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Santos Laguna v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 23rd Sep, 02:05 BST, Estadio Nuevo Corona, Torreón

Monday morning sees Marcos Ignacio Ambriz Espinoza’s Santos Laguna and Renato Manuel Alves Paiva’s Toluca go head to head in a Liga MX clash at the Estadio Nuevo Corona. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that S. Laguna and Toluca will score a minimum of two between them during 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 77%. The bookmakers have it at 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 56% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Laguna
21%
5/1
9%
19/5
4%
Draw
23%
16/5
12%
3/1
8%
Toluca
56%
11/20
4%
8/15
1%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Toluca 1-0
11%
17/2
19%
7/1
7%
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Toluca 2-0
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
S. Laguna 1-0
6%
20/1
24%
12/1
Toluca 3-1
6%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Toluca 3-0
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
S. Laguna 2-1
6%
18/1
12%
12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
S. Laguna 2-0
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
Toluca 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Toluca 4-1
3%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Toluca 4-0
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
S. Laguna 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/7
8%
8/15
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
27/20
12%
5/4
7%
Home 1st Goal
42%
21/10
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
55%
4/11
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
8/13
5%
13/20
3%
BTTS - No
46%
6/5
7%
23/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
17/2
6%
13/2
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/44/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
15/8
11%
15/8
4%
Home/draw
44%
11/8
6%
11/8
3%
Away/draw
79%
1/8
2%
2/13
1%
Home/away
77%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/6
3%
2/13
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4/1
15%
10/3
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
5/4
14%
13/10
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/7
9%
1/2
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
3/1
20%
14/5
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
2/9
4%
1/5
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
7/1
20%
11/2
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/12
2%
1/18
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/100
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
16%
Home DNB
38%
10/3
8%
14/5
3%
Away DNB
72%
1/5
2%
2/9
S. Laguna win to nil
11%
12/1
30%
-
Toluca win to nil
30%
2/1-
S. Laguna / S. Laguna
10%
8/1
6%
13/2
6%
S. Laguna / Toluca
4%
18/1
10%
16/1
S. Laguna / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / S. Laguna
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Draw / Toluca
18%
7/210/3
3%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
5/1
9%
Toluca / S. Laguna
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Toluca / Toluca
34%
11/8
5%
11/8
1%
Toluca / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
9
Toluca have not lost in 9 consecutive league games
S. Laguna 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Laguna0 - 2Monterrey
S. Laguna3 - 2Necaxa
S. Laguna0 - 3Tigres
S. Laguna1 - 1Pumas UNAM
S. Laguna0 - 3A. San Luis
S. Laguna0 - 2Pachuca
S. Laguna1 - 1America
S. Laguna3 - 0Cruz Azul
S. Laguna1 - 0Mazatlan
S. Laguna0 - 3Tigres
S. Laguna3 - 0Puebla
S. Laguna0 - 2Monterrey
S. Laguna2 - 1Mazatlan
S. Laguna3 - 1Toluca
S. Laguna5 - 1Juarez
S. Laguna0 - 2Leon
S. Laguna2 - 1Tijuana
S. Laguna2 - 5Necaxa
S. Laguna2 - 1Pumas UNAM
S. Laguna2 - 1Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Laguna0 - 2Monterrey
HS. Laguna3 - 2Necaxa
AS. Laguna1 - 1Leon
AS. Laguna1 - 3Tijuana
HS. Laguna0 - 3Tigres
AS. Laguna0 - 1Atlas
HS. Laguna1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AS. Laguna0 - 1Puebla
HS. Laguna0 - 3A. San Luis
HS. Laguna0 - 2Pachuca
AS. Laguna0 - 2Necaxa
HS. Laguna1 - 1America
AS. Laguna1 - 2Juarez
AS. Laguna2 - 2Tijuana
HS. Laguna3 - 0Cruz Azul
AS. Laguna1 - 0Queretaro
HS. Laguna1 - 0Mazatlan
AS. Laguna0 - 1Toluca
AS. Laguna0 - 3Pumas UNAM
HS. Laguna0 - 3Tigres
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca2 - 2Toluca
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 1Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 0Toluca
Guadalajara1 - 0Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 5Toluca
America5 - 1Toluca
Pachuca2 - 3Toluca
Juarez1 - 1Toluca
Monterrey0 - 0Toluca
Necaxa3 - 3Toluca
Guadalajara3 - 2Toluca
Puebla1 - 1Toluca
Queretaro2 - 2Toluca
Mazatlan1 - 0Toluca
S. Laguna3 - 1Toluca
Leon1 - 0Toluca
Tigres2 - 2Toluca
Tijuana2 - 1Toluca
Atlas0 - 0Toluca
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca2 - 2Pachuca
HToluca4 - 0Tijuana
AToluca2 - 1Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca3 - 0Mazatlan
HToluca3 - 2Juarez
AToluca0 - 0Guadalajara
HToluca0 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca0 - 1Guadalajara
HToluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
AToluca5 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca1 - 5America
HToluca4 - 1Atlas
AToluca3 - 2Pachuca
HToluca3 - 0Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 1Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
HToluca2 - 0Tijuana
HToluca1 - 0S. Laguna
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at S. Laguna since 2019
S. Laguna
Toluca
Goals: Scored
13
11
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
STS
3
D
1
TOL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Laguna
S. Laguna3 - 1
0 - 5Toluca
1 - 2Toluca
Draw2 - 2Draw
S. Laguna3 - 1
S. Laguna4 - 0
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
15
10
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
STS
1
D
1
TOL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca1 - 0
Toluca4 - 3
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca3 - 1
1 - 2S. Laguna
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Toluca have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Liga MX outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Santos Laguna on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

S. Laguna 15th Toluca 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that S. Laguna will score no more than 1 goal
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
S. Laguna’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Toluca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277465/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Laguna
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1
1.8
Attack rating
STS
TOL
54%
better
view stats
Games scored4
7
Failed to score4
1
Scored first2
7
Goals scored6
17
Avg. goals scored0.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal11
4
Conversion rate for9
24
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
STS
TOL
54%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
5
Clean sheets0
3
Conceded first6
0
Goals conceded14
7
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded15
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
13
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against2.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+54%

S. Laguna v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Laguna Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7213
R SordoS RoblesR SordoS Nuñez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sordo FWD811
1
-
J Rodriguez FWD81
1
-
S Robles FWD82
-
C Acevedo GLK7
-
A Santamaría DEF71
2
-
E. Echeverría Mata DEF6
2
-
S Nuñez DEF6
2
1
A López MID6
-
D Medina MID6
1
-
S Naveda MID61
1
-
S Murra MID6
2
-
C Lozano FWD61
1
-
F Fagúndez FWD61
1
-
B Amione DEF5
1
-
I Solorzano DEF5
1
-
F Villalba MID5
-
L. Gutiérrez Castellanos MID31
-
V Loroña DEF2
2
-
J Guzmán FWD2
-
H Pérez GLK1
-
H Rodríguez DEF1
1
-
P Aquino MID1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8535
T VolpiPaulinhoPaulinhoM Ruíz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK8
1
-
J Gallardo DEF821
1
-
Luan DEF8
-
F Amaya MID81
1
-
Paulinho FWD853
-
J Domínguez FWD81
-
A Vega FWD82
-
B García DEF711
-
M Ruíz MID711
5
-
J Uriarte MID712
-
V Camarena MID7
2
-
C Baeza MID71
3
-
B Méndez DEF5
-
I López FWD5
-
F Pereira DEF4
1
-
I Violante FWD41
1
-
C Orrantía DEF3
-
A Duarte FWD21
-
R Morales FWD2
-
J Piñuelas DEF1
-