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Guadalajara v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 22nd Nov, 01:05 BST, Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

Beñat San José Gil takes his Atlas side to the Estadio AKRON in the Liga MX on Friday morning, with Fernando Rubén Gago's Guadalajara waiting for them. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Guadalajara and Atlas will score a minimum of 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 74%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.40.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guadalajara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Guadalajara 56%	19/20	-
Draw 24%	5/2	-
Atlas 20%	14/5	-
Guadalajara 1-0 12%	5/1	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-
Guadalajara 2-0 11%	15/2	-
Guadalajara 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	15/2	-
Atlas 1-0 7%	8/1	-
Guadalajara 3-0 6%	16/1	-
Guadalajara 3-1 6%	16/1	-
Atlas 2-1 5%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	-
Atlas 2-0 3%	18/1	-
Guadalajara 4-0 3%	40/1	-
Guadalajara 3-2 3%	33/1	-
Guadalajara 4-1 2%	40/1	-
Atlas 3-1 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	6/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	13/20	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 5%	15/2	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	1/1	-
BTTS - No 51%	3/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	15/4	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	15/2	-
Home/draw 80%	1/4	-
Away/draw 44%	4/5	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	2/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	7/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	3/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	2/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	8/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	20/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/66	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	15/2	-
Home DNB 73%	2/5	-
Away DNB 37%	7/4	-
Guadalajara win to nil 33%	2/1	-
Atlas win to nil 11%	5/1	-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara 26%	11/5	-
Guadalajara / Atlas 2%	33/1	-
Guadalajara / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Guadalajara 18%	15/4	-
Draw / Atlas 10%	7/1	-
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4	-
Atlas / Guadalajara 3%	25/1	-
Atlas / Atlas 12%	6/1	-
Atlas / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Atlas have not won in 6 consecutive league games

Atlas have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guadalajara	0 - 1	A. San Luis
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Necaxa
Guadalajara	2 - 3	Atlas
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Monterrey
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Leon
Guadalajara	5 - 0	Juarez
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Toluca
Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Toluca
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Queretaro
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Puebla
Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Leon
Guadalajara	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Juarez
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Toluca
Guadalajara	1 - 1	S. Laguna
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Pumas UNAM

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Guadalajara	0 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Guadalajara	2 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Puebla
H	Guadalajara	3 - 2	Necaxa
A	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Pachuca
H	Guadalajara	2 - 3	Atlas
H	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Monterrey
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Leon
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	America
H	Guadalajara	5 - 0	Juarez
A	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Tigres
H	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan
A	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Queretaro
A	Guadalajara	2 - 4	Tijuana
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	America
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
A	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Toluca

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa	0 - 0	Atlas
Monterrey	4 - 0	Atlas
Leon	0 - 0	Atlas
Guadalajara	2 - 3	Atlas
Toluca	4 - 1	Atlas
America	3 - 0	Atlas
A. San Luis	2 - 1	Atlas
Puebla	1 - 2	Atlas
Juarez	2 - 2	Atlas
Cruz Azul	2 - 2	Atlas
Toluca	4 - 1	Atlas
Puebla	2 - 2	Atlas
Tigres	1 - 1	Atlas
Mazatlan	2 - 0	Atlas
Pachuca	4 - 3	Atlas
Necaxa	2 - 1	Atlas
Pumas UNAM	3 - 0	Atlas
Tijuana	2 - 0	Atlas
Leon	1 - 1	Atlas
Guadalajara	4 - 1	Atlas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Atlas	0 - 0	Necaxa
H	Atlas	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Atlas	0 - 4	Monterrey
H	Atlas	0 - 0	Tijuana
A	Atlas	0 - 0	Leon
H	Atlas	0 - 0	Mazatlan
A	Atlas	3 - 2	Guadalajara
A	Atlas	1 - 4	Toluca
H	Atlas	0 - 1	Queretaro
A	Atlas	0 - 3	America
H	Atlas	2 - 0	Pachuca
A	Atlas	1 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Atlas	2 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Atlas	2 - 1	Puebla
H	Atlas	1 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Atlas	1 - 1	Tigres
A	Atlas	2 - 2	Juarez
H	Atlas	0 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Atlas	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
H	Atlas	2 - 1	A. San Luis

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Guadalajara

Atlas

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

1 / 9

GUA

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
	2 - 3	Atlas
Guadalajara	4 - 1
Guadalajara	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Atlas
	0 - 1	Atlas
Guadalajara	3 - 2
Guadalajara	1 - 0
Guadalajara	3 - 0

Atlas

Guadalajara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

3 / 8

GUA

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Atlas	1 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Guadalajara
	1 - 2	Guadalajara
	0 - 1	Guadalajara

Goal Statistics

	Guadalajara 9th	Atlas 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Guadalajara will score 1 or more goals	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Atlas scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Guadalajara’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Atlas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	2.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season

17%

better

GUA

ATL

view stats

Games scored	11		10
Failed to score	6		7
Scored first	8		6
Goals scored	24		17
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		9
Conversion rate for	13		11
Avg. XG for	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+17%

21%

better

GUA

ATL

view stats

Games conceded	9		11
Clean sheets	8		6
Conceded first	7		7
Goals conceded	15		23
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+21%

Guadalajara v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	5	4	4
J Rangel	R Hernández	R Hernández	F González

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Rangel GLK	17			2 -
A Mozo DEF	17	2	1	1 -
F Beltran MID	17	1	1	3 -
J Castillo DEF	16		1	-
J Chiquete DEF	15			2 -
Érick Gutiérrez MID	15		1	3 -
F González MID	15			4 -
V Guzmán MID	15	1	2	2 -
R Hernández FWD	13	5	4	2 -
R Sánchez FWD	13	3	1	-
M. Chávez García MID	12		2	1 -
C Cowell FWD	12	5	2	-
A. González Alba FWD	11	3	1	1 1
O Govea MID	9			-
C Cisneros FWD	9			-
J Sandoval FWD	9	1	2	-
G Sepúlveda DEF	8	1		2 -
A Briseño DEF	7		1	2 -
P Pérez FWD	6			-
Chicharito FWD	6		1	-
F Barajas FWD	5			-
L. Sepúlveda DEF	3			-
I Brizuela FWD	3			-
J Sánchez DEF	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	4	13
R Hernández	C Cowell	R Hernández	R Hernández

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Hernández FWD	5	6	4	13
C Cowell FWD	5	11	2	8
A. González Alba FWD	3	9	1	3
R Sánchez FWD	3	9	1	4
A Mozo DEF	2	7	1	6
G Sepúlveda DEF	1	1		2
J Sandoval FWD	1	4	2	8
J Sánchez DEF	1
F Beltran MID	1	6	1	10
V Guzmán MID	1	4	2	12
F González MID				5
M. Chávez García MID			2	7
Érick Gutiérrez MID		3	1	9
J Chiquete DEF		2		4
O Govea MID		1		3
C Cisneros FWD		3		4
J Castillo DEF		1	1	6
A Briseño DEF			1	1
P Pérez FWD				1
Chicharito FWD		1	1	4
F Barajas FWD		1
I Brizuela FWD				1
J Rangel GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
765	44	77
J Chiquete	F González	Érick Gutiérrez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Chiquete DEF	765	21	58
F González MID	738	44	70
F Beltran MID	657	28	76
J Castillo DEF	647	26	55
Érick Gutiérrez MID	585	40	77
A Mozo DEF	578	36	76
J Rangel GLK	534	1	13
G Sepúlveda DEF	421	12	27
R Hernández FWD	404	17	60
M. Chávez García MID	300	34	66
V Guzmán MID	283	5	28
A Briseño DEF	267	8	31
O Govea MID	234	7	17
C Cowell FWD	162	13	42
J Sandoval FWD	118	11	20
R Sánchez FWD	89	13	33
C Cisneros FWD	88	6	18
A. González Alba FWD	86	5	15
P Pérez FWD	79	4	8
Chicharito FWD	38	1	7
F Barajas FWD	38		5
I Brizuela FWD	18		2
J Sánchez DEF	18	1	1
L. Sepúlveda DEF	13		1

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	4	4	4
H Nervo	E Lara	R Fulgencio	D Dória

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Nervo DEF	17			1 -
L Reyes DEF	17	1	1	1 -
R Fulgencio MID	17	1	4	2 -
J Márquez MID	17	3	1	3 -
E Lara FWD	17	4		2 -
J Murillo FWD	17	2	2	1 -
J Lozano DEF	16	2	3	3 -
A Rocha MID	16	1		3 -
E Zaldívar MID	16	1		1 -
C Vargas GLK	14			1 -
D Dória DEF	14			4 -
G Aguirre DEF	11			3 -
M García FWD	11			-
A Mora DEF	10		1	2 -
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	10	1		1 -
U Djurdjevic FWD	7			2 1
L Flores FWD	6			1 -
J Hernández GLK	3			-
I Domínguez DEF	3			-
A Flores MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	4	28
E Lara	E Lara	R Fulgencio	R Fulgencio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Lara FWD	4	11		4
J Márquez MID	3	4	1	11
J Murillo FWD	2	5	2	14
J Lozano DEF	2	5	3	3
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	1	1		2
R Fulgencio MID	1	4	4	28
A Rocha MID	1	4		6
E Zaldívar MID	1	3		3
L Reyes DEF	1	4	1	11
H Nervo DEF		1		3
I Domínguez DEF				1
L Flores FWD				1
U Djurdjevic FWD				1
D Dória DEF		1		1
A Mora DEF		1	1	1
M García FWD		1		4
G Aguirre DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
800	30	91
A Rocha	A Rocha	J Márquez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Rocha MID	800	30	59
H Nervo DEF	748	15	51
D Dória DEF	602	11	47
J Márquez MID	570	28	91
L Reyes DEF	473	29	67
C Vargas GLK	472		4
R Fulgencio MID	408	15	39
E Zaldívar MID	406	25	62
J Murillo FWD	292	15	44
A Mora DEF	234	20	43
J Lozano DEF	232	15	60
E Lara FWD	200	10	67
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	183	24	41
M García FWD	150	10	29
G Aguirre DEF	136	6	23
J Hernández GLK	79		1
I Domínguez DEF	44	4	7
U Djurdjevic FWD	38	1	10
L Flores FWD	34	5	18
A Flores MID	3

Mexican Liga MX match betting previews, predictions and odds

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Tue 26th Nov, 23:00

A. San Luis v Tigres

Tue 26th Nov, 23:00

Guadalajara v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Guadalajara v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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