca0 - 1Moreirense
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca5 - 1Chaves
HArouca3 - 2Famalicao
AArouca0 - 1Casa Pia
HArouca3 - 2Porto
AArouca2 - 1Portimonense
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Sporting Farense of late. It has been 7 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday evening against Arouca.

Sporting Farense 18th Arouca 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Sporting Farense will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Sporting Farense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+28
Arouca have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285116/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sporting Farense
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
FAR
ARO
14%
better
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score3
3
Scored first0
2
Goals scored2
2
Avg. goals scored0.4
0.4
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal21
19
Conversion rate for5
5
Avg. XG for0.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
FAR
ARO
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded12
8
Avg. goals conceded2.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded14
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against2.5
2
KickOff rating
+34%

Sporting Farense v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Sporting Farense Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
R VelhoT TómanéR. Boaventura MoraisNeto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Velho GLK5
-
Neto MID5
2
-
C Falcão MID5
1
-
D Poveda FWD5
-
T Tómané FWD51
1
-
M Moreno DEF4
1
-
L Áfrico DEF4
1
-
R. Boaventura Morais DEF41
-
F Soares MID4
-
M Matias FWD4
-
Pastor DEF3
-
Talys DEF3
-
G. Bastos Almeida MID3
-
R Barbosa MID3
1
-
E Baldé FWD3
-
Álex Bermejo FWD31
-
Álex Millán FWD3
-
A Jorge DEF2
2
-
M. Miranda Oliveira Menino MID2
-
R Silva DEF1
1
-
D Poloni DEF11
-
J Velásquez MID1
-
J. Gomes Pinto FWD1
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
N MantlB PintoC GonzálezN Mantl
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK5
2
-
T Esgaio DEF5
-
B Pinto MID51
1
-
T Fukui MID5
-
V Morozov FWD5
-
M Sylla FWD5
1
-
A Trezza FWD5
1
-
Jason FWD5
1
-
Weverson DEF4
1
-
C Lamba DEF4
2
-
P Santos MID4
-
H Araújo FWD41
1
-
M Rocha DEF3
1
-
I Rodrigues FWD3
2
-
J Fontán DEF2
1
-
Quaresma DEF2
1
-
P Gozálbez MID2
-
C González FWD21
-
A Dante DEF1
-
N Galovic DEF1
-
A Pinto DEF1
-
M Puche FWD1
-