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Casa Pia v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Sep, 18:00 BST, Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

It's a long trek for Rui Manuel Gomes Borges's Vitoria Guimaraes side on Saturday evening, as they make their way to the Estádio Pina Manique for a Liga NOS meeting with Natanael João Pereira Costa's Casa Pia. All stats, including each side's 20 game form and head-to-head history, will change as you explore each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
27%
--
Draw
30%
--
V. Guimaraes
43%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
16%
--
Draw 0-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
12%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
9%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
8%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
6%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
3%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
2%
--
Casa Pia 3-0
1%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
1%
--
V. Guimaraes 4-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
--
Home 1st Goal
41%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
9%
--
BTTS - Yes
39%
--
BTTS - No
61%
--
BTTS - Home Win
9%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
57%
--
Away/draw
73%
--
Home/away
70%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
--
Home DNB
48%
--
Away DNB
64%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
18%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
29%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Casa Pia
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
V. Guimaraes
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 9
Oct 5
 S. Lisbon55001715 
Jan 5
May 17
Apr 13
Dec 2
 Porto5401612 
Sep 21
Feb 23
Sep 28
Mar 2
 V. Guimaraes A5401412 
-
-
May 11
Dec 29
 Braga6321411 
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
Jan 26
l
 
3-0A
 Benfica5311510 
Apr 19
Dec 8
Jan 5
May 17
 Famalicao5311510 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 9
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
 Santa Clara530219 
Apr 6
Nov 10
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
 Moreirense5212-17 
Nov 3
Mar 30
Dec 8
Apr 19
 AVS5212-17 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
Feb 23
Sep 22
 Gil Vicente5131-16 
Dec 2
Apr 13
-
-
 Casa Pia Home5203-36 
Mar 2
Sep 28
Mar 30
Nov 2
 Rio Ave5203-36 
Apr 27
Dec 15
l
 
0-1A
Jan 19
 Boavista5122-15 
Oct 6
Mar 9
Apr 27
Dec 15
 Estoril5122-35 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
Oct 25
Mar 16
 Nacional6114-84 
Dec 22
May 4
Dec 22
May 4
 Arouca5104-63 
Jan 19
w
 
0-1F
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
 Estrela Amadora5023-52 
Mar 16
Oct 27
Nov 9
Apr 6
 Sporting Farense5005-100 
May 11
Dec 29
Win / draw / win form
Casa Pia 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
Casa Pia0 - 1Boavista
Casa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
Casa Pia3 - 1Chaves
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Casa Pia0 - 0Estoril
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 0Gil Vicente
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Casa Pia0 - 0Boavista
Casa Pia1 - 3Sporting Farense
Casa Pia0 - 2Famalicao
Casa Pia1 - 3Braga
Casa Pia1 - 0Portimonense
Casa Pia0 - 1Vizela
Casa Pia0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia1 - 1Rio Ave
Casa Pia1 - 2S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
ACasa Pia0 - 3Benfica
HCasa Pia0 - 1Boavista
ACasa Pia2 - 1Famalicao
HCasa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia3 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Chaves
HCasa Pia1 - 2Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 2Portimonense
HCasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
ACasa Pia4 - 0Vizela
HCasa Pia0 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 0Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia2 - 0V. Guimaraes
HCasa Pia1 - 0Arouca
ACasa Pia0 - 1Rio Ave
HCasa Pia0 - 0Boavista
V. Guimaraes 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AVS1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Arouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 1V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Chaves1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Portimonense1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Vizela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Braga1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Famalicao1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica4 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1AVS
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Arouca
AV. Guimaraes3 - 1Arouca
HV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
AV. Guimaraes1 - 2Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Chaves
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes3 - 1Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1Portimonense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Vizela
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Casa Pia look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Vitoria Guimaraes have kept a clean sheet in 6 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long evening for N. Pereira Costa's men.

Casa Pia 11th V. Guimaraes 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 68% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-43
Casa Pia have scored 43% fewer goals at home than predicted
-4
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285128/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
0.9
1.2
Attack rating
GUI
41%
better
view stats
Games scored2
4
Failed to score3
1
Scored first1
4
Goals scored4
6
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal11
8
Conversion rate for9
12
Avg. XG for0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
GUI
58%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first4
1
Goals conceded7
2
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
15
Conversion rate against14%
7%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.4
KickOff rating
+58%

Casa Pia v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
L LeloR BlancoL LeloT Segovia
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF51
-
J Goulart DEF5
-
J Fonte DEF5
1
-
A Geraldes DEF5
1
-
M Sousa MID5
-
S Obeng FWD5
-
M Svensson FWD5
1
-
P Sequeira GLK4
1
-
G Larrazabal DEF4
1
-
R Blanco MID41
1
-
Beni MID4
-
Pablo MID4
-
T Segovia MID4
2
-
N Moreira FWD41
-
D Tchamba  DEF31
1
-
R Brito MID3
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD31
-
T Dias DEF2
-
N Zolotic DEF2
1
-
A Kraev MID2
1
-
R Batista GLK1
-
R Kluivert DEF1
1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5123
B VarelaT Händel N OliveiraM Villanueva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK5
-
B Gaspar DEF5
1
-
T Borevkovic DEF5
2
-
J Mendes DEF5
1
-
T Händel  MID51
-
N Santos MID5
2
-
Samu MID5
-
N Oliveira FWD512
1
-
Chuchu FWD511
-
R Mangas DEF4
-
M Villanueva DEF4
3
-
Manu MID4
-
T Silva MID42
2
-
K César FWD411
1
-
T Arcanjo MID3
-
J Mendes MID31
-
Z Carlos DEF2
-
J Fernandes DEF2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD2
2
-
A Baio DEF1
-
T Ribeiro DEF11
-