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Metz v Lorient : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 13:30 BST, Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

the Stade Saint-Symphorien is the stage on Saturday afternoon, as Stéphane Le Mignan's Metz host Olivier Pantaloni's Lorient in the Ligue 2. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Metz and Lorient have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Metz
38%
29/20
2%
7/5
2%
Draw
26%
9/4
2%
11/5
3%
Lorient
36%
13/88/5
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Metz 1-0
10%
7/113/2
7%
Lorient 1-0
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Metz 2-1
8%
9/115/2
6%
Lorient 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2
12%
15/2
6%
Metz 2-0
7%
11/110/1
10%
Lorient 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
8%
Metz 3-1
4%
20/114/1
12%
Lorient 3-1
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Metz 3-0
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Lorient 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Metz 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Lorient 3-2
2%
33/120/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
19/20
7%
10/11
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
17/20
9%
3/4
6%
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/6
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/10-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
2%
3/4
5%
BTTS - No
47%
10/11
4%
19/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2
8%
4/1
5%
Home/draw
64%
2/5
3%
4/9
Away/draw
62%
1/21/2
1%
Home/away
74%
3/10
4%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/7
5%
2/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
5/2
17%
21/10
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
12/5
9%
11/5
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
3/10
4%
2/7
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2
19%
19/4
12%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/9
3%
1/12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
21%
10/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/150
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
2%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1
29%
7/1
14%
Home DNB
56%
4/5
2%
4/5
Away DNB
54%
10/11
4%
10/11
Metz win to nil
21%
10/3-
Lorient win to nil
19%
7/2
4%
-
Metz / Metz
20%
10/329/10
3%
Metz / Lorient
3%
28/122/1
Metz / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Metz
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Lorient
13%
5/15/1
4%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
7%
Lorient / Metz
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Lorient / Lorient
18%
7/216/5
3%
Lorient / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table
Metz
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Lorient
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
Feb 1
 Bastia5320311 
Mar 15
Nov 23
Oct 25
Feb 15
 Guingamp5311510 
Nov 8
Apr 12
Jan 25
Oct 18
 Grenoble5311510 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 29
Sep 21
Jan 11
 Lorient Away430139 
-
-
Jan 18
w
 
1-2F
 Paris FC530229 
Dec 14
Mar 8
Oct 5
Mar 1
 Amiens530219 
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
Dec 7
Mar 15
 Dunkerque530209 
Oct 29
Jan 18
Mar 8
Dec 14
 Annecy522138 
Oct 19
Apr 19
Jan 4
Apr 26
 Pau522138 
Apr 5
Sep 24
-
-
 Metz Home422038 
Jan 11
Sep 21
Feb 22
Nov 4
 Ajaccio521207 
Sep 27
May 3
Apr 19
Oct 29
 Red Star5203-56 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 1
d
 
1-1A
May 10
 Lavallois512215 
Feb 22
Jan 4
Feb 8
Nov 23
 Clermont5113-24 
Jan 25
Nov 1
Nov 8
Apr 5
 Caen5113-44 
Apr 26
Oct 5
May 3
w
 
1-3F
 Rodez5104-23 
Mar 1
Oct 25
Sep 24
Apr 12
 Martigues5104-73 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
Mar 29
Sep 28
 Troyes5014-91 
Dec 7
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
5
Metz have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
Metz 10TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Metz1 - 1Lavallois
Metz1 - 1Bastia
Metz0 - 2PSG
Metz2 - 3Rennes
Metz1 - 2Lille
Metz2 - 1Lens
Metz2 - 5Monaco
Metz1 - 0Clermont
Metz1 - 2Lyon
Metz1 - 2Lorient
Metz0 - 1Toulouse
Metz0 - 1Montpellier
Metz0 - 1Brest
Metz3 - 1Nantes
Metz0 - 0Le Havre
Metz0 - 1Nice
Metz0 - 1Strasbourg
Metz2 - 2Reims
Metz2 - 2Marseille
Metz3 - 2Bastia
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMetz2 - 1Paris FC
HMetz1 - 1Lavallois
AMetz3 - 1Rodez
HMetz1 - 1Bastia
HMetz0 - 2PSG
AMetz1 - 2Strasbourg
HMetz2 - 3Rennes
HMetz1 - 2Lille
AMetz1 - 0Le Havre
HMetz2 - 1Lens
AMetz3 - 4Brest
HMetz2 - 5Monaco
AMetz1 - 2Reims
HMetz1 - 0Clermont
AMetz2 - 0Nantes
HMetz1 - 2Lyon
AMetz0 - 3Montpellier
AMetz1 - 1Marseille
HMetz1 - 2Lorient
AMetz0 - 1Nice
Lorient 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Amiens1 - 0Lorient
Martigues0 - 1Lorient
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Lens2 - 0Lorient
Nice3 - 0Lorient
Montpellier2 - 0Lorient
Monaco2 - 2Lorient
Rennes1 - 2Lorient
Strasbourg1 - 3Lorient
Metz1 - 2Lorient
Lille3 - 0Lorient
Brest4 - 0Lorient
Toulouse1 - 1Lorient
Clermont1 - 0Lorient
Reims1 - 0Lorient
Lyon3 - 3Lorient
Nantes5 - 3Lorient
Le Havre3 - 0Lorient
PSG0 - 0Lorient
Clermont2 - 0Lorient
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLorient2 - 1Red Star
ALorient0 - 1Amiens
HLorient2 - 0Grenoble
ALorient1 - 0Martigues
HLorient5 - 0Clermont
ALorient1 - 3Marseille
ALorient0 - 2Lens
HLorient1 - 2Toulouse
HLorient1 - 4PSG
ALorient0 - 3Nice
ALorient0 - 2Montpellier
HLorient0 - 1Brest
ALorient2 - 2Monaco
HLorient0 - 2Lyon
ALorient2 - 1Rennes
HLorient0 - 1Nantes
ALorient3 - 1Strasbourg
HLorient2 - 0Reims
ALorient2 - 1Metz
HLorient3 - 3Le Havre
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Lorient
Goals: Scored
13
12
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
MET
3
D
1
LOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
1 - 2Lorient
Metz4 - 1
Metz3 - 1
Metz2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 4Lorient
League games at Lorient since 2014
Lorient
Metz
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
MET
1
D
1
LOR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
2 - 3Metz
Lorient1 - 0
Lorient2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Lorient5 - 1
Lorient3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Lorient's defensive record is to be admired, Olivier Pantaloni's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Metz makes sense in this context.

Metz 10th Lorient 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Metz will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Lorient will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Metz have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-21
Lorient have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279754/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Metz
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
28%
better
MET
LOR
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score0
1
Scored first2
3
Goals scored7
5
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for17
10
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
MET
LOR
49%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded4
2
Avg. goals conceded1
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
12
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+49%

Metz v Lorient Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Metz Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4312
A OukidjaC SabalyI TraoréM Colin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Oukidja GLK4
-
I Traoré DEF411
-
M Colin DEF4
2
-
K Kouao DEF4
-
J Deminguet MID4
1
-
G Hein FWD4
1
-
C Sabaly FWD43
1
-
A Jallow FWD41
-
M Udol DEF31
1
-
F Candé DEF3
1
-
I. Sane FWD31
-
P Diallo FWD31
-
S. Sané DEF2
1
-
A. Touré MID2
-
J Asoro FWD2
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD2
-
S Elisor FWD1
-
Lorient Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4111
Y Mvogo J PonceauD YongwaM Talbi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Mvogo  GLK4
-
M Talbi DEF4
1
-
D Yongwa DEF41
1
-
I Silva DEF4
-
L Abergel MID41
1
-
J Ponceau MID411
-
P Pagis FWD4
-
E Kroupi FWD41
-
J Mvuka FWD4
-
F Mendy DEF3
-
T Bris MID3
-
A Avon MID31
-
S Soumano FWD31
-
A Tosin  FWD3
-
N Adjei DEF2
-
P Katseris DEF11
-