Swindon Town's team badge Carlisle United's team badge

Swindon Town v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00 BST, County Ground, Swindon

The League Two is the focus for both Swindon Town and Carlisle United on Saturday afternoon, as managers Mark Kennedy and Paul Simpson face one another at the County Ground. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Swindon or Carlisle are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swindon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swindon
49%
1/1
13%
1/1
Draw
24%
12/5
3%
13/5
Carlisle
27%
5/2
21%
5/2
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Swindon 2-1
10%
8/1
5%
7/1
Swindon 1-0
9%
15/2
11%
13/2
Swindon 2-0
8%
9/1
17%
17/2
Carlisle 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Carlisle 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Swindon 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
15%
9/1
Swindon 3-0
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
Carlisle 2-0
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
Swindon 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Carlisle 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
Swindon 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Carlisle 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
17/20
6%
3/4
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
19/20
5%
1/1
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
3%
4/6
BTTS - No
43%
11/10
5%
11/10
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3/1
8%
13/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
10/3
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
18%
19/4
Home/draw
73%
2/7
8%
2/7
Away/draw
51%
4/5
15%
3/4
Home/away
76%
3/10
1%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
2%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4
6%
27/10
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1
9%
9/5
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11
3%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1
9%
4/1
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8
2%
1/7
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
18%
17/2
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
1%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
15%
9/1
Home DNB
66%
1/2
10%
10/21
Away DNB
44%
6/4
19%
6/4
Swindon win to nil
24%
11/4
13%
-
Carlisle win to nil
13%
11/2
18%
-
Swindon / Swindon
25%
9/4
13%
21/10
Swindon / Carlisle
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
Swindon / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Swindon
16%
4/1
17%
4/1
Draw / Carlisle
10%
13/2
7%
13/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Carlisle / Swindon
4%
22/118/1
Carlisle / Carlisle
14%
9/2
16%
9/2
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win League Two table
Swindon
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Carlisle
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2F
Jan 4
 Notts C6420814 
Oct 1
Jan 28
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Gillingham6411713 
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
 Barrow6411613 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Apr 1
Dec 26
 AFC Wim5401512 
Mar 15
Oct 12
l
 
0-4A
Mar 1
 Walsall6402512 
Mar 4
Oct 22
Oct 19
Mar 8
 Doncaster6402212 
Nov 23
Mar 29
Apr 12
Dec 14
 Bradford6312210 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
Feb 8
Sep 28
 Port Vale6312110 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Jan 11
d
 
0-00-0
 Crewe6312-310 
Dec 3
Jan 1
w
 
4-0F
Jan 24
 Newport6303-39 
Apr 5
Dec 7
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
 Chesterfield622248 
Dec 14
Apr 1
Dec 7
Apr 5
 Fleetwood522118 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 25
Mar 4
Oct 22
 Salford522108 
May 3
Nov 9
Jan 28
Oct 1
 Tranmere5221-18 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 4
Apr 21
Dec 29
 Bromley6213-17 
Mar 22
Nov 16
Oct 5
Feb 15
 Harrogate6213-17 
Oct 19
Mar 8
Jan 1
Dec 3
 Colchester6132-16 
Feb 15
Oct 5
-
-
 Swindon Home6132-16 
Feb 1
Sep 21
Mar 15
Oct 12
 Cheltenham6204-26 
Oct 26
Apr 26
May 3
Nov 9
 MK Dons6204-36 
Jan 11
l
 
3-0A
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Grimsby6204-46 
Sep 28
Feb 8
Sep 21
Feb 1
 Carlisle Away6105-83 
-
-
Mar 22
Nov 16
 Accrington6024-82 
Dec 29
Apr 21
Nov 23
Mar 29
 Morecambe6015-51 
Dec 26
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
4
Carlisle have lost 4 consecutive league games
Swindon 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swindon4 - 0Newport
Swindon1 - 2Notts C
Swindon0 - 4Walsall
Swindon3 - 3Morecambe
Swindon3 - 2AFC Wim
Swindon2 - 1Notts C
Swindon1 - 2Doncaster
Swindon1 - 2Accrington
Swindon1 - 1Harrogate
Swindon3 - 1Tranmere
Swindon1 - 2MK Dons
Swindon1 - 1Salford
Swindon2 - 0Bradford
Swindon2 - 2Colchester
Swindon2 - 1Forest Green
Swindon0 - 1Wrexham
Swindon0 - 3Barrow
Swindon2 - 1Mansfield
Swindon2 - 4Stockport
Swindon0 - 1Gillingham
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwindon4 - 0Newport
ASwindon1 - 1Barrow
HSwindon1 - 2Notts C
ASwindon0 - 0Crewe
HSwindon0 - 4Walsall
ASwindon1 - 1Chesterfield
HSwindon3 - 3Morecambe
ASwindon0 - 2Grimsby
ASwindon1 - 2Walsall
HSwindon3 - 2AFC Wim
ASwindon2 - 0Barrow
ASwindon1 - 3Sutton
HSwindon2 - 1Notts C
HSwindon1 - 2Doncaster
HSwindon1 - 2Accrington
ASwindon2 - 3Mansfield
HSwindon1 - 1Harrogate
HSwindon3 - 1Tranmere
ASwindon0 - 0Stockport
HSwindon1 - 2MK Dons
Carlisle 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
1
Lost
16
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bradford2 - 1Carlisle
MK Dons3 - 0Carlisle
Gillingham4 - 1Carlisle
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Cheltenham0 - 1Carlisle
Northampton2 - 0Carlisle
Peterborough1 - 3Carlisle
Shrewsbury1 - 0Carlisle
Charlton3 - 2Carlisle
Burton0 - 1Carlisle
Bristol R2 - 1Carlisle
L Orient3 - 2Carlisle
Barnsley2 - 1Carlisle
Exeter2 - 1Carlisle
Wigan2 - 0Carlisle
Fleetwood1 - 1Carlisle
Blackpool3 - 0Carlisle
Reading5 - 1Carlisle
Cambridge1 - 0Carlisle
Portsmouth1 - 0Carlisle
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
D
1
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCarlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
ACarlisle1 - 2Bradford
HCarlisle1 - 2Tranmere
ACarlisle0 - 3MK Dons
HCarlisle1 - 0Barrow
ACarlisle1 - 4Gillingham
ACarlisle0 - 2Derby
HCarlisle1 - 3Wycombe
HCarlisle0 - 1Blackpool
ACarlisle1 - 0Cheltenham
ACarlisle0 - 2Northampton
HCarlisle1 - 3Lincoln
ACarlisle3 - 1Peterborough
HCarlisle2 - 2Stevenage
ACarlisle0 - 1Shrewsbury
HCarlisle2 - 3Barnsley
ACarlisle2 - 3Charlton
HCarlisle1 - 3Reading
ACarlisle1 - 0Burton
ACarlisle1 - 2Bristol R
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Swindon since 2008
Swindon
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
17
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
SWI
4
D
3
CUT
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swindon
1 - 2Carlisle
1 - 2Carlisle
Swindon3 - 2
0 - 4Carlisle
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swindon3 - 1
Swindon4 - 0
0 - 1Carlisle
Swindon2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Carlisle since 2007
Carlisle
Swindon
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
SWI
3
D
5
CUT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Swindon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Carlisle2 - 1
1 - 2Swindon
Carlisle1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Swindon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Carlisle3 - 0
Goal Statistics
Swindon 18th Carlisle 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Swindon will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Swindon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Carlisle have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281276/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Swindon
PG (predicted goals)
Carlisle
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
SWI
CUT
3%
better
view stats
Games scored4
5
Failed to score2
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored7
6
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate for13
10
Avg. XG for0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
29%
better
SWI
CUT
view stats
Games conceded4
5
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded8
14
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded5
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
3
Conversion rate against29%
30%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+29%

Swindon v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Swindon League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6113
J BycroftW WrightM FreckletonH Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bycroft GLK6
-
M Freckleton DEF61
-
T Sobowale DEF6
-
W Wright DEF611
2
-
J King DEF6
1
-
J Cain MID6
-
A Drinan FWD6
-
P Glatzel FWD61
-
G Hall DEF5
-
O Clarke MID5
2
-
J Cotterill MID51
2
-
H Smith FWD5
2
1
N Ofoborh MID4
-
R Longelo DEF3
-
G Kilkenny MID31
2
-
D Butterworth FWD31
-
K Tshimanga  FWD31
-
G Cox DEF21
-
D. Mitchell MID2
-
H Minturn DEF1
-
R Delaney DEF1
-
S. McGurk FWD1
-
Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6213
H LewisC WykeJ MellishA Davies
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Lewis GLK6
-
A Davies DEF61
3
-
J Mellish DEF611
-
J Vela MID6
1
-
H Neal MID61
1
-
C Wyke FWD62
1
-
B Williams DEF5
-
A Hayden DEF5
2
-
L Armstrong FWD5
-
B Barclay DEF4
2
-
T Thomas DEF4
-
J Ellis DEF4
1
-
S Lavelle DEF4
-
D Sadi FWD4
-
D Adu-Adjei FWD411
-
J Jones FWD3
2
-
G Kelly FWD3
-
C Harper DEF21
-
H Biggins MID2
1
-
D McGeouch MID21
1
-