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Shonan Bellmare v Cerezo Osaka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Sep, 11:00 BST, Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka), Hiratsuka

Satoshi Yamaguchi and Akio Kogiku take on one another in the J-League on Sunday morning, as Shonan Bellmare face Cerezo Osaka at the Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka). Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Shonan and Cerezo have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.33.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Shonan 44%	13/10 2%	23/20
Draw 27%	12/5	9/4
Cerezo 29%	2/1	15/8
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	11/2
Shonan 1-0 12%	8/1 6%	13/2
Cerezo 1-0 9%	9/1	8/1
Shonan 2-1 9%	17/2 6%	7/1
Draw 0-0 9%	10/1	8/1
Shonan 2-0 8%	11/1 9%	9/1
Cerezo 2-1 7%	10/1	17/2
Cerezo 2-0 5%	14/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	10/1
Shonan 3-1 4%	18/1 12%	12/1
Shonan 3-0 4%	20/1	14/1
Cerezo 3-1 2%	22/1	16/1
Shonan 3-2 2%	25/1	18/1
Cerezo 3-0 2%	28/1 15%	22/1
Cerezo 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	17/20	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	19/20	5/6
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	6/5 2%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - No 51%	21/20	1/1
BTTS - Home Win 19%	7/2	16/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 13%	9/2	17/4
Home/draw 71%	4/11	4/11
Away/draw 56%	4/7 3%	8/13
Home/away 73%	3/10	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	11/4	23/10
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	9/4	19/10
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1/3	3/10
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	11/2 8%	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/9 1%	1/10
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	12/1	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/25	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/20	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	10/1	15/2
Home DNB 63%	4/6 3%	8/13
Away DNB 48%	11/10 5%	23/20
Shonan win to nil 26%	3/1	-
Cerezo win to nil 16%	9/2	-
Shonan / Shonan 22%	11/4	5/2
Shonan / Cerezo 3%	28/1	22/1
Shonan / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Shonan 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw / Cerezo 12%	11/2 7%	11/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Cerezo / Shonan 4%	22/1	18/1
Cerezo / Cerezo 17%	15/4 5%	19/5
Cerezo / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	11/1

Win / draw / win J-League table

Shonan have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Shonan have conceded 38 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Shonan have played 14 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Cerezo lay in 12th place on 38 points in the J-League league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Cerezo have conceded 10 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Cerezo have played 15 away games, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Shonan

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Cerezo

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	Machida	30	17	7	6	24	58	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A
Oct 19	l 2-0A	Hiroshima	30	15	11	4	25	56	d 1-1A	l 2-0A
l 0-1A	Dec 8	Vissel Kobe	30	16	7	7	19	55	l 1-4A	l 2-1A
Sep 28	l 3-1A	Kashima	29	14	7	8	10	49	Nov 30	d 1-1F
l 1-2A	w 0-1F	Gamba Osaka	29	13	9	7	9	48	Oct 2	l 1-0A
l 1-2F	Oct 6	Tokyo Verdy	30	11	11	8	-2	44	w 2-1F	d 1-1A
Nov 30	d 2-2A	Yokohama FM	29	12	5	12	5	41	d 2-2A	l 4-0A
l 0-1A	Nov 3	Tokyo	30	11	8	11	-1	41	d 2-2F	Dec 8
l 0-1A	d 1-1A	Nagoya	30	12	4	14	-2	40	w 2-1F	l 2-1A
d 4-4A	w 2-3F	Urawa Reds	28	10	9	9	6	39	w 2-1F	Oct 5
w 2-1A	l 3-1A	Albirex	30	10	9	11	-3	39	l 1-2A	w 0-1F
Sep 22	l 2-0A	Cerezo Away	29	9	11	9	-3	38	-	-
d 1-1F	d 1-1A	Avispa	30	9	11	10	-5	38	Nov 9	w 0-3F
l 1-2F	d 1-1A	Kawasaki	29	9	10	10	3	37	w 1-0F	d 1-1A
l 0-1A	w 1-2F	Kyoto Sanga	29	10	7	12	-11	37	l 3-5A	d 1-1F
l 1-2A	l 2-1F	Kashiwa	29	8	9	12	-10	33	Sep 28	d 1-1F
-	-	Shonan Home	30	8	8	14	-6	32	w 2-0F	Sep 22
w 5-0F	l 3-2F	Jubilo Iwata	29	8	7	14	-13	31	Oct 19	d 1-1A
Nov 9	d 3-3A	Sapporo	30	6	7	17	-23	25	d 1-1A	Nov 3
w 2-1A	w 1-2F	Sagan Tosu	30	7	3	20	-22	24	w 1-0F	w 0-2F

Win / draw / win form

Cerezo have lost 4 consecutive league games

Cerezo have not won in 8 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shonan	0 - 1	Nagoya
Shonan	1 - 2	Kashiwa
Shonan	1 - 1	Avispa
Shonan	5 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
Shonan	0 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo
Shonan	1 - 2	Gamba Osaka
Shonan	2 - 1	Albirex
Shonan	0 - 0	Machida
Shonan	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Shonan	0 - 1	Vissel Kobe
Shonan	1 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
Shonan	4 - 4	Urawa Reds
Shonan	1 - 2	Kawasaki
Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo
Shonan	2 - 1	Nagoya
Shonan	1 - 1	Vissel Kobe
Shonan	0 - 2	Kawasaki
Shonan	2 - 2	Kashima
Shonan	0 - 1	Urawa Reds

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Shonan	1 - 3	Albirex
A	Shonan	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
H	Shonan	0 - 1	Nagoya
H	Shonan	1 - 2	Kashiwa
A	Shonan	1 - 0	Machida
H	Shonan	1 - 1	Avispa
A	Shonan	1 - 0	Gamba Osaka
H	Shonan	5 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
A	Shonan	3 - 2	Urawa Reds
H	Shonan	0 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
A	Shonan	1 - 1	Kawasaki
H	Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo
A	Shonan	1 - 1	Nagoya
H	Shonan	1 - 2	Gamba Osaka
A	Shonan	2 - 3	Jubilo Iwata
H	Shonan	2 - 1	Albirex
A	Shonan	1 - 2	Kashiwa
H	Shonan	0 - 0	Machida
H	Shonan	2 - 1	Sagan Tosu
A	Shonan	1 - 3	Kashima

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vissel Kobe	2 - 1	Cerezo
Yokohama FM	4 - 0	Cerezo
Hiroshima	2 - 0	Cerezo
Kawasaki	1 - 1	Cerezo
Tokyo Verdy	1 - 1	Cerezo
Jubilo Iwata	1 - 1	Cerezo
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Cerezo
Avispa	0 - 3	Cerezo
Machida	2 - 1	Cerezo
Gamba Osaka	1 - 0	Cerezo
Nagoya	2 - 1	Cerezo
Albirex	0 - 1	Cerezo
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Cerezo
Sagan Tosu	0 - 2	Cerezo
Kashima	1 - 1	Cerezo
Albirex	1 - 0	Cerezo
Yokohama FM	2 - 0	Cerezo
Hiroshima	0 - 0	Cerezo
Vissel Kobe	1 - 0	Cerezo
Kashima	1 - 0	Cerezo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cerezo	1 - 2	Vissel Kobe
A	Cerezo	0 - 4	Yokohama FM
H	Cerezo	3 - 5	Kyoto Sanga
A	Cerezo	0 - 2	Hiroshima
H	Cerezo	0 - 0	Machida
H	Cerezo	1 - 2	Albirex
A	Cerezo	1 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Cerezo	1 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
H	Cerezo	2 - 1	Nagoya
H	Cerezo	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
A	Cerezo	1 - 1	Jubilo Iwata
H	Cerezo	2 - 1	Urawa Reds
A	Cerezo	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
H	Cerezo	1 - 1	Hiroshima
A	Cerezo	3 - 0	Avispa
A	Cerezo	1 - 2	Machida
H	Cerezo	1 - 4	Vissel Kobe
A	Cerezo	0 - 1	Gamba Osaka
H	Cerezo	1 - 1	Sapporo
H	Cerezo	2 - 2	Yokohama FM

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Cerezo have not lost to Shonan in 6 consecutive away league meetings

Cerezo have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive away league meetings with Shonan

Shonan

Cerezo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

5 / 6

CER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Shonan
	0 - 2	Cerezo
	0 - 2	Cerezo
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Cerezo
	0 - 2	Cerezo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Cerezo

Shonan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

1 / 7

SHO

CER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cerezo
Cerezo	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Shonan
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 5	Shonan
Cerezo	1 - 0
Cerezo	1 - 0
Cerezo	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Shonan 17th	Cerezo 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Shonan will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Cerezo will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-10 Shonan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-37 Cerezo have scored 37% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2024/2024 season

SHO

CER

better

view stats

Games scored	23		25
Failed to score	7		4
Scored first	11		13
Goals scored	40		36
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.2
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	14		13
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+6%

SHO

CER

16%

better

view stats

Games conceded	26		22
Clean sheets	4		7
Conceded first	18		15
Goals conceded	46		39
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.5
KickOff rating		+16%

Shonan v Cerezo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Shonan J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	11	5	5
Y Suzuki	Lukian	S Tanaka	S. Fukuda

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Suzuki DEF	29	1	2	3 -
M Ikeda MID	29	4	3	2 -
Lukian FWD	29	11	2	2 1
A Suzuki FWD	26	5		-
S. Fukuda FWD	26	7	2	4 1
S Tanaka MID	25	3	5	5 -
M Kim DEF	24			4 -
A Barada MID	23		1	3 -
T Hata DEF	22	2	2	-
K Okuno MID	21			3 -
B Song GLK	20			1
H Abe MID	19	3	1	-
N Takahashi DEF	18		1	1 -
K Ono DEF	18			4 -
T Hiraoka MID	18	1	1	1 -
J Suzuki MID	16			5 -
K Oiwa DEF	15		2	2 1
H Ishii FWD	13	1	1	-
N Yamada MID	10			-
K Onose MID	10	1		2 -
R Nemoto FWD	7	1		-
T Okamoto DEF	6			1 -
A Yoshida DEF	6			-
H Mawatari GLK	4			-
N Kamifukumoto GLK	3			-
K Tachi DEF	3			-
S Matsumura DEF	1			-
L Phellype FWD	1			-
K. Watanabe FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	23	5	17
Lukian	Lukian	S Tanaka	Y Suzuki

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Lukian FWD	11	23	2	17
S. Fukuda FWD	7	15	2	13
A Suzuki FWD	5	15		4
M Ikeda MID	4	11	3	10
H Abe MID	3	7	1	8
S Tanaka MID	3	6	5	11
T Hata DEF	2	4	2	8
Y Suzuki DEF	1	9	2	17
R Nemoto FWD	1	2		1
K Onose MID	1	1		3
H Ishii FWD	1	2	1
T Hiraoka MID	1	10	1	6
N Takahashi DEF		2	1	5
T Okamoto DEF				3
A Yoshida DEF		2		2
M Kim DEF		5		2
K Ono DEF		1		2
A Barada MID		3	1	7
N Yamada MID		2		1
K Okuno MID		1		1
K Oiwa DEF		4	2	2
J Suzuki MID		1		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1342	71	175
Y Suzuki	S Tanaka	Y Suzuki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Suzuki DEF	1342	62	175
M Kim DEF	1242	31	83
S Tanaka MID	1190	71	147
N Takahashi DEF	869	26	65
J Suzuki MID	852	25	57
M Ikeda MID	723	13	42
K Ono DEF	639	23	68
T Hata DEF	611	20	64
K Oiwa DEF	594	21	68
B Song GLK	480		9
A Barada MID	470	18	41
Lukian FWD	436	11	127
T Hiraoka MID	393	20	59
A Suzuki FWD	372	14	75
S. Fukuda FWD	353	20	98
H Abe MID	333	10	14
K Onose MID	255	15	33
K Okuno MID	234	25	42
N Yamada MID	143	7	19
T Okamoto DEF	143	4	23
K Tachi DEF	136	9	16
H Mawatari GLK	115		3
A Yoshida DEF	114	7	12
H Ishii FWD	96	7	27
N Kamifukumoto GLK	93		1
R Nemoto FWD	13		7
S Matsumura DEF	8
K. Watanabe FWD	2		1
L Phellype FWD	1		1

Cerezo J-League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	17	8	3
J Kim	L Ceará	L Fernandes	S Tanaka

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Kim GLK	29			-
K Funaki DEF	29	1		1 -
S Tanaka MID	29	2	3	3 -
L Ceará FWD	29	17	1	3 -
H Okuno MID	28		1	-
K Toriumi DEF	26			-
L Fernandes MID	26	3	8	1 -
H Tameda MID	22	1	1	1 -
S Uejo MID	22			1 -
M Shibayama MID	21	1		1
V Bueno MID	21	3	4	-
R Nishio DEF	20	1		1 -
K Noborizato DEF	18			-
Capixaba FWD	18	1	3	3 -
H Okuda DEF	14	1	2	1 -
Y Hirano MID	10			1
S Kagawa MID	10	1		3 -
H Yamada FWD	9			1 -
S Kitano FWD	9	2		-
R Yamasaki FWD	5			-
T Yamashita DEF	3			-
R Sakata FWD	2			-
H Kida MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	39	8	41
L Ceará	L Ceará	L Fernandes	L Fernandes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Ceará FWD	17	39	1	11
L Fernandes MID	3	15	8	41
V Bueno MID	3	6	4	6
S Tanaka MID	2	3	3	13
S Kitano FWD	2	3		1
R Nishio DEF	1	1		4
S Kagawa MID	1	1		1
H Tameda MID	1	3	1	2
M Shibayama MID	1	9		4
K Funaki DEF	1	3		6
Capixaba FWD	1	5	3	11
H Okuda DEF	1	2	2	8
R Yamasaki FWD		1
Y Hirano MID		1		2
K Noborizato DEF				2
S Uejo MID		7		1
K Toriumi DEF				3
H Okuno MID		1	1	6

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1552	42	159
S Tanaka	S Tanaka	L Ceará

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Tanaka MID	1552	42	142
K Funaki DEF	1265	20	104
K Toriumi DEF	1182	24	127
R Nishio DEF	998	13	60
J Kim GLK	980	2	23
K Noborizato DEF	913	29	74
H Okuno MID	821	41	136
L Fernandes MID	766	42	158
H Okuda DEF	695	16	39
L Ceará FWD	532	10	159
V Bueno MID	480	9	53
M Shibayama MID	404	7	26
S Kagawa MID	357	8	19
Capixaba FWD	304	39	106
H Tameda MID	285	10	51
Y Hirano MID	146	2	9
S Uejo MID	146	6	16
S Kitano FWD	87	7	15
H Yamada FWD	53	2	7
R Sakata FWD	44	1	3
R Yamasaki FWD	38	2	18
H Kida MID	10		1
T Yamashita DEF	8		1

Japanese J-League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Jubilo Iwata v Avispa

Sat 21st Sep, 11:00

Nagoya v Kawasaki

Sun 22nd Sep, 08:00

Tokyo Verdy v Sagan Tosu

Sun 22nd Sep, 10:00

Albirex v Vissel Kobe

Sun 22nd Sep, 10:00

Hiroshima v Yokohama FM

Sun 22nd Sep, 10:30

Kyoto Sanga v Gamba Osaka

Sapporo v Kyoto Sanga

Sat 28th Sep, 05:00

Nagoya v Jubilo Iwata

Sat 28th Sep, 08:00

Yokohama FM v Tokyo

Sat 28th Sep, 09:00

Gamba Osaka v Tokyo Verdy

Vissel Kobe v Urawa Reds

Shonan Bellmare v Cerezo Osaka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Shonan have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Cerezo lay in 12th place on 38 points in the J-League league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Shonan v Cerezo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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